Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Pennsylvania Survey on Governor Tom Corbett

Rasmussen (R) Pennsylvania Poll on Gov. Tom Corbett

How would you rate the job Tom Corbett has been doing as governor?

• Strongly approve 10% (12%)
• Somewhat approve 27% (33%)
• Somewhat disapprove 22% (22%)
• Strongly disapprove 35% (29%)

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted July 18, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted May 21, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Pennsylvania 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Pennsylvania 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 50% [49%] (45%) {44%} [42%] (46%)
• Mitt Romney 42% [42%] (45%) {44%} [43%] (42%)

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 48% [47%] (49%) {44%} [47%] (46%)
• Barack Obama 43% [48%] (39%) {44%} [38%] (43%)

Among Women

• Barack Obama 56% [50%] (51%) {45%} [46%] (48%)
• Mitt Romney 36% [38%] (40%) {43%} [39%] (38%)

If the Democratic ticket was Barack Obama for President and Joe Biden for Vice President, and the Republican ticket was Mitt Romney for President and Tom Ridge for Vice President, which would you vote for?

• Obama-Biden 48%
• Romney-Ridge 43%

If the Democratic ticket was Barack Obama for President and Joe Biden for Vice President, and the Republican ticket was Mitt Romney for President and Tom Corbett for Vice President, which would you vote for?

• Obama-Biden 49%
• Romney-Corbett 43%

If the Democratic ticket was Barack Obama for President and Joe Biden for Vice President, and the Republican ticket was Mitt Romney for President and Rick Santorum for Vice President, which would you vote for?

• Obama-Biden 51%
• Romney-Santorum 43%

If the Democratic ticket was Barack Obama for President and Joe Biden for Vice President, and the Republican ticket was Mitt Romney for President and Pat Toomey for Vice President, which would you vote for?

• Obama-Biden 49%
• Romney-Toomey 40%

If the Democratic ticket was Barack Obama for President and Joe Biden for Vice President, and the Republican ticket was Mitt Romney for President and Lynn Swann for Vice President, which would you vote for?

• Obama-Biden 48%
• Romney-Swann 37%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Tom Ridge 50% / 32% {+18%}
• Mitt Romney 37% [30%] (32%) {35%} [31%] (34%) / 51% [60%] (51%) {46%} [41%] (38%) {-14%} 
• Rick Santorum 36% [41%] (31%) {31%} [37%] (38%) / 53% [51%] (53%) {54%} [47%] (44%) {-17%}

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 46% [36%] (33%) {37%} [39%] (32%) / 47% [56%] (52%) {50%} [43%] (46%) {-1%}

Among Women

• Mitt Romney 28% [24%] (30%) {32%} [24%] (37%) / 55% [64%] (50%) {41%} [40%] (31%) {-27%}

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 48% [47%] (42%) {46%} [42%] (46%)
• Disapprove 49% [47%] (53%) {48%} [52%] (49%)

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Tom Corbett’s job performance?

• Approve 37%
• Disapprove 50%

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Pat Toomey's job performance?

• Approve 33%
• Disapprove 36%

Survey of 671 Pennsylvania voters was conducted May 17-20, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points. Party ID: 46% [46%] (49%) {50%} [51%] (48%) Democrat; 42% [41%] (41%) {39%} [38%] (43%) Republican; 12% [13%] (9%) {11%} [11%] (9%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 28% [30%] (26%) {30%} [33%] Moderate; 22% [25%] (28%) {21%} [23%] Somewhat conservative; 19% [19%] (18%) {17%} [17%] Very conservative; 18% [16%] (18%) {22%} [19%] Somewhat liberal; 12% [10%] (11%) {10%} [8%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted March 8-11, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 17-20, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 30 - July 5, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 7-10, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 3-5, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Pennsylvania Survey on Gov. Corbett and Abortion

Quinnipiac Pennsylvania Survey on Gov. Corbett and Abortion

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Tom Corbett is handling his job as Governor?

• Approve 41%
• Disapprove 41%

Among Democrats

• Approve 23%
• Disapprove 65%

Among Republicans

• Approve 61%
• Disapprove 18%

Among Independents

• Approve 46%
• Disapprove 36%

College Degree

• Approve 40%
• Disapprove 49%

No College Degree

• Approve 42%
• Disapprove 37%

Do you think abortion should be legal in all cases, legal in most cases, illegal in most cases or illegal in all cases?

• Legal in all cases 25%
• Legal in most cases 29%
• Illegal in most cases 23%
• Illegal in all cases 14%

Among Democrats

• Legal in all cases 33%
• Legal in most cases 35%
• Illegal in most cases 14%
• Illegal in all cases 9%

Among Republicans

• Legal in all cases 12%
• Legal in most cases 19%
• Illegal in most cases 39%
• Illegal in all cases 25%

Among Independents

• Legal in all cases 31%
• Legal in most cases 34%
• Illegal in most cases 18%
• Illegal in all cases 11%

College Degree

• Legal in all cases 30%
• Legal in most cases 34%
• Illegal in most cases 20%
• Illegal in all cases 12%

No College Degree

• Legal in all cases 23%
• Legal in most cases 27%
• Illegal in most cases 24%
• Illegal in all cases 16%

Age 18-49

• Legal in all cases 30%
• Legal in most cases 30%
• Illegal in most cases 25%
• Illegal in all cases 11%

Age 50-64

• Legal in all cases 25%
• Legal in most cases 31%
• Illegal in most cases 20%
• Illegal in all cases 14%

Age 65+

• Legal in all cases 17%
• Legal in most cases 25%
• Illegal in most cases 25%
• Illegal in all cases 21%

Among Men

• Legal in all cases 21%
• Legal in most cases 33%
• Illegal in most cases 27%
• Illegal in all cases 11%

Among Women

• Legal in all cases 29%
• Legal in most cases 26%
• Illegal in most cases 19%
• Illegal in all cases 18%

As you may know, the state legislature is considering a bill that would legally require women seeking an abortion to undergo an ultrasound at least 24 hours before the procedure. Do you support or oppose this bill?

• Support 42%
• Oppose 48%

Among Democrats

• Support 30%
• Oppose 60%

Among Republicans

• Support 58%
• Oppose 32%

Among Independents

• Support 37%
• Oppose 53%

College Degree

• Support 35%
• Oppose 57%

No College Degree

• Support 45%
• Oppose 44%

Think Abortion Should Be Legal in All/Most Cases

• Support 28%
• Oppose 67%

Think Abortion Should Be Illegal in Most/All Cases

• Support 66%
• Oppose 25%

In most cases a trans-vaginal ultrasound would be required due to the early stage of pre-abortion pregnancies. A trans-vaginal ultra sound requires vaginal insertion of a probe. Do you support or oppose legally requiring trans-vaginal ultrasounds before a woman can get an abortion?

• Support 23%
• Oppose 64%

Among Democrats

• Support 16%
• Oppose 73%

Among Republicans

• Support 38%
• Oppose 47%

Among Independents

• Support 16%
• Oppose 72%

College Degree

• Support 20%
• Oppose 70%

No College Degree

• Support 24%
• Oppose 61%

Think Abortion Should Be Legal in All/Most Cases

• Support 13%
• Oppose 81%

Think Abortion Should Be Illegal in Most/All Cases

• Support 40%
• Oppose 44%

Survey of 1,256 registered voters was conducted March 7-12, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 2.8 percentage points. Party ID: 37% Democrat; 32% Republican; 25% Independent; 6% Other.

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Poll Watch: Franklin & Marshall Pennsylvania 2012 Presidential Survey

Franklin & Marshall Pennsylvania 2012 Presidential Survey

• Barack Obama 36%
• Mitt Romney 30%
• Other 8%
• Don't know 27%

• Barack Obama 39%
• Rick Santorum 31%
• Other 10%
• Do not know 20%

• Barack Obama 38%
• Rick Perry 27%
• Other 10%
• Don't know 26%

• Barack Obama 42%
• Michele Bachmann 23%
• Other 12%
• Don't know 22%

Do you believe that Barack Obama has done a good enough job as President to deserve re-election, or do you believe it is time for a change?

• Deserves re-election 41%
• Time for a change 52%

How would you rate the way that Barack Obama is handling his job as president?

• Excellent 9% (7%)
• Good 25% (28%)
• Fair 33% (30%)
• Poor 33% (34%)

How would you rate the way that Tom Corbett is handling his job as Governor?

• Excellent 6% (5%)
• Good 26% (26%)
• Fair 46% (39%)
• Poor 14% (13%)

How would you rate the way that Bob Casey, Jr. is handling his job as U.S. Senator?

• Excellent 5% (3%)
• Good 27% (26%)
• Fair 43% (39%)
• Poor 9% (9%)

How would you rate the way that Pat Toomey is handling his job as U.S. Senator?

• Excellent 5% (3%)
• Good 24% (25%)
• Fair 37% (36%)
• Poor 14% (10%)

The state legislature is considering several proposals related to gay marriage and civil unions. Would you favor or oppose a constitutional amendment that would allow homosexual couples to get legally married?

• Strongly favor 33%
• Somewhat favor 17%
• Somewhat oppose 5%
• Strongly oppose 37%

Would you favor or oppose a state law that would allow homosexual couples to legally form civil unions, giving them some of the legal rights of married couples?

• Strongly favor 37%
• Somewhat favor 25%
• Somewhat oppose 5%
• Strongly oppose 29%

Survey of 407 registered voters was conducted August 22-29, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 54% Democrat; 35% Republican; 11% Independent/Other. Political ideology: 37% Conservative; 32% Moderate; 24% Liberal. Results from the poll conducted in March 2011 are in parentheses.

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Poll Watch: PPP (D) Pennsylvania Political Survey

PPP (D) Pennsylvania Political Survey

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Tom Corbett’s job performance?

• Approve 35% [34%]
• Disapprove 46% [44%]

Among Democrats

• Approve 17% [16%]
• Disapprove 65% [61%]

Among Republicans

• Approve 58% [60%]
• Disapprove 22% [22%]

Among Men

• Approve 39% [42%]
• Disapprove 49% [42%]

Among Women

• Approve 31% [28%]
• Disapprove 43% [46%]

If you could do last fall’s election for Governor over again, would you vote for Democrat Dan Onorato or Republican Tom Corbett?

• Dan Onorato 47% [49%]
• Tom Corbett 44% [44%]

Among Democrats

• Dan Onorato 73% [75%]
• Tom Corbett 18% [18%]

Among Republicans

• Tom Corbett 76% [80%]
• Dan Onorato 16% [14%]

Among Men

• Tom Corbett 49% [47%]
• Dan Onorato 44% [48%]

Among Women

• Dan Onorato 51% [49%]
• Tom Corbett 37% [40%]

Have Tom Corbett’s actions as Governor made it more or less likely that you’ll vote for a Republican for President next year, or has it not made a difference?

• More likely 25%
• Less likely 33%
• Hasn't made a difference 43%

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Pat Toomey's job performance?

• Approve 30% [32%]
• Disapprove 29% [31%]

Among Democrats

• Approve 14% [19%]
• Disapprove 44% [44%]

Among Republicans

• Approve 52% [51%]
• Disapprove 12% [15%]

Among Men

• Approve 35% [38%]
• Disapprove 39% [33%]

Among Women

• Approve 26% [26%]
• Disapprove 19% [29%]

If there was an election for the US House today, would you vote for the Democratic or Republican candidate from your district?

• Democrat 46%
• Republican 40%

Do you think same-sex marriage should be legal or illegal?

• Legal 38%
• Illegal 51%

Among Democrats

• Legal 53%
• Illegal 32%

Among Republicans

• Legal 15%
• Illegal 76%

Which of the following best describes your opinion on gay marriage: gay couples should be allowed to legally marry, or gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not legally marry, or there should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship?

• Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 32%
• Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 36%
• There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 31%

Among Democrats

• Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 47%
• Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 32%
• There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 20%

Among Republicans

• Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 10%
• Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 41%
• There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 48%

Is your favorite pro sports team in Pennsylvania the Philadelphia Eagles, Philadelphia Flyers, Philadelphia Phillies, Philadelphia 76ers, Pittsburgh Penguins, Pittsburgh Pirates, or Pittsburgh Steelers?

• Steelers 30%
• Phillies 22%
• Eagles 12%
• Penguins 12%
• Pirates 6%
• Flyers 4%
• 76ers 2%

Survey of 545 Pennsylvania voters was conducted June 30 - July 5, 2011. No interviews were conducted July 3rd or 4th. The margin of error is +/- 4.2 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 50% [51%] Democrat; 39% [38%] Republican; 11% [11%] Independent/Other. Political ideology: 30% [33%] Moderate; 22% [19%] Somewhat liberal; 21% [23%] Somewhat conservative; 17% [17%] Very conservative; 10% [8%] Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted April 7-10, 2011 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Pennsylvania Political Survey

Quinnipiac Pennsylvania Political Survey

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Tom Corbett is handling his job as Governor?

• Approve 39% [39%] (39%)
• Disapprove 38% [37%] (11%)

Among Democrats

• Approve 21% [20%] (27%)
• Disapprove 57% [55%] (16%)

Among Republicans

• Approve 63% [64%] (57%)
• Disapprove 18% [18%] (4%)

Among Independents

• Approve 36% [40%] (40%)
• Disapprove 37% [31%] (13%)

Among Men

• Approve 48% [43%] (41%)
• Disapprove 34% [30%] (11%)

Among Women

• Approve 30% [36%] (37%)
• Disapprove 43% [43%] (12%)

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Tom Corbett is handling the state budget?

• Approve 33% [35%]
• Disapprove 52% [52%]

To balance the state budget, if you had to choose, would you prefer - raising taxes or cutting government programs and services?

• Cut services 52% [54%] (56%)
• Raise taxes 35% [36%] (30%)

Do you think Governor Corbett's proposals to balance the state budget are fair or unfair to people like you?

• Fair 36% [39%]
• Unfair 48% [50%]

Do you think an increase in taxes is necessary to balance the budget or not?

• Yes 39% [40%]
• No 55% [55%]

In order to balance the state budget, Governor Corbett has proposed cuts in state spending. Do you think Corbett's cuts in state spending go too far, not far enough or are they about right?

• Too far 35% [35%]
• Not far enough 21% [20%]
• About right 30% [31%]

To help balance the state budget do you support or oppose layoffs for state employees?

• Support 45% [43%] (52%)
• Oppose 47% [50%] (40%)

To help balance the state budget, do you support or oppose a wage freeze for state employees?

• Support 70% [68%]
• Oppose 26% [27%]

To help balance the state budget do you support or oppose leasing the Pennsylvania turnpike to a private company?

• Support 34% [36%] (36%)
• Oppose 54% [53%] (51%)

To help balance the state budget do you support or oppose selling off the state liquor stores?

• Support 69% [64%] (65%)
• Oppose 25% [28%] (26%)

To help balance the state budget do you support or oppose cutting funding for state and state-related universities?

• Support 31% [32%]
• Oppose 62% [64%]

To help balance the state budget do you support or oppose a new tax on companies drilling for natural gas in the state's Marcellus Shale?

• Support 69% [69%]
• Oppose 24% [22%]

Some people say, there should be drilling for natural gas in the Marcellus Shale because of the economic benefits. Others say, there should not be drilling for natural gas in the Marcellus Shale because of the environmental impact. Which comes closer to your point of view?

• Drilling 63%
• No drilling 30%

Which comes closer to your view regarding Governor Corbett's budget proposal - A)Taxes should not be raised, there should only be spending cuts, or B)Taxes should be raised so that there will be fewer spending cuts.

• Only spending cuts 54% [55%]
• Taxes should be raised/fewer cuts 39% [39%]

Do you think Tom Corbett has been a better governor than Ed Rendell, a worse governor, or about the same?

• Better 29%
• Worse 25%
• About the same 38%

Regardless of how you feel about Tom Corbett's policies, would you say you like or don't like Tom Corbett as a person?

• Like 51%
• Don't like 14%

And regardless of how you feel about Tom Corbett as a person, would you say you like or don't like most of Tom Corbett's policies?

• Like 38%
• Don't like 43%

Survey of 1,277 registered voters was conducted June 7-12, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 2.7 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted April 19-25, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 8-14, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Pennsylvania Political Survey

Quinnipiac Pennsylvania Political Survey

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Tom Corbett is handling his job as Governor?

• Approve 39% (39%)
• Disapprove 37% (11%)

Among Democrats

• Approve 20% (27%)
• Disapprove 55% (16%)

Among Republicans

• Approve 64% (57%)
• Disapprove 18% (4%)

Among Independents

• Approve 40% (40%)
• Disapprove 31% (13%)

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Tom Corbett is handling the state budget?

• Approve 35%
• Disapprove 52%

To balance the state budget, if you had to choose, would you prefer - raising taxes or cutting government programs and services?

• Cut services 54% (56%)
• Raise taxes 36% (30%)

Do you think an increase in taxes is necessary to balance the budget or not?

• Yes 40%
• No 55%

In order to balance the state budget, Governor Corbett has proposed cuts in state spending. Do you think Corbett's cuts in state spending go too far, not far enough or are they about right?

• Too far 35%
• Not far enough 20%
• About right 31%

To help balance the state budget do you support or oppose layoffs for state employees?

• Support 43% (52%)
• Oppose 50% (40%)

To help balance the state budget, do you support or oppose a wage freeze for state employees?

• Support 68%
• Oppose 27%

Governor Tom Corbett has pledged that in trying to balance the state's budget deficit that he will not raise taxes or fees. Do you think Tom Corbett should have made this pledge or not?

• Yes 41% (49%)
• No 53% (43%)

Do you think Tom Corbett will be able to keep his campaign pledge or not?

• Yes 33% (33%)
• No 57% (53%)

Which comes closer to your view regarding Governor Corbett's budget proposal - A)Taxes should not be raised, there should only be spending cuts, or B)Taxes should be raised so that there will be fewer spending cuts.

• Only spending cuts 55%
• Taxes should be raised/fewer cuts 39%

Survey of 1,366 registered voters was conducted April 19-25, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 2.7 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 8-14, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Pennsylvania Political Survey

PPP (D) Pennsylvania Political Survey

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Tom Corbett’s job performance?

• Approve 34%
• Disapprove 44%

Among Democrats

• Approve 16%
• Disapprove 61%

Among Republicans

• Approve 60%
• Disapprove 22%

Among Men

• Approve 42%
• Disapprove 42%

Among Women

• Approve 28%
• Disapprove 46%

If you could do last fall’s election for Governor over again, would you vote for Democrat Dan Onorato or Republican Tom Corbett?

• Dan Onorato 49%
• Tom Corbett 44%

Among Democrats

• Dan Onorato 75%
• Tom Corbett 18%

Among Republicans

• Tom Corbett 80%
• Dan Onorato 14%

Among Men

• Dan Onorato 48%
• Tom Corbett 47%

Among Women

• Dan Onorato 49%
• Tom Corbett 40%

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Pat Toomey's job performance?

• Approve 32%
• Disapprove 31%

Among Democrats

• Approve 19%
• Disapprove 44%

Among Republicans

• Approve 51%
• Disapprove 15%

Among Men

• Approve 38%
• Disapprove 33%

Among Women

• Approve 26%
• Disapprove 29%

Survey of 593 Pennsylvania voters was conducted April 7-10, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.0 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 51% Democrat; 38% Republican; 11% Independent/Other. Political ideology: 33% Moderate; 23% Somewhat conservative; 19% Somewhat liberal; 17% Very conservative; 8% Very liberal.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Pennsylvania Gubernatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Pennsylvania Gubernatorial Survey

• Tom Corbett (R) 52% {49%} [54%] (44%) {43%} [45%] (42%) 
• Dan Onorato (D) 42% {44%} [39%] (37%) {37%} [33%] (32%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Tom Corbett 51% {49%} [51%] (44%) {49%} [47%] (43%) / 25% {28%} [21%] (11%) {13%} [13%] (7%) {+26%}
• Dan Onorato 40% {43%} [40%] (31%) {34%} [21%] (20%) / 36% {33%} [24%] (16%) {13%} [11%] (8%) {+4%}

Survey of 1,244 likely voters was conducted October 25-30, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 2.8 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 13-17, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 15-19, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 6-11, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 4-10, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 30 - April 5, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 22-28, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Pennsylvania Gubernatorial Survey

PPP (D) Pennsylvania Gubernatorial Survey

• Tom Corbett (R) 52% (48%) {48%} [45%] (45%)
• Dan Onorato (D) 45% (46%) {35%} [35%] (32%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Tom Corbett 51% (47%) {33%} [31%] (27%) / 32% (34%) {23%} [19%] (20%) {+19%}
• Dan Onorato 37% (45%) {30%} [22%] (15%) / 45% (39%) {28%} [25%] (13%) {-8%} 

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Ed Rendell’s job performance?

• Approve 34% (36%) {27%} [35%] (35%)
• Disapprove 53% (54%) {63%} [53%] (51%)

Survey of 772 likely voters was conducted October 30-31, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 46% (48%) {46%} [50%] (47%) Democrat; 44% (41%) {44%} [42%] (41%) Republican; 10% (11%) {9%} [8%] (12%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 43% (37%) {39%} [43%] (41%) Moderate; 39% (44%) {44%} [39%] (40%) Conservative; 18% (19%) {16%} [17%] (19%) Liberal. Results from the poll conducted October 17-18, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 14-16, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 19-21, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 29 - April 1, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Pennsylvania Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen Pennsylvania Gubernatorial Survey

• Tom Corbett (R) 52% [50%] (54%) {53%} [49%] (50%) {48%} [50%] (48%) {49%} [49%] (49%) {45%} [46%] (52%)
• Dan Onorato (D) 43% [45%] (40%) {41%}  [39%] (37%) {38%} [39%] (38%) {39%} [33%] (36%) {36%} [29%] (26%)

Among Voters Certain of Their Vote

• Tom Corbett (R) 56% [55%] (57%)
• Dan Onorato (D) 44% [45%] (43%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Tom Corbett 59% [52%] (57%) {61%} [59%] (60%) {59%} [54%] (56%) {61%} [59%] (57%) {56%} [59%] (67%) / 35% [40%] (32%) {26%} [28%] (29%) {27%} [31%] (26%) {24%} [25%] (26%) {29%} [33%] (15%) {+14%}
• Dan Onorato 49% [47%] (46%) {50%} [47%] (43%) {46%} [48%] (46%) {48%} [45%] (46%) {41%} [36%] (34%) / 47% [45%] (43%) {37%} [32%] (39%) {35%} [32%] (33%) {37%} [35%] (32%) {32%} [36%] (35%) {+2%}

Survey of 750 Likely Voters was conducted October 28, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 41% [43%] (45%) Democrat; 39% [40%] (37%) Republican; 20% [17%] (17%) Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 21, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 12, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 29, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 13, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 30, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 16, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 28, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 14, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 29, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 2, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 19, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 15, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 16, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 10, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 18, 2010 are in angle brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 8, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 13, 2009 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 11, 2009 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Corbett has the backing of 89% of Republicans in the state, while 79% of Democrats support Onorato. The GOP candidate holds an 19-point lead among voters not affiliated with either of the major parties.

Poll Watch: Muhlenberg/Morning Call Pennsylvania Political Survey

Muhlenberg/Morning Call Pennsylvania Political Survey

Senatorial Election

• Pat Toomey (R) 45% [46%] (48%) {46%} [45%] (43%) {41%} [45%] (46%)
• Joe Sestak (D) 43% [41%] (40%) {43%} [42%] (43%) {44%} [38%] (39%)
• Undecided 12% [12%] (12%) {11%} [13%] (14%) {15%} [14%] (14%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Joe Sestak 38% [37%] (35%) / 35% [40%] (38%) {+3%}
• Pat Toomey 37% [37%] (36%) / 38% [39%] (37%) {-1%}

Gubernatorial Election

• Tom Corbett (R) 50% [52%] (50%) {50%} [49%] (49%) {47%} [47%] (46%)
• Dan Onorato (D) 41% [38%] (39%) {41%} [41%] (40%) {40%} [36%] (37%)
• Undecided 9% [10%] (11%) {9%} [10%] (11%) {14%} [16%] (17%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Tom Corbett 46% [46%] (44%) / 29% [29%] (28%) {+17%}
• Dan Onorato 37% [38%] (36%) / 39% [41%] (40%) {-2%}

Survey of 480 likely voters was conducted October 26-29, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Party registration breakdown: 47% Democrat; 45% Republican; 6% Independent.  Results from the poll conducted October 23-26, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 22-25, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 20-23, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 19-22, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 18-21, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 16-19, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 28 - October 4, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 18-23, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Marist/McClatchy Pennsylvania Political Survey

Marist/McClatchy Pennsylvania Political Survey

SENATORIAL ELECTION

• Pat Toomey (R) 52% [51%]
• Joe Sestak (D) 45% [42%]
• Other 1% [1%]
• Undecided 2% [6%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Pat Toomey 49% [48%] / 35% [34%] {+14%}
• Joe Sestak 45% [46%] / 40% [39%] {+5%}

GUBERNATORIAL ELECTION

• Tom Corbett (R) 51% [53%]
• Dan Onorato (D) 44% [41%]

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing in office as president?

• Approve 43% [41%]
• Disapprove 52% [54%]

Do you think the current economic conditions are mostly something President Obama inherited or are they mostly a result of his own policies?

• Economic conditions mostly inherited 50%
• Economic conditions mostly a result of his own policies 41%

Survey of 461 likely voters was conducted October 26-28, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 41% Republican; 39% Democrat;  18% Independent. Political ideology: 45% Conservative; 34% Moderate; 21% Liberal. Results from the poll conducted September 26-28, 2010 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: Muhlenberg/Morning Call Pennsylvania Political Survey

Muhlenberg/Morning Call Pennsylvania Political Survey

Senatorial Election

• Pat Toomey (R) 46% (48%) {46%} [45%] (43%) {41%} [45%] (46%)
• Joe Sestak (D) 41% (40%) {43%} [42%] (43%) {44%} [38%] (39%)
• Undecided 12% (12%) {11%} [13%] (14%) {15%} [14%] (14%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Pat Toomey 37% (36%) / 39% (37%) {-2%}
• Joe Sestak 37% (35%) / 40% (38%) {-3%}

Gubernatorial Election

• Tom Corbett (R) 52% (50%) {50%} [49%] (49%) {47%} [47%] (46%)
• Dan Onorato (D) 38% (39%) {41%} [41%] (40%) {40%} [36%] (37%)
• Undecided 10% (11%) {9%} [10%] (11%) {14%} [16%] (17%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Tom Corbett 46% (44%) / 29% (28%) {+17%}
• Dan Onorato 38% (36%) / 41% (40%) {-3%}

Survey of 457 likely voters was conducted October 23-26, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points.  Party registration breakdown: 48% Republican; 45% Democrat; 6% Independent.  Results from the poll conducted October 22-25, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 20-23, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 19-22, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 18-21, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 16-19, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 28 - October 4, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 18-23, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Reuters/Ipsos Pennsylvania Political Survey

Reuters/Ipsos Pennsylvania Political Survey

Senatorial Election

• Pat Toomey (R) 46% [47%]
• Joe Sestak (D) 46% [37%]
• Other 2% [2%]
• Don't know 6% [15%]

Gubernatorial Election

• Tom Corbett (R) 49% [49%]
• Dan Onorato (D) 43% [34%]
• Other 0% [1%]
• Don't know 8% [16%]

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ed Rendell is handling his job as Governor of Pennsylvania?

• Approve 42% [43%]
• Disapprove 54% [52%]

Survey of 400 likely voters was conducted October 22-24, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 46% [44%] Republican; 45% [45%] Democrat;  6% [8%] Independent.  Results from the poll conducted August 27-29, 2010 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: Muhlenberg/Morning Call Pennsylvania Political Survey

Muhlenberg/Morning Call Pennsylvania Political Survey

Senatorial Election

• Pat Toomey (R) 48% {46%} [45%] (43%) {41%} [45%] (46%)
• Joe Sestak (D) 40% {43%} [42%] (43%) {44%} [38%] (39%)
• Undecided 12% {11%} [13%] (14%) {15%} [14%] (14%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Pat Toomey 36% / 37% {-1%}
• Joe Sestak 35% / 38% {-3%}

Gubernatorial Election

• Tom Corbett (R) 50% {50%} [49%] (49%) {47%} [47%] (46%)
• Dan Onorato (D) 39% {41%} [41%] (40%) {40%} [36%] (37%)
• Undecided 11% {9%} [10%] (11%) {14%} [16%] (17%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Tom Corbett 44% / 28% {+16%}
• Dan Onorato 36% / 40% {-4%}

Survey of 448 likely voters was conducted October 22-25, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted October 20-23, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 19-22, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 18-21, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 16-19, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 28 - October 4, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 18-23, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Pennsylvania Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen Pennsylvania Gubernatorial Survey

• Tom Corbett (R) 50% (54%) {53%} [49%] (50%) {48%} [50%] (48%) {49%} [49%] (49%) {45%} [46%] (52%)
• Dan Onorato (D) 45% (40%) {41%}  [39%] (37%) {38%} [39%] (38%) {39%} [33%] (36%) {36%} [29%] (26%)

Among Voters Certain of Their Vote

• Tom Corbett (R) 55% (57%)
• Dan Onorato (D) 45% (43%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Tom Corbett 52% (57%) {61%} [59%] (60%) {59%} [54%] (56%) {61%} [59%] (57%) {56%} [59%] (67%) / 40% (32%) {26%} [28%] (29%) {27%} [31%] (26%) {24%} [25%] (26%) {29%} [33%] (15%) {+12%}
• Dan Onorato 47% (46%) {50%} [47%] (43%) {46%} [48%] (46%) {48%} [45%] (46%) {41%} [36%] (34%) / 45% (43%) {37%} [32%] (39%) {35%} [32%] (33%) {37%} [35%] (32%) {32%} [36%] (35%) {+2%}

Survey of 750 Likely Voters was conducted October 21, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 43% (45%) Democrat; 40% (37%) Republican; 17% (17%) Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 12, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 29, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 13, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 30, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 16, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 28, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 14, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 29, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 2, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 19, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 15, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 16, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 10, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 18, 2010 are in angle brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 8, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 13, 2009 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 11, 2009 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Corbett has the backing of 87% of Republicans in the state, while 79% of Democrats support Onorato. The GOP candidate holds an 8-point lead among voters not affiliated with either of the major parties.

Poll Watch: Muhlenberg/Morning Call Pennsylvania Political Survey

Muhlenberg/Morning Call Pennsylvania Political Survey

Senatorial Election

• Pat Toomey (R) 46% [45%] (43%) {41%} [45%] (46%)
• Joe Sestak (D) 43% [42%] (43%) {44%} [38%] (39%)
• Undecided 11% [13%] (14%) {15%} [14%] (14%)

Gubernatorial Election

• Tom Corbett (R) 50% [49%] (49%) {47%} [47%] (46%)
• Dan Onorato (D) 41% [41%] (40%) {40%} [36%] (37%)
• Undecided 9% [10%] (11%) {14%} [16%] (17%)

Survey of 436 likely voters was conducted October 20-23, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted October 19-22, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 18-21, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 16-19, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 28 - October 4, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 18-23, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Muhlenberg/Morning Call Pennsylvania Political Survey

Muhlenberg/Morning Call Pennsylvania Political Survey

Senatorial Election

• Pat Toomey (R) 45% (43%) {41%} [45%] (46%)
• Joe Sestak (D) 42% (43%) {44%} [38%] (39%)
• Undecided 13% (14%) {15%} [14%] (14%)

Gubernatorial Election

• Tom Corbett (R) 49% (49%) {47%} [47%] (46%)
• Dan Onorato (D) 41% (40%) {40%} [36%] (37%)
• Undecided 10% (11%) {14%} [16%] (17%)

Survey of 439 likely voters was conducted October 19-22, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted October 18-21, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 16-19, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 28 - October 4, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 18-23, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Muhlenberg/Morning Call Pennsylvania Political Survey

Muhlenberg/Morning Call Pennsylvania Political Survey

Senatorial Election

• Joe Sestak (D) 43% {44%} [38%] (39%)
• Pat Toomey (R) 43% {41%} [45%] (46%)
• Undecided 14% {15%} [14%] (14%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Pat Toomey 36% {34%} [44%] (39%) / 35% {36%} [31% (31%) {+1%}
• Joe Sestak 31% {34%} [37%] (33%) / 34% {34%} [37%] (34%) {-3%}

Gubernatorial Election

• Tom Corbett (R) 49% {47%} [47%] (46%)
• Dan Onorato (D) 40% {40%} [36%] (37%)
• Undecided 11% {14%} [16%] (17%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Tom Corbett 42% {40%} [48%] (46%) / 30% {31%} [24%] (19%) {+12%}
• Dan Onorato 34% {32%} [38%] (37%) / 40% {39%} [30%] (28%) {-6%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the way President Barack Obama is doing his job?

• Approve 41% {42%}
• Disapprove 51% {51%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Governor Ed Rendell is doing his job?

• Approve 34% {33%}
• Disapprove 55% {56%}

If the elections for Congress were being held today, which party's candidate would you vote for in your congressional district? The Democratic Party's candidate or the Republican Party's candidate?

• Republican 43% {44%} [48%] (46%)
• Democrat 40% {39%} [36%] (37%)

Survey of 421 likely voters was conducted October 18-21, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points.  Party registration breakdown: 49% {46%} Republican; 46% {46%} Democrat;  5% {8%} Independent.  Results from the poll conducted October 16-19, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 28 - October 4, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 18-23, 2010 are in parentheses.