Poll Watch: Muhlenberg/Morning Call Pennsylvania Political Survey

Muhlenberg/Morning Call Pennsylvania Political Survey

Senatorial Election

• Pat Toomey (R) 45% [46%] (48%) {46%} [45%] (43%) {41%} [45%] (46%)
• Joe Sestak (D) 43% [41%] (40%) {43%} [42%] (43%) {44%} [38%] (39%)
• Undecided 12% [12%] (12%) {11%} [13%] (14%) {15%} [14%] (14%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Joe Sestak 38% [37%] (35%) / 35% [40%] (38%) {+3%}
• Pat Toomey 37% [37%] (36%) / 38% [39%] (37%) {-1%}

Gubernatorial Election

• Tom Corbett (R) 50% [52%] (50%) {50%} [49%] (49%) {47%} [47%] (46%)
• Dan Onorato (D) 41% [38%] (39%) {41%} [41%] (40%) {40%} [36%] (37%)
• Undecided 9% [10%] (11%) {9%} [10%] (11%) {14%} [16%] (17%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Tom Corbett 46% [46%] (44%) / 29% [29%] (28%) {+17%}
• Dan Onorato 37% [38%] (36%) / 39% [41%] (40%) {-2%}

Survey of 480 likely voters was conducted October 26-29, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Party registration breakdown: 47% Democrat; 45% Republican; 6% Independent.  Results from the poll conducted October 23-26, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 22-25, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 20-23, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 19-22, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 18-21, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 16-19, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 28 - October 4, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 18-23, 2010 are in parentheses.