Poll Watch: Rasmussen Oregon Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen Oregon Gubernatorial Survey

• Chris Dudley (R) 45% {44%} [47%] (45%) {47%} [47%] (45%) {41%} [36%]
• John Kitzhaber (D) 44% {45%} [43%] (44%) {44%} [45%] (44%) {41%} [42%]

With Leaners

• Chris Dudley (R) 49% {46%} [49%] (49%)
• John Kitzhaber (D) 46% {48%} [44%] (45%)

Among Voters Certain of Their Vote

• Chris Dudley (R) 51% {50%} [53%] (49%)
• John Kitzhaber (D) 46% {50%} [47%] (51%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Chris Dudley 59% {51%} [57%] (59%) {53%} [48%] (53%) {46%} [40%] / 34% {43%} [30%] (30%) {29%} [28%] (25%) {25%} [24%] {+25%}
• John Kitzhaber 49% {50%} [48%] (50%) {47%} [46%] (46%) {58%} [44%] / 48% {45%} [45%] (44%) {44%} [47%] (47%) {34%} [42%] {+1%}

How would you rate the job Ted Kulongoski has been doing as Governor?

• Strongly approve 17% {15%} [16%] (15%) {13%} [12%] (18%) {14%} [10%] (7%)
• Somewhat approve 28% {30%} [29%] (29%) {30%} [26%] (28%) {34%} [30%] (33%)
• Somewhat disapprove 13% {16%} [17%] (24%) {19%} [25%] (17%) {19%} [20%] (24%)
• Strongly disapprove 39% {37%} [35%] (32%) {34%} [33%] (34%) {32%} [36%] (34%)

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?

• Strongly approve 26% {34%} [38%] (31%) {31%} [32%] (37%) {41%} [35%] (30%)
• Somewhat approve 23% {15%} [16%] (22%) {17%} [17%] (15%) {18%} [18%] (20%)
• Somewhat disapprove 6% {8%} [5%] (5%) {9%} [9%] (8%) {6%} [7%] (12%)
• Strongly disapprove 44% {42%} [41%] (42%) {43%} [39%] (41%) {34%} [40%] (37%)

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted October 25, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 43% {36%} Democrat; 30% {27%} Republican; 27% {37%} Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 10, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 8, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 22, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 26, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 17, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 20, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 26, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 17, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 16, 2010 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Dudley is now backed by 90% of Republicans in Oregon. Kitzhaber draws support from just 77% of Democrats.  Among voters not affiliated with either political party, Dudley holds a 51% to 38% edge.