Poll Watch: MPR/Humphrey Institute Minnesota Gubernatorial Survey

MPR/Humphrey Institute Minnesota Gubernatorial Survey

• Mark Dayton (D) 41% (38%) [34%] {35%}
• Tom Emmer (R) 29% (27%) [34%] {31%} 
• Tom Horner (I) 11% (16%) [13%] {9%}
• Don't know 20% (20%) [19%] {14%}

Among Democrats

• Mark Dayton (D) 77% (68%)
• Tom Horner (I) 7% (10%)
• Tom Emmer (R) 2% (2%)
• Don't know 14% (20%)

Among Republicans

• Tom Emmer (R) 68% (59%)
• Tom Horner (I) 11% (22%)
• Mark Dayton (D) 7% (6%)
• Don't know 14% (14%)

Among Independents

• Tom Horner (I) 23% (21%)
• Mark Dayton (D) 23% (16%)
• Tom Emmer (R) 13% (26%)
• Don't know 41% (38%)

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted October 21-25, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted September 22-26, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 25-29, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 13-16, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Party ID breakdown: 45% (48%) Democrat; 38% (38%) Republican; 16% (12%) Independent.