Poll Watch: Rasmussen New Hampshire Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen New Hampshire Senatorial Survey

• Kelly Ayotte (R) 55% (49%) {48%} [51%] (49%) {50%} [50%] (47%) {46%} [49%] (46%)
• Paul Hodes (D) 40% (43%) {41%} [38%] (37%) {38%} [35%] (37%) {39%} [40%] (38%)

With Leaners

• Kelly Ayotte (R) 56% (51%) {51%}
• Paul Hodes (D) 41% (44%) {44%}

Among Voters Certain of Their Vote

• Kelly Ayotte (R) 57% (55%) {55%}
• Paul Hodes (D) 43% (45%) {45%}

Among Men

• Kelly Ayotte (R) 64% (55%) {56%}
• Paul Hodes (D) 34% (38%) {39%}

Among Women

• Kelly Ayotte (R) 50% (47%) {48%}
• Paul Hodes (D) 46% (50%) {48%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Kelly Ayotte 58% (58%) {56%} [55%] (56%) {63%} [61%] (60%) [57%} [60%] (58%) / 37% (37%) {39%} [33%] (32%) {27%} [19%] (22%) {21%} [21%] (21%) {+21%}
• Paul Hodes 45% (47%) {44%} [46%] (46%) {45%} [45%] (46%) {49%} [49%] (46%) / 51% (47%) {48%} [44%] (48%) {47%} [46%] (42%) {42%} [43%] (38%) {-6%}

How would you rate the job John Lynch has been doing as Governor?

• Strongly approve 34% (34%) {28%} [24%] (24%) {22%} [22%] (25%) {24%} [23%] (22%)
• Somewhat approve 22% (23%) {29%} [31%] (33%) {34%} [37%] (38%) {36%} [35%] (42%)
• Somewhat disapprove 20% (22%) {21%} [26%] (26%) {24%} [25%] (21%) {25%} [19%] (21%)
• Strongly disapprove 24% (19%) {18%} [18%] (17%) {19%} [14%] (15%) {14%} [19%] (13%)

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?

• Strongly approve 32% (36%) {28%} [36%] (27%) {32%} [27%] (29%) {31%} [31%] (38%)
• Somewhat approve 12% (14%) {19%} [13%] (15%) {18%} [22%] (19%) {18%} [21%] (12%)
• Somewhat disapprove 8% (7%) {8%} [8%] (11%) {9%} [7%] (11%) {10%} [9%] (9%)
• Strongly disapprove 47% (42%) {43%} [42%] (46%) {41%} [43%] (41%) {41%} [38%] (41%)

Survey of 750 Likely Voters was conducted October 27, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 33% (34%) {30%} Republican; 31% (31%) {34%} Democrat; 35% (35%) {36%} Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 10, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 15, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 5, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 12, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 11, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 7, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 8, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 10, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 12, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 14, 2009 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Ninety percent (90%) of New Hampshire Republicans support Ayotte, while 84% of the state’s Democrats back Hodes. The Republican has a 28-point lead among voters not affiliated with either of the major parties.