Poll Watch: Braun Research/cn|2 Kentucky Senatorial Survey

Braun Research/cn|2 Kentucky Senatorial Survey

• Rand Paul (R) 46.5% [43.4%] (42.1%) {41.2%} [40.6%] (41%)
• Jack Conway (D) 39.0% [39.5%] (37.4%) {41.7%} [31.4%] (38%)
• Undecided 12.9% [16.6%] (19.5%) {16.4%} [27.0%] (19%)

Among Men

• Rand Paul (R) 52.9% [50.2%] (46.8%) {50.4%} [47.9%] (47%)
• Jack Conway (D) 36.7% [38.2%] (35.8%) {35.3%} [29.5%] (33%)
• Undecided 8.7% [10.8%] (16.0%) {14.2%} [22.1%] (19%)

Among Women

• Jack Conway (D) 41.1% [40.5%] (38.9%) {47.5%} [33.1%] (43%)
• Rand Paul (R) 40.8% [37.4%] (37.9%) {33.1%} [34.0%] (36%)
• Undecided 16.7% [21.8%] (22.6%) {18.3%} [31.5%] (19%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Jack Conway 46.7% [50.6%] (49.6%) {54.4%} [43.9%] (50%) / 41.3% [28.6%] (22.7%) {22.9%} [21.1%] (19%) {+5.4%}
• Rand Paul 48.0% [47.1%] (48.7%) {46.8%} [49.8%] (48%) / 43.4% [36.5%] (33.4%) {36.4%} [25.7%] (33%) {+4.6%}

What is your opinion of the job President Obama is doing?

• Strongly approve 15.6% [13.6%] (15.8%) {13.3%}
• Somewhat approve 24.2% [23.8%] (26.9%) {26.9%}
• Somewhat disapprove 14.4% [18.8%] (15.9%) {18.4%}
• Strongly disapprove 43.8% [41.4%] (38.3%) {39.2%}

Which party would you rather see in control of Congress after the November election, the Democrats or the Republicans?

• Republicans 48.9% [47.0%] (45.4%) {47.7%}
• Democrats 36.8% [37.4%] (36.5%) {36.0%}

Survey of 800 likely voters was conducted October 25-27, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points.  Party registration breakdown: 54.0% [53.9%] (54.0%) {54.2%} [54.2%] (54%) Democrat; 37.9% [38.1%] (37.8%) {37.5%} [37.6%] (38%) Republican; 8.0% [7.9%] (8.0%) {8.2%} [8.1%] (8%) Independent.  Party ID breakdown: 49.8% [46.8%] Republican; 38.5% [42.8%] Democrat.  Political ideology: 50.2% [47.7%] (47.2%) {53.5%} [53.5%] (50%) Conservative; 25.4% [30.5%] (25.6%) {24.2%} [23.3%] (25%) Moderate; 20.1% [18.1%] (23.0%) {19.7%} [19.9%] (20%) Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted October 4-6, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 30 - September 1, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 16-18, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 2-4, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 19-21, 2010 are in parentheses.  Click here to view crosstabs.