Poll Watch: PPP (D) West Virginia Senatorial Special Election Survey

PPP (D) West Virginia Senatorial Special Election Survey

• Joe Manchin (D) 51% {50%} [48%] (43%)
• John Raese (R) 46% {44%} [45%] (46%)
• Undecided 3% {6%} [7%] (10%)

Among Men

• John Raese (R) 53% {49%} [49%] (50%)
• Joe Manchin (D) 45% {45%} [44%] (39%)
• Undecided 2% {6%} [7%] (10%)

Among Women

• Joe Manchin (D) 56% {54%} [51%] (47%)
• John Raese (R) 40% {38%} [41%] (42%)
• Undecided 4% {7%} [7%] (11%)

Already Voted (27%)

• Joe Manchin (D) 54%
• John Raese (R) 45%

Did Not Vote Yet (73%)

• Joe Manchin (D) 50%
• John Raese (R) 47%

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Joe Manchin’s job performance?

• Approve 70% {69%} [68%] (59%)
• Disapprove 22% {23%} [22%] (32%)

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of John Raese?

• Favorable 41% {42%] [39%] (41%)
• Unfavorable 47% {47%} [46%] (35%)

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 31% {31%} [33%] (30%)
• Disapprove 61% {65%} [61%] (64%)

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Jay Rockefeller’s job performance?

• Approve 49% {47%} [51%]
• Disapprove 40% {43%} [40%]

Survey of 1,676 likely voters was conducted October 30-31, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 2.4 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 55% {55%} [55%] (51%) Democrat; 34% {35%} [33%] (37%) Republican; 11% {11%} [12%] (12%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 44% {46%} [48%] (42%) Moderate; 43% {42%} [39%] (45%) Conservative; 13% {13%} [13%] (13%) Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted October 23-24, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 9-10, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 18-19, 2010 are in parentheses.