Poll Watch: Rasmussen Florida Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen Florida Senatorial Survey 

• Marco Rubio (R) 50% (43%) [50%] {41%} (41%) [40%] {38%} (35%) [36%] {37%} (39%) [34%] {37%} (42%)
• Charlie Crist (I) 30% (32%) [25%] {30%} (30%) [30%] {33%} (33%) [34%] {37%} (31%) [38%] {30%} (22%)
• Kendrick Meek (D) 16% (20%) [19%] {21%} (23%) [21%] {21%} (20%) [15%] {15%} (18%) [17%] {22%} (25%)
• Other 1% (2%) [3%] {3%} (2%) [4%] {1%} (3%)
• Not Sure 3% (3%) [3%] {5%} (4%) [5%] {7%} (8%) [14%] {11%} (12%) [11%] {11%} (11%)

Among Democrats

• Charlie Crist (I) 47% (41%) [32%] {41%} (33%) [36%] {36%} (41%) [36%] {47%} (x) [44%] {33%}
• Kendrick Meek (D) 38% (40%) [46%] {41%} (45%) [41%] {48%} (43%) [32%] {28%} (x) [35%] {46%}
• Marco Rubio (R) 14% (14%) [16%] {9%} (16%) [13%] {10%} (8%) [14%] {7%} (x) [14%] {10%}
• Other 1% (2%) [1%] {4%} (3%) [4%] {1%} (5%)
• Not Sure 0% (2%) [4%] {5%} (4%) [6%] {4%} (4%) [18%] {18%} (x) [6%] {11%}

Among Republicans

• Marco Rubio (R) 76% (76%) [79%] {78%} (72%) [73%] {66%} (65%) [60%] {66%} (68%) [58%] {62%}
• Charlie Crist (I) 20% (15%) [15%] {15%} (19%) [19%] {25%} (23%) [29%] {24%} (23%) [30%] {28%}
• Kendrick Meek (D) 3% (4%) [3%] {2%} (5%) [3%] {4%} (5%) [4%] {1%} [5%] {3%}
• Other 1% (2%) [2%] {2%} (2%) [2%] {1%} (1%)
• Not Sure 1% (4%) [2%] {4%} (3%) [3%] {4%} (7%) [7%] {9%} [7%] {7%}

Among Independents

• Marco Rubio (R) 47% (33%) [47%] {28%} (27%) [29%] {38%} (30%) [35%] {38%} (x) [28%] {40%}
• Charlie Crist (I) 29% (49%) [33%] {38%} (42%) [38%] {38%} (38%) [37%] {41%} (x) [40%] {28%}
• Kendrick Meek (D) 11% (14%) [8%] {22%} (24%) [19%] {5%} (13%) [8%] {18%} (x) [11%] {18%}
• Other 2% (2%) [8%] {5%} (3%) [7%] {2%} (3%)
• Not Sure 11% (2%) [4%] {7%} (5%) [7%] {18%} (16%) [19%] {3%} (x) [21%] {15%}

Among Liberals

• Kendrick Meek (D) 100% (47%) [54%] {35%} (45%) [35%] {49%} (31%) [38%] {32%} (x) [33%] {35%}
• Charlie Crist (I) 0% (45%) [29%] {50%} (41%) [53%] {38%} (34%) [45%] {50%} (x) [56%] {44%}
• Marco Rubio (R) 0% (7%) [12%] {6%} (10%) [8%] {4%} (14%) [5%] {5%} {5%} (x) [4%] {8%}
• Other (2%) [3%] (2%) [2%] {2%} (5%)
• Not Sure (0%) [3%] (2%) [1%] {9%} (17%) [12%] {13%} [6%] {13%}

Among Moderates

• Marco Rubio (R) 63% (24%) [16%] {18%} (22%) [26%] {21%} (16%) [20%] {17%} (x) [22%] {21%}
• Charlie Crist (I) 21% (47%) [47%] {46%} (42%) [36%] {51%} (54%) [41%] {52%} (x) [55%] {35%}
• Kendrick Meek (D) 11% (22%) [26%] {27%} (26%) [29%] {18%} (20%) [21%] {22%} (x) [12%] {29%}
• Other (2%) [8%] {3%} (4%) [2%] {2%} (2%)
• Not Sure (5%) [3%] {6%} (5%) [7%] {9%} (7%) [18%] {9%} (x) [12%] {14%}

Among Conservatives

• Marco Rubio (R) 48% (74%) [75%] {69%} (70%) [66%] {65%} (59%) [58%] {70%} (x) [57%] {64%}
• Charlie Crist (I) 31% (15%) [13%] {15%} (16%) [14%] {21%} (21%) [24%] {20%} (x) [22%] {21%}
• Kendrick Meek (D) 16% (7%) [8%] {8%} (9%) [9%] {7%} (13%) [5%] {2%} (x) [14%] {9%}
• Other 1% (2%) [1%] {3%} (1%) [6%] {1%} (2%)
• Not Sure 3% (2%) [3%] {4%} (4%) [6%] {6%} (4%) [13%] {7%} (x) [7%] {6%}

Among Men

• Marco Rubio (R) 59% (45%) [55%] {47%} (53%) [42%] {46%} (38%) [43%] {48%} (x) [38%] {45%}
• Charlie Crist (I) 26% (31%) [22%] {26%} (26%) [29%] {31%} (35%) [29%] {33%} (x) [36%] {31%}
• Kendrick Meek (D) 12% (21%) [15%] {20%} (16%) [21%] {16%} (23%) [10%] {13%} (x) [16%] {16%}
• Other 1% (2%) [6%] {2%} (3%) [4%] {1%} (2%)
• Not Sure 1% (1%) [2%] {4%} (3%) [4%] {6%} (2%) [17%] {6%} (x) [10%] {8%}

Among Women

• Marco Rubio (R) 41% (42%) [45%] {36%} (32%) [38%] {31%} (33%) [31%] {27%} (x) [30%] {30%}
• Charlie Crist (I) 34% (32%) [28%] {33%} (33%) [31%] {34%} (32%) [37%] {41%} (x) [40%] {28%}
• Kendrick Meek (D) 19% (20%) [23%] {21%} (29%) [20%] {25%} (18%) [20%] {17%} (x) [18%] {28%}
• Other 1% (2%) [1%] {4%} (2%) [4%] {2%} (4%)
• Not Sure 6% (4%) [4%] {6%} (4%) [6%] {8%} (13%) [12%] {15%} (x) [12%] {14%}

Among Whites

• Marco Rubio (R) 54% (51%) [56%] {49%} (52%) [46%] {45%} (41%) [43%] {45%} (x) [40%] {43%}
• Charlie Crist (I) 30% (30%) [27%] {30%} (27%) [31%] {33%} (34%) [33%] {38%} (x) [36%] {32%}
• Kendrick Meek (D) 13% (13%) [11%] {12%} (15%) [15%] {13%} (16%) [9%] {8%} (x) [12%] {15%}
• Other 1% (3%) [2%] {3%} (3%) [4%] {1%} (3%)
• Not Sure 2% (3%) [3%] {6%} (4%) [5%] {7%} (6%) [14%] {9%} (x) [12%] {10%}

Among Blacks

• Charlie Crist (I) 42% (37%) [22%] {25%} (41%) [7%] {29%} (14%) [38%] {38%} (x) [22%] {4%}
• Kendrick Meek (D) 39% (48%) [66%] {58%} (58%) [70%] {53%} (72%) [31%] {40%} (x) [63%] {84%}
• Marco Rubio (R) 18% (12%) [8%] {6%} (1%) [11%] {6%} (8%) [10%] {1%} (x) [14%] {4%}
• Other 0% (0%) [0%] {5%} (0%) [6%] {0%} (3%)
• Not Sure 1% (4%) [4%] {6%} (1%) [6%] {12%} (2%) [21%] {21%} (x) [0%] {7%}

Among Hispanics/Other

• Marco Rubio (R) 43% (22%) [24%] {15%} (9%) [24%] {20%} (22%) [8%] {22%} (x) [14%] {25%}
• Charlie Crist (I) 26% (37%) [24%] {32%} (39%) [46%] {30%} (44%) [31%] {45%} (x) [62%] {32%}
• Kendrick Meek (D) 13% (41%) [37%] {48%} (49%) [22%] {42%} (8%) [50%] {33%} (x) [14%] {22%}
• Other (0%) [10%] {5%} (2%) [0%] {2%} (1%)
• Not Sure (0%) [4%] {0%} (2%) [9%] {7%} (25%) [11%] {0%} [10%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Marco Rubio 58% (48%) [57%] {54%} (53%) [51%] {46%} (42%) [51%] {46%} (46%) [42%] {51%} (48%) [51%] {51%} (51%) {41%} / 39% (49%) [41%] {39%} (42%) [41%] {41%} (44%) [41%] {38%} (43%) [48%] {37%} (34%) [27%] {31%} (29%) {31%} {+19%}
• Charlie Crist 51% (46%) [52%] {57%} (55%) [56%] {58%} (59%) [56%] {62%} (57%) [57%] {55%} (49%) [55%] {58%} (59%) {64%} (57%) / 48% (52%) [47%] {40%} (44%) [42%] {39%} (37%) [42%] {37%} (41%) [40%] {40%} (48%) [41%] {40%} (38%) {35%} (36%) {+3%}
• Kendrick Meek 41% (39%) [35%] {40%} (45%) [41%] {31%} (32%) [36%] {30%} (33%) [32%] {38%} (33%) [42%] {38%} (41%) {37%} (37%) / 51% (53%) [56%] {50%} (46%) [47%] {46%} (41%) [40%] {39%} (36%) [36%] {31%} (39%) [33%] {36%] (33%) {34%} (36%) {-10%} 

How would you rate the job Charlie Crist has been doing as Governor?

• Strongly approve 19% (20%) [15%] {17%} (18%) [20%] {15%} (20%) [19%] {22%} (22%) [22%] {16%} (14%) [15%] {10%} (9%) [13%] {17%} (15%)
• Somewhat approve 39% (32%) [34%] {38%} (35%) [32%] {43%} (33%) [34%] {38%} (35%) [40%] {40%} (31%) [37%] {41%} (43%) [36%] {42%} (45%)
• Somewhat disapprove 21% (20%) [25%] {23%} (25%) [25%] {25%} (23%) [27%] {25%} (24%) [18%] {26%} (35%) [30%] {30%} (25%) [29%] {21%} (20%)
• Strongly disapprove 20% (27%) [26%] {21%} (21%) [21%] {15%} (21%) [18%] {12%} (18%) [20%] {17%} (19%) [15%] {17%} (20%) [20%] {19%} (16%)

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?

• Strongly approve 27% (32%) [28%] {34%} (31%) [27%] {30%} (32%) [29%] {33%} (32%) [32%] {33%} (29%) [31%] {25%} (29%) [29%] {27%} (32%)
• Somewhat approve 15% (16%) [13%] {14%} (15%) [19%] {14%} (15%) [14%] {13%} (18%) [15%] {11%} (14%) [14%] {17%} (15%) [13%] {15%} (14%)
• Somewhat disapprove 11% (4%) [5%] {5%} (8%) [9%] {9%} (8%) [12%] {8%} (6%) [10%] {8%} (9%) [10%] {11%} (9%) [11%] {10%} (12%)
• Strongly disapprove 46% (48%) [52%] {47%} (46%) [46%] {45%} (44%) [45%] {45%} (43%) [43%] {46%} (46%) [44%] {47%} (46%) [47%] {47%} (38%)

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted October 27, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 43% (41%) [41%] {40%} (40%) Republican; 31% (41%) [34%] {35%} (34%) Democrat; 25% (19%) [25%] {25%} (25%) Independent/Other.  Racial breakdown: 79% (78%) [80%] {79%} (78%) White; 21% (22%) [20%] {21%} (22%) Non-White.  Results from the poll conducted October 18, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 7, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 28, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 14, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 25, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 9, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 21, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 6, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 7, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 16, 2010 are in parentheses.   Results from the poll conducted May 3, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 21, 2010 are in curly brackets.   Results from the poll conducted March 18, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted February 18, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 27, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 14, 2009 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 19, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 17, 2009 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 22, 2009 are in parentheses.