Poll Watch: Rasmussen Ohio Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen Ohio Senatorial Survey

• Rob Portman (R) 56% (54%) {49%} [46%] (44%) {45%} [44%] (45%) {43%} [43%] (42%) {43%} [44%] (43%) {44%} [38%] (41%)
• Lee Fisher (D) 33% (32%) {41%} [39%] (39%) {37%} [40%] (39%) {39%} [43%] (43%) {38%} [39%] (39%) {37%} [36%] (40%)
• Other 3% (4%) {2%} [4%] (7%) {5%} [5%] (5%) {4%} [4%] (4%) {4%} [5%] (5%) {4%} [8%] (6%)
• Not Sure 7% (10%) {8%} [11%] (11%) {13%} [11%] (11%) {13%} [10%] (11%) {14%} [12%] (13%) {14%} [18%] (14%)

With Leaners

• Rob Portman (R) 57% (57%) {51%} [49%] (47%) {48%}
• Lee Fisher (D) 33% (34%) {42%} [41%] (41%) {39%}
• Other 3% (2%) {1%} [2%] (4%) {3%}
• Not Sure 7% (7%) {6%} [8%] (9%) {10%}

Among Voters Certain of Their Vote

• Rob Portman (R) 64% (61%) {55%} [58%] (53%) {52%}
• Lee Fisher (D) 35% (39%) {45%} [42%] (47%) {48%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Rob Portman 66% (61%) {57%} [52%] (49%) {51%} [46%] (47%) {48%} [49%] {45%} [45%] (45%) {49%} [48%] (45%) / 25% (27%) {31%} [27%] (28%) {23%} [27%] (26%) {22%} [23%] {26%} [27%] (24%) {25%} [21%] (23%) {+41%}
• Lee Fisher 39% (38%) {45%} [44%] (47%) {41%} [40%] (41%) {45%} [46%] {39%} [41%] (38%) {41%} [36%] (42%) / 50% (52%) {45%} [38%] (35%) {34%} [41%] (37%) {34%} [33%] {38%} [37%] (39%) {39%} [35%] (34%) {-14%}

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?

• Strongly approve 27% (29%) {35%} [32%] (27%) {25%} [29%] (31%) {31%} [34%] (29%) {32%} [29%] (29%) {29%} [31%] (33%)
• Somewhat approve 15% (18%) {13%} [12%] (18%) {20%} [17%] (15%) {17%} [15%] (19%) {14%} [18%] (20%) {17%} [15%] (15%)
• Somewhat disapprove 7% (8%) {7%} [8%] (8%) {9%} [11%] (8%) {8%} [8%] (8%) {9%} [10%] (10%) {13%} [12%] (10%)
• Strongly disapprove 50% (43%) {44%} [46%] (46%) {45%} [42%] (46%) {44%} [42%] (43%) {44%} [42%] (41%) {41%} [41%] (40%)

Survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted October 26, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 37% (36%) Democrat; 35% (34%) Republican; 27% (30%) Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 11, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 27, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 13, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 30, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 16, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 2, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 19, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 29, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 3, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 5, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 30, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 4, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 5-6, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 12, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 7, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 23, 2009 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Portman has the backing of 88% of Ohio Republicans, while only 63% of Democrats support Fisher. The Republican leads by a 59% to 28% margin among voters not affiliated with either of the major parties.