Poll Watch: Rasmussen California Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen California Gubernatorial Survey

• Jerry Brown (D) 49% (46%) {49%} [46%] (46%) {42%} [40%] (43%) {46%} [45%] (45%) {44%} [40%] (43%) {43%} [41%] (44%)
• Meg Whitman (R) 44% (41%) {42%} [40%] (44%) {46%} [48%] (41%) {47%} [44%] (41%) {38%} [40%] (43%) {39%} [41%] (35%)

With Leaners

• Jerry Brown (D) 49% (48%) {50%} [49%] (47%) {45%} [43%]
• Meg Whitman (R) 45% (42%) {44%} [44%] (46%) {48%} [51%]

Among Voters Certain of Their Vote

• Jerry Brown (D) 52% (51%) {53%} [53%] (51%) {48%} [48%]
• Meg Whitman (R) 46% (47%) {47%} [47%] (49%) {52%} [52%]

Already Voted

• Meg Whitman (R) 49%
• Jerry Brown (D) 46%

Did Not Vote Yet

• Jerry Brown (D) 52%
• Meg Whitman (R) 42%

Certain to Vote

• Jerry Brown (D) 48%
• Meg Whitman (R) 46%

Favorable / Unfavorable (Net)

• Jerry Brown 52% (49%) {52%} [45%] (48%) {45%} [46%] (47%) {47%} [48%] (53%) {51%} [46%] (53%) {49%} [48%] (53%) / 47% (47%) {47%} [48%] (49%) {51%} [51%] (50%) {48%} [47%] (42%) {42%} [44%] (41%) {40%} [41%] (37%) {+5%}
• Meg Whitman 45% (43%) {47%} [44%] (45%) {55%} [49%] (47%) {49%} [51%] (48%) {47%} [51%] (56%) {48%} [47%] (45%) / 53% (53%) {49%} [50%] (50%) {40%} [44%] (46%) {44%} [41%] (47%) {43%} [34%] (28%) {30%} [27%] (28%) {-8%}

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?

• Strongly approve 36% (34%) {33%} [32%] (39%) {36%} [36%] (34%) {34%} [43%] (36%) {37%}
• Somewhat approve 15% (20%) {24%} [21%] (18%) {19%} [19%] (22%) {23%} [16%] (19%) {23%}
• Somewhat disapprove 7% (6%) {6%} [7%] (7%) {6%} [7%] (7%) {7%} [6%] (7%) {7%}
• Strongly disapprove 42% (38%) {36%} [37%] (35%) {37%} [36%] (34%) {35%} [33%] (35%) {32%}

How would you rate the job Arnold Schwarzenegger has been doing as Governor?

• Strongly approve 6% (5%) {4%} [9%] (5%) {8%} [4%] (5%) {6%} [6%] (8%) {4%}
• Somewhat approve 29% (27%) {28%} [24%] (26%) {24%} [22%] (24%) {22%} [24%] (20%) {25%}
• Somewhat disapprove 33% (34%) {36%} [31%] (32%) {31%} [31%] (31%) {30%} [34%] (39%) {36%}
• Strongly disapprove 31% (33%) {31%} [35%] (34%) {35%} [38%] (38%) {41%} [33%] (31%) {34%}

Survey of 750 Likely Voters was conducted October 27, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted October 21, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 13, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 3, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 20, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 6, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 24, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 3, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 12, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 9, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 24, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 19, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 15, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 15, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 19, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 17, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 24, 2009 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Whitman is backed by 79% of California Republicans, while Brown draws support from 86% of Democrats. Whitman holds a 4-point lead among voters not affiliated with either major political party.