Bill Maher Plays Hardball on 2012 GOP Field

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Poll Watch: PPP (D) California Gubernatorial Survey

PPP (D) California Gubernatorial Survey

• Jerry Brown (D) 51% (53%) {47%} [46%] (48%)
• Meg Whitman (R) 46% (42%) {42%} [40%] (36%)
• Undecided 3% (5%) {12%} [14%] (16%)

Already Voted: 42% (26%)

• Jerry Brown (D) 53% (50%)
• Meg Whitman (R) 45% (43%)

Did Not Vote Yet: 58% (74%)

• Jerry Brown (D) 50% (54%)
• Meg Whitman (R) 46% (42%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Jerry Brown 42% (48%) {42%} [41%] (37%) / 49% (44%) {45%} [43%] (39%) {-7%}
• Meg Whitman 38% (36%) {35%} [30%] (24%) / 50% (55%) {49%} [50%] (44%) {-12%} 

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger’s job performance?

• Approve 24% (25%) {20%} [19%] (20%)
• Disapprove 67% (63%) {69%} [71%] (64%)

Proposition 19 would legalize marijuana under California but not federal law. It would permit local governments to regulate and tax commercial production, distribution, and sale of marijuana. Will you vote yes or no on Proposition 19?

• Yes 44% (45%)
• No 51% (48%)
• Undecided 5% (7%)

Survey of 882 likely California voters was conducted October 29-31, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 44% (47%) {49%} [46%] (46%) Democrat; 37% (34%) {33%} [34%] (33%) Republican; 18% (19%) {18%} [19%] (21%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 42% (47%) {39%} [41%] (43%) Moderate; 37% (30%) {34%} [33%] (34%) Conservative; 21% (23%) {27%} [25%] (23%) Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted October 21-23, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 14-16, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 23-25, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 21-23, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen California Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen California Gubernatorial Survey

• Jerry Brown (D) 49% (46%) {49%} [46%] (46%) {42%} [40%] (43%) {46%} [45%] (45%) {44%} [40%] (43%) {43%} [41%] (44%)
• Meg Whitman (R) 44% (41%) {42%} [40%] (44%) {46%} [48%] (41%) {47%} [44%] (41%) {38%} [40%] (43%) {39%} [41%] (35%)

With Leaners

• Jerry Brown (D) 49% (48%) {50%} [49%] (47%) {45%} [43%]
• Meg Whitman (R) 45% (42%) {44%} [44%] (46%) {48%} [51%]

Among Voters Certain of Their Vote

• Jerry Brown (D) 52% (51%) {53%} [53%] (51%) {48%} [48%]
• Meg Whitman (R) 46% (47%) {47%} [47%] (49%) {52%} [52%]

Already Voted

• Meg Whitman (R) 49%
• Jerry Brown (D) 46%

Did Not Vote Yet

• Jerry Brown (D) 52%
• Meg Whitman (R) 42%

Certain to Vote

• Jerry Brown (D) 48%
• Meg Whitman (R) 46%

Favorable / Unfavorable (Net)

• Jerry Brown 52% (49%) {52%} [45%] (48%) {45%} [46%] (47%) {47%} [48%] (53%) {51%} [46%] (53%) {49%} [48%] (53%) / 47% (47%) {47%} [48%] (49%) {51%} [51%] (50%) {48%} [47%] (42%) {42%} [44%] (41%) {40%} [41%] (37%) {+5%}
• Meg Whitman 45% (43%) {47%} [44%] (45%) {55%} [49%] (47%) {49%} [51%] (48%) {47%} [51%] (56%) {48%} [47%] (45%) / 53% (53%) {49%} [50%] (50%) {40%} [44%] (46%) {44%} [41%] (47%) {43%} [34%] (28%) {30%} [27%] (28%) {-8%}

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?

• Strongly approve 36% (34%) {33%} [32%] (39%) {36%} [36%] (34%) {34%} [43%] (36%) {37%}
• Somewhat approve 15% (20%) {24%} [21%] (18%) {19%} [19%] (22%) {23%} [16%] (19%) {23%}
• Somewhat disapprove 7% (6%) {6%} [7%] (7%) {6%} [7%] (7%) {7%} [6%] (7%) {7%}
• Strongly disapprove 42% (38%) {36%} [37%] (35%) {37%} [36%] (34%) {35%} [33%] (35%) {32%}

How would you rate the job Arnold Schwarzenegger has been doing as Governor?

• Strongly approve 6% (5%) {4%} [9%] (5%) {8%} [4%] (5%) {6%} [6%] (8%) {4%}
• Somewhat approve 29% (27%) {28%} [24%] (26%) {24%} [22%] (24%) {22%} [24%] (20%) {25%}
• Somewhat disapprove 33% (34%) {36%} [31%] (32%) {31%} [31%] (31%) {30%} [34%] (39%) {36%}
• Strongly disapprove 31% (33%) {31%} [35%] (34%) {35%} [38%] (38%) {41%} [33%] (31%) {34%}

Survey of 750 Likely Voters was conducted October 27, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted October 21, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 13, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 3, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 20, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 6, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 24, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 3, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 12, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 9, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 24, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 19, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 15, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 15, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 19, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 17, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 24, 2009 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Whitman is backed by 79% of California Republicans, while Brown draws support from 86% of Democrats. Whitman holds a 4-point lead among voters not affiliated with either major political party.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) California Gubernatorial Survey

PPP (D) California Gubernatorial Survey

• Jerry Brown (D) 53% {47%} [46%] (48%)
• Meg Whitman (R) 42% {42%} [40%] (36%)
• Undecided 5% {12%} [14%] (16%)

Already Voted (26%)

• Jerry Brown (D) 50%
• Meg Whitman (R) 43%

Did Not Vote Yet (74%)

• Jerry Brown (D) 54%
• Meg Whitman (R) 42%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Jerry Brown 48% {42%} [41%] (37%) / 44% {45%} [43%] (39%) {+4%}
• Meg Whitman 36% {35%} [30%] (24%) / 55% {49%} [50%] (44%) {-19%} 

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger’s job performance?

• Approve 25% {20%} [19%] (20%)
• Disapprove 63% {69%} [71%] (64%)

Proposition 19 would legalize marijuana under California but not federal law. It would permit local governments to regulate and tax commercial production, distribution, and sale of marijuana. Will you vote yes or no on Proposition 19?

• Yes 45%
• No 48%
• Undecided 7%

Survey of 622 likely California voters was conducted October 21-23 , 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3.9 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 47% {49%} [46%] (46%) Democrat; 34% {33%} [34%] (33%) Republican; 19% {18%} [19%] (21%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 47% {39%} [41%] (43%) Moderate; 30% {34%} [33%] (34%) Conservative; 23% {27%} [25%] (23%) Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted September 14-16, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 23-25, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 21-23, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Suffolk University California Political Survey

Suffolk University California Political Survey

Senatorial Election

• Barbara Boxer (D) 52%
• Carly Fiorina (R) 43%
• Other 4%
• Not sure 2%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Barbara Boxer 49% / 43% {+6%} 
• Carly Fiorina 34% / 49% {-15%}

Gubernatorial Election

• Jerry Brown (D) 50% 
• Meg Whitman (R) 42%
• Other 5%
• Not sure 3% 

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Jerry Brown 49% / 39% {+10%} 
• Meg Whitman 32% / 54% {-22%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?

• Approve 52%
• Disapprove 40%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Hillary Clinton 60% / 29% {+31%}
• Barack Obama 57% / 37% {+20%}
• Nancy Pelosi 39% / 48% {-9%}
• Arnold Schwarzenegger 32% / 55% {-23%}

Survey of 600 likely voters was conducted October 21-24, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Party registration breakdown: 45% Democrat; 31% Republican; 25% Independent/Other.  Click here to view crosstabs.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen California Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen California Gubernatorial Survey

• Jerry Brown (D) 46% {49%} [46%] (46%) {42%} [40%] (43%) {46%} [45%] (45%) {44%} [40%] (43%) {43%} [41%] (44%)
• Meg Whitman (R) 41% {42%} [40%] (44%) {46%} [48%] (41%) {47%} [44%] (41%) {38%} [40%] (43%) {39%} [41%] (35%)

With Leaners

• Jerry Brown (D) 48% {50%} [49%] (47%) {45%} [43%]
• Meg Whitman (R) 42% {44%} [44%] (46%) {48%} [51%]

Among Voters Certain of Their Vote

• Jerry Brown (D) 51% {53%} [53%] (51%) {48%} [48%]
• Meg Whitman (R) 47% {47%} [47%] (49%) {52%} [52%]

Favorable / Unfavorable (Net)

• Jerry Brown 49% {52%} [45%] (48%) {45%} [46%] (47%) {47%} [48%] (53%) {51%} [46%] (53%) {49%} [48%] (53%) / 47% {47%} [48%] (49%) {51%} [51%] (50%) {48%} [47%] (42%) {42%} [44%] (41%) {40%} [41%] (37%) {+2%}
• Meg Whitman 43% {47%} [44%] (45%) {55%} [49%] (47%) {49%} [51%] (48%) {47%} [51%] (56%) {48%} [47%] (45%) / 53% {49%} [50%] (50%) {40%} [44%] (46%) {44%} [41%] (47%) {43%} [34%] (28%) {30%} [27%] (28%) {-10%}

In political terms, please tell me whether Meg Whitman is very conservative, somewhat conservative, moderate, somewhat liberal or very liberal.

• Very conservative 32% (23%)
• Somewhat conservative 37% (36%)
• Moderate 14% (21%)
• Somewhat liberal 5% (6%)
• Very liberal 1% (3%)

In political terms, please tell me whether Jerry Brown is very conservative, somewhat conservative, moderate, somewhat liberal or very liberal.

• Very conservative 4% (6%)
• Somewhat conservative 3% (4%)
• Moderate 20% (18%)
• Somewhat liberal 36% (29%)
• Very liberal 30% (31%)

Would it be more accurate to describe Meg Whitman's views as mainstream or extreme?

• Mainstream 46% (44%)
• Extreme 38% (33%)

Would it be more accurate to describe Jerry Brown's views as mainstream or extreme?

• Mainstream 46% (42%)
• Extreme 43% (39%)

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?

• Strongly approve 34% {33%} [32%] (39%) {36%} [36%] (34%) {34%} [43%] (36%) {37%}
• Somewhat approve 20% {24%} [21%] (18%) {19%} [19%] (22%) {23%} [16%] (19%) {23%}
• Somewhat disapprove 6% {6%} [7%] (7%) {6%} [7%] (7%) {7%} [6%] (7%) {7%}
• Strongly disapprove 38% {36%} [37%] (35%) {37%} [36%] (34%) {35%} [33%] (35%) {32%}

How would you rate the job Arnold Schwarzenegger has been doing as Governor?

• Strongly approve 5% {4%} [9%] (5%) {8%} [4%] (5%) {6%} [6%] (8%) {4%}
• Somewhat approve 27% {28%} [24%] (26%) {24%} [22%] (24%) {22%} [24%] (20%) {25%}
• Somewhat disapprove 34% {36%} [31%] (32%) {31%} [31%] (31%) {30%} [34%] (39%) {36%}
• Strongly disapprove 33% {31%} [35%] (34%) {35%} [38%] (38%) {41%} [33%] (31%) {34%}

Survey of 750 Likely Voters was conducted October 21, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 42% {43%} [40%] (39%) Democrat; 34% {37%} [36%] (37%) Republican; 24% {20%} [24%] (24%) Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 13, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 3, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 20, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 6, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 24, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 3, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 12, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 9, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 24, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 19, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 15, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 15, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 19, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 17, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 24, 2009 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Whitman is backed by 84% of California Republicans, while Brown draws support from 76% of Democrats. Brown holds a 16-point lead among voters not affiliated with either major political party.

Jerry Brown for Governor Ad: "Echo"

Poll Watch: Rasmussen California Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen California Gubernatorial Survey

• Jerry Brown (D) 49% [46%] (46%) {42%} [40%] (43%) {46%} [45%] (45%) {44%} [40%] (43%) {43%} [41%] (44%)
• Meg Whitman (R) 42% [40%] (44%) {46%} [48%] (41%) {47%} [44%] (41%) {38%} [40%] (43%) {39%} [41%] (35%)

With Leaners

• Jerry Brown (D) 50% [49%] (47%) {45%} [43%]
• Meg Whitman (R) 44% [44%] (46%) {48%} [51%]

Among Voters Certain of Their Vote

• Jerry Brown (D) 53% [53%] (51%) {48%} [48%]
• Meg Whitman (R) 47% [47%] (49%) {52%} [52%]

Favorable / Unfavorable (Net)

• Jerry Brown 52% [45%] (48%) {45%} [46%] (47%) {47%} [48%] (53%) {51%} [46%] (53%) {49%} [48%] (53%) / 47% [48%] (49%) {51%} [51%] (50%) {48%} [47%] (42%) {42%} [44%] (41%) {40%} [41%] (37%) {+5%}
• Meg Whitman 47% [44%] (45%) {55%} [49%] (47%) {49%} [51%] (48%) {47%} [51%] (56%) {48%} [47%] (45%) / 49% [50%] (50%) {40%} [44%] (46%) {44%} [41%] (47%) {43%} [34%] (28%) {30%} [27%] (28%) {-2%}

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?

• Strongly approve 33% [32%] (39%) {36%} [36%] (34%) {34%} [43%] (36%) {37%}
• Somewhat approve 24% [21%] (18%) {19%} [19%] (22%) {23%} [16%] (19%) {23%}
• Somewhat disapprove 6% [7%] (7%) {6%} [7%] (7%) {7%} [6%] (7%) {7%}
• Strongly disapprove 36% [37%] (35%) {37%} [36%] (34%) {35%} [33%] (35%) {32%}

How would you rate the job Arnold Schwarzenegger has been doing as Governor?

• Strongly approve 4% [9%] (5%) {8%} [4%] (5%) {6%} [6%] (8%) {4%}
• Somewhat approve 28% [24%] (26%) {24%} [22%] (24%) {22%} [24%] (20%) {25%}
• Somewhat disapprove 36% [31%] (32%) {31%} [31%] (31%) {30%} [34%] (39%) {36%}
• Strongly disapprove 31% [35%] (34%) {35%} [38%] (38%) {41%} [33%] (31%) {34%}

Survey of 750 Likely Voters was conducted October 13, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 43% [40%] (39%) Democrat; 37% [36%] (37%) Republican; 20% [24%] (24%) Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 3, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 20, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 6, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 24, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 3, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 12, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 9, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 24, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 19, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 15, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 15, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 19, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 17, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 24, 2009 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Whitman, a former CEO of eBay, now has the support of 84% of California Republicans, while 86% of the state’s Democrats back Brown. The two are tied among voters not affiliated with either of the major parties.

Poll Watch: Reuters/Ipsos California Political Survey

Reuters/Ipsos California Political Survey

Senatorial Election

• Barbara Boxer (D) 49% (45%)
• Carly Fiorina (R) 45% (41%)

Gubernatorial Election

• Jerry Brown (D) 50% (45%)
• Meg Whitman (R) 43% (39%)

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Arnold Schwarzenegger is handling his job as Governor of California?

• Approve 31% (27%)
• Disapprove 64% (69%)

Survey of 448 likely voters was conducted October 2-4, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4.7 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted June 25-27, 2010 are in parentheses.  Click here to view crosstabs.

Rasmussen California Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen California Gubernatorial Survey

• Jerry Brown (D) 46% (46%) {42%} [40%] (43%) {46%} [45%] (45%) {44%} [40%] (43%) {43%} [41%] (44%)
• Meg Whitman (R) 40% (44%) {46%} [48%] (41%) {47%} [44%] (41%) {38%} [40%] (43%) {39%} [41%] (35%)

With Leaners

• Jerry Brown (D) 49% (47%) {45%} [43%]
• Meg Whitman (R) 44% (46%) {48%} [51%]

Among Voters Certain of Their Vote

• Jerry Brown (D) 53% (51%) {48%} [48%]
• Meg Whitman (R) 47% (49%) {52%} [52%]

Favorable / Unfavorable (Net)

• Jerry Brown 45% (48%) {45%} [46%] (47%) {47%} [48%] (53%) {51%} [46%] (53%) {49%} [48%] (53%) / 48% (49%) {51%} [51%] (50%) {48%} [47%] (42%) {42%} [44%] (41%) {40%} [41%] (37%) {-3%}
• Meg Whitman 44% (45%) {55%} [49%] (47%) {49%} [51%] (48%) {47%} [51%] (56%) {48%} [47%] (45%) / 50% (50%) {40%} [44%] (46%) {44%} [41%] (47%) {43%} [34%] (28%) {30%} [27%] (28%) {-6%}

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?

• Strongly approve 32% (39%) {36%} [36%] (34%) {34%} [43%] (36%) {37%}
• Somewhat approve 21% (18%) {19%} [19%] (22%) {23%} [16%] (19%) {23%}
• Somewhat disapprove 7% (7%) {6%} [7%] (7%) {7%} [6%] (7%) {7%}
• Strongly disapprove 37%(35%) {37%} [36%] (34%) {35%} [33%] (35%) {32%}

How would you rate the job Arnold Schwarzenegger has been doing as Governor?

• Strongly approve 9% (5%) {8%} [4%] (5%) {6%} [6%] (8%) {4%}
• Somewhat approve 24% (26%) {24%} [22%] (24%) {22%} [24%] (20%) {25%}
• Somewhat disapprove 31% (32%) {31%} [31%] (31%) {30%} [34%] (39%) {36%}
• Strongly disapprove 35% (34%) {35%} [38%] (38%) {41%} [33%] (31%) {34%}

Survey of 750 Likely Voters was conducted October 3, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 40% (39%) Democrat; 36% (37%) Republican; 24% (24%) Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted September 20, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 6, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 24, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 3, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 12, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 9, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 24, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 19, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 15, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 15, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 19, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 17, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 24, 2009 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Whitman is backed by 85% of Republican voters while Brown is supported by 84% of Democrats. Brown now holds a 50% to 33% lead among voters not affiliated with either major political party.

Poll Watch: PPIC California Political Survey

PPIC California Political Survey

Senatorial Election

• Barbara Boxer (D) 42% [39%] {48%} (44%) [48%]
• Carly Fiorina (R) 35% [34%] {39%} (43%) [40%]
• Someone else 6%
• Don't Know 17% [22%] {13%} (13%) [12%]

Gubernatorial Election

• Meg Whitman (R) 38% [34%] {37%} (44%) [36%]
• Jerry Brown (D) 37% [37%] {42%} (39%) [41%]
• Someone else 7%
• Don't Know 18% [23%] {21%} (17%) [23%]

Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way that Barbara Boxer is handling her job as U.S. Senator?

• Approve 43%
• Disapprove 52%

Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way that Dianne Feinstein is handling her job as U.S. Senator?

• Approve 49%
• Disapprove 44%

Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way that Arnold Schwarzenegger is handling his job as governor of California

• Approve 28% [25%]
• Disapprove 66% [66%]

Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way that Barack Obama is handling his job as president of the United States?

• Approve 48% [50%] {53%}
• Disapprove 48% [46%] {43%}

Since taking office, have Barack Obama’s economic policies made economic conditions better, worse, or not had an effect so far?

• Better 32%
• Worse 33%
• No effect 33%

Overall, do you think that Congress and the Obama administration are doing more than enough, just enough, or not enough to help create jobs?

• More than enough 6%
• Just enough 23%
• Not enough 68%

Proposition 19 is called the ‘Legalizes Marijuana Under California but Not Federal Law. Permits Local Governments to Regulate and Tax Commercial Production, Distribution, and Sale of Marijuana. Initiative Statute.’ If the election were held today, would you vote yes or no on Proposition 19?

• Yes 52%
• No 41%

In general, do you think the use of marijuana should be made legal, or not?

• Yes, legal 51%
• No, illegal 45%

Proposition 23 is called the ‘Suspends Implementation of Air Pollution Control Law (AB 32) Requiring Major Sources of Emissions to Report and Reduce Greenhouse Gas Emissions That Cause Global Warming, Until Unemployment Drops to 5.5 Percent or Less for Full Year. Initiative Statute.’ If the election were held today, would you vote yes or no on Proposition 23?

• Yes 43%
• No 42%

Proposition 25 is called the ‘Changes Legislative Vote Requirement to Pass Budget and Budget-related Legislation from Two-Thirds to a Simple Majority. Retains Two-Thirds Vote Requirement for Taxes. Initiative Constitutional Amendment.’ If the election were held today, would you vote yes or no on Proposition 25?

• Yes 48%
• No 35%

Do you think it is a good idea or bad idea to lower the vote requirement to pass a state budget and state taxes from a two-thirds vote to a simple majority or 50 percent plus one vote?

• Good idea 44%
• Bad idea 46%

Do you favor or oppose raising the state taxes paid by California corporations to address the state budget deficit?

• Favor 42%
• Oppose 50%

Do you favor or oppose allowing gay and lesbian couples to be legally married?

• Favor 53%
• Oppose 42%

Proposition 8, which eliminated the right of same-sex couples to marry, was approved by voters in November 2008. Last month, a United States district court struck down Proposition 8, ruling it unconstitutional. Do you agree or disagree with the court’s ruling that Proposition 8 is unconstitutional?

• Agree 42%
• Disagree 53%

Survey of 1,104 likely voters was conducted September 19-26, 2010.  The margin of error is ± 3.6 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted July 6-20, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 9-16, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 9-16, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 12-19, 2010 are in square brackets.  Party registration breakdown: 45% [45%] Democrat; 31% [31%] Republican; 23% [22%] Independent.  Political ideology: 9% [11%] very liberal; 23% [20%] somewhat liberal; 29% [30%] middle-of-the-road; 24% [24%] somewhat conservative; 14% [13%] very conservative.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) California Gubernatorial Survey

PPP (D) California Gubernatorial Survey

• Jerry Brown (D) 47% [46%] (48%)
• Meg Whitman (R) 42% [40%] (36%)
• Undecided 12% [14%] (16%)

Among Men

• Meg Whitman (R) 46%
• Jerry Brown (D) 42%
• Undecided 12%

Among Women

• Jerry Brown (D) 51%
• Meg Whitman (R) 38%
• Undecided 11%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Jerry Brown 42% [41%] (37%) / 45% [43%] (39%) {-3%}
• Meg Whitman 35% [30%] (24%) / 49% [50%] (44%) {-14%} 

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger’s job performance?

• Approve 20% [19%] (20%)
• Disapprove 69% [71%] (64%)

Survey of 630 likely California voters was conducted September 14-16, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3.9 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 49% [46%] (46%) Democrat; 33% [34%] (33%) Republican; 18% [19%] (21%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 39% [41%] (43%) Moderate; 34% [33%] (34%) Conservative; 27% [25%] (23%) Liberal.Results from the poll conducted July 23-25, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 21-23, 2010 are in parentheses.