Poll Watch: Rasmussen Maine Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen Maine Gubernatorial Survey

• Paul LePage (R) 40% [35%] (45%) {38%} [39%] (43%)
• Libby Mitchell (D) 26% [32%] (27%) {30%} [31%] (36%)
• Eliot Cutler (I) 26% [21%] (14%) {16%} [15%] (7%)
• Other 4% [6%] (4%) {4%} [3%] (0%)
• Not sure 5% [6%] (10%) {11%} [12%] (14%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Eliot Cutler 57% [53%] (47%) {43%} / 39% [34%] (34%) {35%} {+18%}
• Paul LePage 49% [42%] (58%) {55%} / 50% [51%] (34%) {35}% {-1%}
• Libby Mitchell 40% [45%] (42%) {50%} / 57% [50%] (50%) {43%} {-17%}

Would it be more accurate to describe Paul LePage’s views as mainstream or extreme?

• Mainstream 41% {47%}
• Extreme 48% {34%}

Would it be more accurate to describe Libby Mitchell’s views as mainstream or extreme?

• Mainstream 52% {51%}
• Extreme 40% {33%}

Would it be more accurate to describe Eliot Cutler’s views as mainstream or extreme?

• Mainstream 66% {39%}
• Extreme 20% {29%}

How would you rate the job John Baldacci has been doing as Governor?

• Strongly approve 8% [11%] (11%) {13%}
• Somewhat approve 32% [35%] (27%) {32%}
• Somewhat disapprove 26% [26%] (31%) {22%}
• Strongly disapprove 34% [28%] (31%) {32%}

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?

• Strongly approve 28% [35%] (29%) {30%}
• Somewhat approve 24% [18%] (18%) {24%}
• Somewhat disapprove 8% [9%] (9%) {8%}
• Strongly disapprove 39% [37%] (43%) {38%}

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted October 26, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 37% [34%] Democrat; 34% [34%] Republican; 29% [32%] Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 12, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 20, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 12, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 14, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 10, 2010 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

LePage is backed by 81% of Maine Republicans, while Mitchell draws support from only 48% of Democrats. Thirty-seven percent (37%) of Democrats back Cutler. Among voters not affiliated with either major political party, 34% like LePage, 28% prefer Cutler, and 27% support Mitchell.