Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Kentucky Senatorial Survey

SurveyUSA Kentucky Senatorial Survey

• Rand Paul (R) 52% (49%) {55%} [51%] (51%)
• Jack Conway (D) 43% (47%) {40%} [43%] (45%)
• Undecided 4% (4%) {5%} [5%] (4%)

Among Men

• Rand Paul (R) 59% (59%) {65%} [57%] (54%)
• Jack Conway (D) 39% (38%) {31%} [38%] (44%)
• Undecided 3% (2%) {4%} [5%] (2%)

Among Women

• Jack Conway (D) 48% (55%) {48%} [49%] (46%)
• Rand Paul (R) 46% (39%) {45%} [46%] (48%)
• Undecided 6% (6%) {7%} [5%] (6%)

Among Democrats

• Jack Conway (D) 66% (72%) {64%} [69%] (68%)
• Rand Paul (R) 30% (25%) {32%} [25%] (29%)
• Undecided 4% (4%) {5%} [5%] (3%)

Among Republicans

• Rand Paul (R) 81% (83%) {82%} [85%] (82%)
• Jack Conway (D) 14% (12%) {13%} [11%] (16%)
• Undecided 5% (5%) {4%} [3%] (3%)

Among Independents

• Jack Conway (D) 51% (45%) {34%} [36%] (34%)
• Rand Paul (R) 45% (50%) {56%} [54%] (47%)
• Undecided (5%) {10%} [10%] (19%)

Among Conservatives

• Rand Paul (R) 82% (82%) {80%} [81%] (76%)
• Jack Conway (D) 14% (15%) {16%} [15%] (21%)
• Undecided 4% (3%) {4%} [4%] (3%)

Among Moderates

• Jack Conway (D) 65% (64%) {58%} [63%] (57%)
• Rand Paul (R) 32% (31%) {38%} [32%] (39%)
• Undecided 3% (6%) {4%} [5%] (4%)

Among Liberals

• Jack Conway (D) 75% (87%) {77%} [78%] (75%)
• Rand Paul (R) 18% (12%) {20%} [15%] (21%)
• Undecided 6% (1%) {2%} [6%] (4%)

Survey of 637 likely voters was conducted October 24-27, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 50% (51%) {47%} [50%] (54%) Democrat; 41% (36%) {42%} [37%] (40%) Republican; 9% (12%) {10%} [12%] (5%) Independent.  Political ideology: 44% (44%) {46%} [44%] (38%) Conservative; 38% (36%) {36%} [35%] (44%) Moderate; 13% (17%) {12%} [14%] (13%) Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted September 21-23, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 30 - September 1, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 27-29, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 25-27, 2010 are in parentheses.