Poll Watch: PPP (D) Alaska Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Alaska Senatorial Survey

In the election for US Senate will you vote for Democrat Scott McAdams, Republican Joe Miller, nonaffiliated candidate Tim Carter, nonaffiliated candidate Ted Gianoutsos, Libertarian Fredrick Haase, or are you going to write in Lisa Murkowski, or are you planning to write in someone else?

• Joe Miller (R) 37% [35%] (38%)
• Lisa Murkowski (R) 30% [33%] (34%)
• Scott McAdams (D) 30% [26%] (22%)
• Someone else 1% [1%]
• Undecided 2% [4%] (6%)

Among Independents

• Lisa Murkowski (R) 34% [38%] (38%)
• Scott McAdams (D) 32% [25%] (21%)
• Joe Miller (R) 31% [29%] (33%)
• Someone else 1% [1%]
• Undecided 2% [5%] (7%)

Among Republicans

• Joe Miller (R) 65% [61%] (59%)
• Lisa Murkowski (R) 27% [31%] (32%)
• Scott McAdams (D) 5% [4%] (5%)
• Undecided 2% [2%] (4%)

Among Democrats

• Scott McAdams (D) 63% [63%] (57%)
• Lisa Murkowski (R) 28% [25%] (28%)
• Joe Miller (R) 9% [8%] (7%)
• Undecided 0% [3%] (8%)

Among Conservatives

• Joe Miller (R) 67% [66%] (69%)
• Lisa Murkowski (R) 23% [24%] (23%)
• Scott McAdams (D) 7% [5%] (3%)
• Undecided 2% [3%] (6%)

Among Moderates

• Lisa Murkowski (R) 41% [47%] (48%)
• Scott McAdams (D) 38% [30%] (29%)
• Joe Miller (R) 18% [15%] (16%)
• Undecided 2% [5%] (7%)

Among Men

• Joe Miller (R) 40% [40%] (42%)
• Lisa Murkowski (R) 29% [31%] (35%)
• Scott McAdams (D) 28% [23%] (19%)
• Undecided 2% [4%] (5%)

Among Women

• Joe Miller (R) 34% [31%] (34%)
• Lisa Murkowski (R) 32% [36%] (33%)
• Scott McAdams (D) 32% [29%] (25%)
• Someone else 1% [1%]
• Undecided 2% [4%] (8%)

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Lisa Murkowski's job performance?

• Approve 37% 
• Disapprove 53%

Among Independents

• Approve 41%
• Disapprove 48%

Among Republicans

• Approve 31%
• Disapprove 63%

Among Democrats

• Approve 39%
• Disapprove 53%

Among Conservatives

• Approve 28%
• Disapprove 66% 

Among Moderates

• Approve 48%
• Disapprove 39%

Among Men

• Approve 35%
• Disapprove 56%

Among Women

• Approve 40%
• Disapprove 51%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Joe Miller?

• Favorable 36% [35%] (36%)
• Unfavorable 59% [58%] (52%)

Among Independents

• Favorable 30% [28%] (32%)
• Unfavorable 64% [65%] (54%)

Among Republicans

• Favorable 62% [59%] (57%)
• Unfavorable 32% [33%] (32%)

Among Democrats

• Favorable 11% [10%] (8%)
• Unfavorable 86% [85%] (84%)

Among Conservatives

• Favorable 63% [64%] (66%)
• Unfavorable 29% [28%] (20%)

Among Moderates

• Favorable 19% [17%] (15%)
• Unfavorable 77% [77%] (72%)

Among Men

• Favorable 40% [38%] (40%)
• Unfavorable 56% [56%] (48%)

Among Women

• Favorable 33% [32%] (33%)
• Unfavorable 62% [61%] (55%)

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Scott McAdams?

• Favorable 50% [44%] (23%)
• Unfavorable 30% [26%] (24%)

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Mark Begich’s job performance?

• Approve 39% [39%] (42%)
• Disapprove 47% [48%] (50%)

Do you approve or disapprove of Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 38% [38%] (44%)
• Disapprove 55% [55%] (53%) 

Survey of 1,539 likely voters was conducted October 30-31, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 2.5 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 48% [47%] (42%) Independent/Other; 32% [33%] (38%) Republican; 21% [20%] (20%) Democrat. Political ideology: 43% [43%] (44%) Moderate; 42% [41%] (42%) Conservative; 16% [16%] (14%) Liberal. Results from the poll conducted October 9-10, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 27-28, 2010 are in parentheses.