Poll Watch: Quinnipiac 2012 Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac 2012 Presidential Survey

• Mitt Romney 45%
• Barack Obama 44%

• Barack Obama 46%
• Mike Huckabee 44%

• Barack Obama 48%
• Sarah Palin 40%

• Barack Obama 45%
• Mitch Daniels 36%

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 46%
• Barack Obama 35%

• Mike Huckabee 47%
• Barack Obama 40%

• Barack Obama 37%
• Mitch Daniels 34%

• Barack Obama 44%
• Sarah Palin 37%

Among Moderates

• Barack Obama 56%
• Mitt Romney 32%

• Barack Obama 59%
• Mike Huckabee 29%

• Barack Obama 60%
• Mitch Daniels 20%

• Barack Obama 63%
• Sarah Palin 22% 

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 51%
• Barack Obama 40%

• Mike Huckabee 49%
• Barack Obama 42%

• Barack Obama 44%
• Sarah Palin 44%

• Barack Obama 42%
• Mitch Daniels 39%

Among Women

• Barack Obama 48%
• Mitt Romney 39%

• Barack Obama 49%
• Mike Huckabee 40%

• Barack Obama 52%
• Sarah Palin 36%

• Barack Obama 49%
• Mitch Daniels 32%

College Degree

• Barack Obama 51%
• Mitt Romney 42%

• Barack Obama 52%
• Mike Huckabee 40%

• Barack Obama 51%
• Mitch Daniels 32%

• Barack Obama 56%
• Sarah Palin 33% 

No College Degree

• Mitt Romney 46%
• Barack Obama 42%

• Mike Huckabee 46%
• Barack Obama 43%

• Barack Obama 46%
• Sarah Palin 42%

• Barack Obama 43%
• Mitch Daniels 37%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mike Huckabee 41% / 25% {+16%}
• Mitt Romney 38% / 26% {+12%}
• Tim Pawlenty 13% / 10% {+3%}
• Mitch Daniels 10% / 8% {+2%}
• John Thune 7% / 5% {+2%}
• Barack Obama 48% / 48% {0%}
• Haley Barbour 12% / 12% {0%}
• Tea Party movement 34% / 38% {-4%}
• Republican Party 40% / 45% {-5%}
• Democratic Party 38% / 50% {-12%}
• Newt Gingrich 30% / 43% {-13%}
• Sarah Palin 36% / 51% {-15%}

Among Republicans

• Republican Party 85% / 8% {+77%}
• Mike Huckabee 69% / 7% {+62%}
• Sarah Palin 74% / 17% {+57%}
• Mitt Romney 64% / 9% {+55%}
• Tea Party movement 65% / 11% {+54%}
• Newt Gingrich 60% / 18% {+42%}
• Tim Pawlenty 25% / 3% {+22%}
• Haley Barbour 22% / 4% {+18%}
• Mitch Daniels 18% / 2% {+16%}
• John Thune 12% / 2% {+10%}
• Democratic Party 5% / 86% {-81%}
• Barack Obama 6% / 91% {-85%}

Among Independents

• Mike Huckabee 45% / 21% {+24%}
• Mitt Romney 43% / 22% {+21%}
• Tim Pawlenty 14% / 9% {+5%}
• John Thune 8% / 3% {+5%}
• Mitch Daniels 10% / 7% {+3%}
• Haley Barbour 13% / 13% {0%}
• Tea Party movement 35% / 37% {-2%}
• Barack Obama 43% / 52% {-9%}
• Republican Party 33% / 48% {-15%}
• Newt Gingrich 26% / 45% {-19%}
• Sarah Palin 33% / 54% {-21%}
• Democratic Party 28% / 56% {-28%}

Looking ahead to the 2012 election for President, do you feel that Barack Obama deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?

• Deserves reelection 43%
• Does not 49%

Do you consider yourself part of the Tea party movement or not?

• Yes 13%
• No 83%

Among Republicans

• Yes 25%
• No 71%

Among Independents

• Yes 14%
• No 84%

Among Democrats

• Yes 2%
• No 94%

Republican Nomination
(Among Republicans and Republican Leaners)

• Sarah Palin 19%
• Mitt Romney 18%
• Mike Huckabee 17%
• Newt Gingrich 15%
• Tim Pawlenty 6%
• Mitch Daniels 2%
• Haley Barbour 2%
• John Thune 2%
• Don't know 17%

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 20%
• Newt Gingrich 18%
• Mike Huckabee 17%
• Sarah Palin 14%
• Tim Pawlenty 6%
• Mitch Daniels 3%
• Haley Barbour 3%
• John Thune 2%
• Don't know 15%

Among Women

• Sarah Palin 25%
• Mike Huckabee 18%
• Mitt Romney 15%
• Newt Gingrich 11%
• Tim Pawlenty 5%
• Mitch Daniels 2%
• Haley Barbour 1%
• John Thune 1%
• Don't know 19%

College Degree

• Mitt Romney 26%
• Mike Huckabee 18%
• Newt Gingrich 15%
• Sarah Palin 10%
• Tim Pawlenty 6%
• Haley Barbour 4%
• Mitch Daniels 3%
• John Thune 3%
• Don't know 13%

No College Degree

• Sarah Palin 22%
• Mike Huckabee 17%
• Newt Gingrich 15%
• Mitt Romney 14%
• Tim Pawlenty 6%
• Mitch Daniels 2%
• Haley Barbour 1%
• John Thune 1%
• Don't know 19%

(Among Democrats and Democrat Leaners)
Would you like to see a candidate other than Barack Obama run for the Democratic nomination for President in 2012 or not?

• Yes 27%
• No 64%

Among Men

• Yes 30%
• No 62%

Among Women

• Yes 25%
• No 65%

College Degree

• Yes 16%
• No 76%

No College Degree

• Yes 32%
• No 58%

Among Whites

• Yes 32%
• No 59%

Among Blacks

• Yes 13%
• No 83%

Survey of 2,424 registered voters was conducted November 8-15, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 2 percentage points.