Poll Watch: PPP (D) Florida Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Florida Senatorial Survey 

• Marco Rubio (R) 47% (44%) {40%} [29%] (34%)
• Charlie Crist (I) 30% (33%) {32%} [35%] (27%)
• Kendrick Meek (D) 21% (21%) {17%} [17%] (25%)
• Undecided 2% (3%)

Among Democrats

• Charlie Crist (I) 48% (42%) {38%} [44%] (32%)
• Kendrick Meek (D) 39% (41%) {39%} [35%] (47%)
• Marco Rubio (R) 11% (15%) {11%} [6%] (9%)
• Undecided 1% (2%)

Among Republicans

• Marco Rubio (R) 84% (82%) {69%} [54%] (62%)
• Charlie Crist (I) 12% (14%) {20%} [23%] (18%)
• Kendrick Meek (D) 3% (2%) {1%} [1%] (7%) 
• Undecided 1% (2%)

Among Independents

• Marco Rubio (R) 41% (27%) {34%} [25%] (24%)
• Charlie Crist (I) 33% (50%) {50%} [40%] (35%)
• Kendrick Meek (D) 20% (19%) {4%} [15%] (22%)
• Undecided 6% (4%)

Among Conservatives

• Marco Rubio (R) 80% (80%) {69%} [59%] (62%)
• Charlie Crist (I) 10% (13%) {19%} [20%] (18%)
• Kendrick Meek (D) 8% (6%) {3%} [3%] (5%)
• Undecided 1% (1%)

Among Moderates

• Charlie Crist (I) 41% (48%) {44%} [45%] (34%)
• Marco Rubio (R) 31% (29%) {24%} [14%] (19%)
• Kendrick Meek (D) 25% (19%) {20%} [20%] (32%)
• Undecided 3% (5%)

Among Liberals

• Charlie Crist (I) 53% (40%) {37%} [41%] (30%)
• Kendrick Meek (D) 39% (53%) {40%} [40%] (58%)
• Marco Rubio (R) 8% (6%) {11%} [7%] (7%)
• Undecided 0% (2%)

Among Men

• Marco Rubio (R) 52% (43%) {40%} [34%] (41%)
• Charlie Crist (I) 30% (36%) {33%} [30%] (25%)
• Kendrick Meek (D) 18% (20%) {16%} [21%] (22%)
• Undecided 1% (1%)

Among Women

• Marco Rubio (R) 43% (45%) {40%} [24%] (29%)
• Charlie Crist (I) 31% (30%) {31%} [39%] (28%)
• Kendrick Meek (D) 24% (22%) {18%} [14%] (28%)
• Undecided 2% (4%)

Among Whites

• Marco Rubio (R) 55% (55%)
• Charlie Crist (I) 30% (29%)
• Kendrick Meek (D) 13% (14%)
• Undecided 2% (2%)

Among Hispanics

• Marco Rubio (R) 49% (22%) {36%} [16%] (35%)
• Charlie Crist (I) 32% (48%) {36%} [42%] (22%)
• Kendrick Meek (D) 18% (23%) {12%} [32%] (22%)
• Undecided 1% (7%)

Among Blacks

• Kendrick Meek (D) 63% (63%)
• Charlie Crist (I) 29% (28%)
• Marco Rubio (R) 5% (8%)
• Undecided 2% (1%)

Already Voted (41%)

• Marco Rubio (R) 48%
• Charlie Crist (I) 32%
• Kendrick Meek (D) 20%
• Undecided 1%

Did Not Vote Yet (59%)

• Marco Rubio (R) 47%
• Charlie Crist (I) 30%
• Kendrick Meek (D) 21%
• Undecided 2%

If the candidates for US Senate were just Independent Charlie Crist and Republican Marco Rubio, who would you vote for?

• Marco Rubio (R) 48% (46%)
• Charlie Crist (I) 44% (46%)
• Undecided 8% (8%)

Among Democrats

• Charlie Crist (I) 76% (69%)
• Marco Rubio (R) 13% (20%)
• Undecided 10% (12%)

Among Republicans

• Marco Rubio (R) 84% (80%)
• Charlie Crist (I) 12% (14%)
• Undecided 3% (7%)

Among Independents

• Charlie Crist (I) 44% (66%)
• Marco Rubio (R) 42% (31%)
• Undecided 14% (3%)

Among Conservatives

• Marco Rubio (R) 82% (80%)
• Charlie Crist (I) 13% (15%)
• Undecided 5% (4%)

Among Moderates

• Charlie Crist (I) 59% (61%)
• Marco Rubio (R) 31% (31%)
• Undecided 10% (8%)

Among Liberals

• Charlie Crist (I) 80% (77%)
• Marco Rubio (R) 9% (8%)
• Undecided 11% (15%)

Among Men

• Marco Rubio (R) 52% (45%)
• Charlie Crist (I) 40% (48%)
• Undecided 8% (7%)

Among Women

• Charlie Crist (I) 47% (45%)
• Marco Rubio (R) 44% (47%)
• Undecided 8% (9%)

Among Whites

• Marco Rubio (R) 56% (55%)
• Charlie Crist (I) 39% (38%)
• Undecided 5% (7%)

Among Hispanics

• Marco Rubio (R) 50% (28%)
• Charlie Crist (I) 44% (69%)
• Undecided 6% (3%)

Among Blacks

• Charlie Crist (I) 69% (59%)
• Marco Rubio (R) 9% (15%)
• Undecided 22% (27%)

If the candidates for US Senate were just Democrat Kendrick Meek and Republican Marco Rubio, who would you vote for?

• Marco Rubio (R) 51%(48%)
• Kendrick Meek (D) 42% (41%)
• Undecided 7% (12%)

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Charlie Crist’s job performance?

• Approve 41% (47%) {42%} [44%] (35%)
• Disapprove 43% (43%) {44%} [41%] (51%) 

Among Democrats

• Approve 59% (58%) {54%} [58%] (45%)
• Disapprove 24% (30%) {29%} [27%] (41%)

Among Republicans

• Approve 23% (23%) {29%} [29%] (28%)
• Disapprove 64% (66%) {59%} [55%] (58%)

Among Independents

• Approve 44% (70%) {47%} [46%] (29%)
• Disapprove 39% (25%) {37%} [39%] (53%)

Among Conservatives

• Approve 18% (21%) {26%} [27%] (22%)
• Disapprove 68% (66%) {60%} [58%] (61%)

Among Moderates

• Approve 53% (62%) {54%} [54%] (45%)
• Disapprove 28% (31%) {32%} [32%] (42%)

Among Liberals

• Approve 65% (65%) {51%} [55%] (35%)
• Disapprove 23% (24%) {32%} [28%] (51%)

Among Men

• Approve 43% (51%) {45%} [42%] (36%)
• Disapprove 45% (40%) {46%} [42%] (51%)

Among Women

• Approve 40% (42%) {39%} [46%] (34%)
• Disapprove 42% (46%) {41%} [40%] (50%)

If Charlie Crist ran for political office again in the future would you definitely vote for him, consider voting for him, or definitely not vote for him?

• Would definitely vote for him 17%
• Would consider voting for him 43%
• Would definitely not vote for him 39%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Marco Rubio?

• Favorable 51% (45%) {40%} [31%] (31%)
• Unfavorable 41% (43%) {37%} [46%] (32%) 

Among Conservatives

• Favorable 84% (77%) {70%} [56%] (52%)
• Unfavorable 11% (13%) {15%} [19%] (17%)

Among Moderates

• Favorable 35% (32%) {27%} [18%] (19%)
• Unfavorable 55% (54%) {47%} [59%] (39%)

Among Liberals

• Favorable 12% (10%) {9%} [15%] (16%)
• Unfavorable 77% (77%) {62%} [68%] (48%)

Among Independents

• Favorable 49% (36%) {38%} [29%] (25%)
• Unfavorable 39% (48%) {35%} [51%] (34%)

Among Men

• Favorable 54% (44%) {41%} [37%] (36%)
• Unfavorable 40% (46%) {41%} [45%] (36%)

Among Women

• Favorable 48% (46%) {40%} [26%] (28%)
• Unfavorable 42% (41%) {34%} [47%] (29%)

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Kendrick Meek?

• Favorable 42% (35%) {25%} [18%] (17%)
• Unfavorable 32% (37%) {35%} [27%] (20%)

Do you approve or disapprove of Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 40% (42%) {39%} [45%] (46%)
• Disapprove 55% (52%) {55%} [49%] (50%)  

Survey of 773 likely voters was conducted October 30-31, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 42% (40%) {44%} [40%] (42%) Republican; 41% (41%) {42%} [40%] (39%) Democrat; 16% (19%) {14%} [20%] (19%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 41% (40%) {36%} [44%] (45%) Moderate; 41% (39%) {41%} [37%] (39%) Conservative; 18% (21%) {22%} [19%] (16%) Liberal.  Race: 68% (70%) White; 14% (15%) Hispanic; 14% (11%) Black; 4% (4%) Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 9-10, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 21-22, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 16-18, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 5-8, 2010 are in parentheses.