Poll Watch: PPP (D) Illinois Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Illinois Senatorial Survey

• Mark Kirk (R) 46% {42%} [40%] (35%) {30%} [37%] (34%)
• Alexi Giannoulias (D) 42% {40%} [36%] (37%) {31%} [33%] (42%)
• LeAlan Jones (G) 3% {4%} [8%] (9%) {14%}
• Mike Labno (L) 3% {3%} [3%]
• Undecided 7% {10%} [13%] (19%) {24%} [30%] (24%)

Among Men

• Mark Kirk (R) 48% {46%} [44%] (41%) {34%} [43%] (40%)
• Alexi Giannoulias (D) 38% {38%} [31%] (35%) {30%} [34%] (40%)
• LeAlan Jones (G) 4% {5%} [11%] (10%) {18%}
• Mike Labno (L) 3% {4%} [3%]
• Undecided 7% {7%} [12%] (15%) {17%} 

Among Women

• Alexi Giannoulias (D) 46% {43%} [41%] (40%) {32%} [32%] (43%)
• Mark Kirk (R) 44% {37%} [36%] (30%) {26%} [31%] (28%)
• Mike Labno (L) 3% {3%} [3%]
• LeAlan Jones (G) 2% {4%} [6%] (8%) {11%}
• Undecided 6% {13%} [15%] (22%) {31%} [37%] (29%)

Among Democrats

• Alexi Giannoulias (D) 78% {76%} [68%] (72%) {56%} [54%] (72%)
• Mark Kirk (R) 13% {10%} [9%] (5%) {10%} [10%] (7%)
• LeAlan Jones (G) 1% {5%} [7%] (8%) {15%}
• Mike Labno (L) 0% {0%} [2%]
• Undecided 8% {9%} [15%] (15%) {19%} [36%] (20%)

Among Republicans

• Mark Kirk (R) 87% {86%} [79%] (74%) {63%} [77%] (76%)
• Alexi Giannoulias (D) 8% {3%} [2%] (6%) {5%} [7%] (5%)
• Mike Labno (L) 1% {2%} [2%]
• LeAlan Jones (G) 0% {1%} [6%] (7%) {7%}
• Undecided 3% {9%} [11%] (12%) {25%} [16%] (19%)

Among Independents

• Mark Kirk (R) 46% {40%} [41%] (36%) {26%} [33%] (33%)
• Alexi Giannoulias (D) 31% {31%} [27%] (20%) {20%} [30%] (27%)
• Mike Labno (L) 7% {9%} [5%]
• LeAlan Jones (G) 7% {6%} [13%] (12%) {21%}
• Undecided 9% {14%} [14%] (32%) {32%} [37%] (40%)

Among Conservatives

• Mark Kirk (R) 75% {69%} [70%] (66%) {51%} [69%] (59%)
• Alexi Giannoulias (D) 10% {11%} [6%] (9%) {11%} [9%] (19%)
• Mike Labno (L) 5% {6%} [4%]
• LeAlan Jones (G) 2% {3%} [4%] (8%) {17%}
• Undecided 8% {11%} [16%] (17%) {21%} [22%] (21%)

Among Moderates

• Alexi Giannoulias (D) 52% {45%} [43%] (42%) {33%} [36%] (45%)
• Mark Kirk (R) 37% {39%} [33%] (25%) {27%} [23%] (25%)
• LeAlan Jones (G) 2% {4%} [9%] (11%) {14%}
• Mike Labno (L) 2% {3%} [2%]
• Undecided 8% {11%} [13%] (23%) {26%} [41%] (30%)

Among Liberals

• Alexi Giannoulias (D) 77% {78%} [74%] (78%) {56%} [71%] (68%)
• Mark Kirk (R) 15% {6%} [2%] (1%) {6%} [8%] (11%)
• LeAlan Jones (G) 4% {8%} [13%] (8%) {12%}
• Mike Labno (L) 2% {1%} [2%]
• Undecided 2% {8%} [9%] (13%) {26%} [22%] (21%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mark Kirk 39% {35%} [33%] (26%) {23%} [24%] (27%) / 45% {46%} [47%] (34%) {31%} [23%] (22%) {-6%}
• Alexi Giannoulias 35% {35%} [33%] (26%) {23%} [21%] (31%) / 49% {47%} [48%] (42%) {31%} [28%] (19%) {-14%}

Do you approve or disapprove of Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 46% {45%} [44%] (49%) {53%} [50%]
• Disapprove 48% {51%} [49%] (46%) {41%} [42%]

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Roland Burris’ job performance?

• Approve 18% {19%} [17%] (20%) {19%} [18%] (14%)
• Disapprove 57% {58%} [68%] (55%) {54%} [54%] (60%)

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Dick Durbin’s job performance?

• Approve 46% {47%} [46%] (50%) {49%} [45%] (47%)
• Disapprove 43% {45%} [43%] (38%) {36%} [34%] (39%)

Survey of 814 likely voters was conducted October 30-31, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 39% {40%} [42%] (41%) {42%} [42%] (47%) Democrat; 31% {30%} [32%] (32%) {29%} [30%] (31%) Republican; 30% {30%} [26%] (26%) {29%} [28%] (23%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 45% {44%} [40%] (39%) {43%} [44%] (38%) Moderate; 35% {34%} [37%] (38%) {34%} [36%] (36%) Conservative; 20% {22%} [23%] (22%) {23%} [20%] (26%) Liberal. Results from the poll conducted October 14-16, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 23-26, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 14-15, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 12-13, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 1-5, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 22-25, 2010 are in parentheses.