Poll Watch: Rasmussen Connecticut Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen Connecticut Senatorial Survey

• Richard Blumenthal (D) 52% (54%) {50%} [52%] (50%) {51%} [47%] (53%) {56%} [48%] (52%) {55%} [60%] (56%) {58%}
• Linda McMahon (R) 45% (42%) {44%} [43%] (41%) {43%} [40%] (40%) {33%} [45%] (39%) {35%} [31%] (36%) {34%}

With Leaners

• Richard Blumenthal (D) 53% (56%) {51%} [54%] (50%) {53%}
• Linda McMahon (R) 46% (43%) {46%} [43%] (45%) {44%}

Among Voters Certain of Their Vote

• Richard Blumenthal (D) 55% (57%) {54%} [56%] (56%) {59%}
• Linda McMahon (R) 45% (43%) {46%} [44%] (44%) {41%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Richard Blumenthal 55% (58%) {54%} [59%] (61%) {62%} [59%] (61%) {64%} [66%] (72%) {69%} [72%] (70%) / 43% (42%) {44%} [39%] (38%) {38%} [39%] (36%) {32%} [32%] (23%) {28%} [26%] (27%) {+12%}
• Linda McMahon 47% (43%) {48%} [46%] (56%) {49%} [52%] (50%) {38%} [54%] (55%) {45%} [46%] (51%) / 51% (56%) {50%} [52%] (43%) {49%} [45%] (46%) {47%} [42%] (31%) {45%} [42%] (34%) {-4%}

How would you rate the job Jodi Rell has been doing as Governor?

• Strongly approve 18% (15%) {18%} [17%] (21%) {18%} [18%] (17%) {15%} [20%] (17%) {17%} [18%] (22%)
• Somewhat approve 42% (45%) {42%} [42%] (41%) {41%} [47%] (44%) {38%} [36%] (43%) {43%} [47%] (45%)
• Somewhat disapprove 25% (27%) {24%} [29%] (24%) {24%} [22%] (21%) {24%} [29%] (28%) {20%} [19%] ( 23%)
• Strongly disapprove 14% (13%) {15%} [12%] (12%) {17%} [13%] (16%) {21%} [14%] (12%) {19%} [14%] (10%)

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?

• Strongly approve 34% (37%) {33%} [37%] (35%) {36%} [32%] (32%) {29%} [39%] (37%) {35%} [34%] (32%) {39%} [36%] (44%)
• Somewhat approve 18% (17%) {20%} [16%] (18%) {19%} [23%] (22%) {27%} [20%] (17%) {20%} [19%] (19%) {17%} [21%] (15%)
• Somewhat disapprove 7% (7%) {8%} [8%] (8%) {9%} [9%] (8%) {11%} [10%] (11%) {10%} [11%] (10%) {8%} [10%] (9%)
• Strongly disapprove 40% (39%) {37%} [38%] (39%) {35%} [37%] (37%) {32%} [29%] (32%) {34%} [35%] (39%) {35%} [33%] (30%)

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted October 31, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 44% (42%) {43%} [40%] (40%) Democrat; 30% (31%) {31%} [30%] (31%) Republican; 26% (27%) {26%} [29%] (29%) Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 24, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 14, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 5, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 26, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 9, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 11, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 15, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 1, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 18, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 4, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 7, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 2, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 1, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 6, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 7, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 10, 2009 are in parentheses. 

Inside the numbers:

Blumenthal has the backing of 83% of Connecticut Democrats, while 85% of Republicans support McMahon.  The Republican candidate has a 5-point lead among voters not affiliated with either party.