Poll Watch: CNN/Opinion Research 2012 Presidential Survey

CNN/Opinion Research 2012 Presidential Survey

Republican Nomination

• Mike Huckabee 21% [14%] {24%} (17%)
• Mitt Romney 20% [21%] {20%} (22%)
• Sarah Palin 14% [18%] {15%} (18%)
• Newt Gingrich 12% [15%] {14%} (8%)
• Ron Paul 7% [10%] {8%} (8%)
• Haley Barbour 3% [3%] {1%} (1%)
• Tim Pawlenty 3% [3%] {2%} (5%)
• Mike Pence 3% [3%] {2%} (4%)
• Rick Santorum 2% [2%] {3%} (5%)
• Someone else (vol.) 7% [6%] {5%} (8%)
• None/No one (vol.) 4% [0%] {5%} (2%)
• No opinion 6% [4%] {1%} (3%)

Among Republicans

• Mitt Romney 21% [20%]
• Mike Huckabee 21% [17%]
• Sarah Palin 16% [21%]
• Newt Gingrich 14% [15%]
• Ron Paul 4% [7%]
• Tim Pawlenty 3% [2%]
• Rick Santorum 3% [3%]
• Haley Barbour 3% [3%]
• Mike Pence 2% [2%] 
• Someone else (vol.) 5%
• None/No one (vol.) 2%
• No opinion 6%

Among Independents

• Mike Huckabee 20% [9%]
• Mitt Romney 19% [23%]
• Ron Paul 11% [14%]
• Sarah Palin 11% [12%]
• Newt Gingrich 9% [14%]
• Mike Pence 3% [6%]
• Tim Pawlenty 3% [5%]
• Haley Barbour 2% [2%]
• Rick Santorum 1% [2%]
• Someone else (vol.) 10%
• None/No one (vol.) 7%
• No opinion 5%

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 23% [23%]
• Mike Huckabee 21% [11%]
• Newt Gingrich 13% [17%]
• Sarah Palin 12% [16%]
• Ron Paul 9% [13%]
• Mike Pence 4% [4%]
• Tim Pawlenty 4% [3%]
• Haley Barbour 3% [4%]
• Rick Santorum 2% [2%]

Among Women

• Mike Huckabee 20% [18%]
• Mitt Romney 17% [19%]
• Sarah Palin 17% [20%]
• Newt Gingrich 9% [13%]
• Ron Paul 4% [6%]
• Rick Santorum 3% [2%]
• Haley Barbour 3% [1%]
• Tim Pawlenty 2% [4%]
• Mike Pence 1% [3%]

Attended College

• Mitt Romney 25% [28%]
• Mike Huckabee 18% [15%]
• Newt Gingrich 14% [16%]
• Sarah Palin 9% [13%]
• Ron Paul 6% [9%]
• Tim Pawlenty 4% [3%]
• Rick Santorum 3% [2%]
• Mike Pence 3% [2%]
• Haley Barbour 2% [2%]

No College

• Mike Huckabee 24% [13%]
• Sarah Palin 20% [24%]
• Mitt Romney 13% [12%]
• Newt Gingrich 9% [14%]
• Ron Paul 7% [10%]
• Haley Barbour 4% [4%]
• Mike Pence 2% [5%]
• Rick Santorum 2% [2%]
• Tim Pawlenty 1% [4%]

Income $50K+

• Mitt Romney 31% [29%]
• Mike Huckabee 17% [16%]
• Newt Gingrich 13% [12%]
• Sarah Palin 9% [12%]
• Ron Paul 6% [7%]
• Mike Pence 4% [2%]
• Haley Barbour 3% [4%]
• Tim Pawlenty 3% [4%]
• Rick Santorum 2% [3%]

Income under $50K

• Mike Huckabee 27% [11%]
• Sarah Palin 18% [27%]
• Newt Gingrich 9% [19%]
• Ron Paul 8% [11%]
• Mitt Romney 7% [12%]
• Tim Pawlenty 4% [2%]
• Haley Barbour 3% [2%]
• Mike Pence 2% [6%]
• Rick Santorum 2% [2%]

(IF DEMOCRAT) Do you think the Democratic party should renominate Barack Obama as the party's candidate for president in 2012, or do you think the Democratic party should nominate a different candidate for president in 2012?

• Renominate Obama 73% [74%] (76%)
• Different candidate 22% [23%] (20%)

Presidential Election

• Mike Huckabee 52% {45%}
• Barack Obama 44% {54%}

• Mitt Romney 50% {45%}
• Barack Obama 45% {53%}

• Barack Obama 49% {55%}
• Newt Gingrich 47% {43%}

• Barack Obama 52% {55%}
• Sarah Palin 44% {42%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mike Huckabee 42% {43%} {43%} / 26% {29%} {26%} {+16%}
• Mitt Romney 36% {40%} {36%} / 29% {34%} {26%} {+7%}
• Newt Gingrich 32% {38%} / 40% {38%} {-8%}
• Sarah Palin 40% (38%) {39%} [43%] <46%> {42%} / 49% (52%) {55%} [46%] <46%> {51%} {-9%}

Survey of 1,006 adults, including 921 registered voters, was conducted October 27-30, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points; among the subsample of 500 Republicans and Republican-leaning Independents, +/- 4.5 percentage points; among the subsample of 453 Democrats and Democratic-leaning Independents, +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted September 1-2, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 6-10, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 9-11, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 19-21, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 22-24, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 2-3, 2009 are in angle brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 16-18, 2009 are in curly brackets.