Poll Watch: SurveyUSA California Political Survey

SurveyUSA California Political Survey

GUBERNATORIAL ELECTION

• Jerry Brown (D) 48% (46%) {47%} [47%] (46%) {40%} [43%] (39%)
• Meg Whitman (R) 37% (38%) {40%} [43%] (43%) {47%} [44%] (46%)
• Other 6% (8%) {8%} [8%] (8%) {9%} [6%] (7%)
• Undecided 9% (8%) {5%} [2%] (3%) {4%} [6%] (8%)

Already Voted: 35% (29%) {19%}

• Jerry Brown (D) 47% (50%) {46%}
• Meg Whitman (R) 45% (39%) {44%}
• Other 3% (8%) {7%}
• Undecided 6% (4%) {3%}

Did Not Vote Yet: 65% (71%) {81%}

• Jerry Brown (D) 49% (45%) {47%}
• Meg Whitman (R) 33% (38%) {39%}
• Other 7% (8%) {9%}
• Undecided 11% (10%) {5%}

Lieutenant Governor

• Gavin Newsom (D) 42% (42%) {43%} [42%]
• Abel Maldonado (R) 35% (34%) {37%} [37%]
• Other 8% (9%) {14%} [19%]
• Undecided 15% (15%) {6%} [3%]

SENATORIAL ELECTION

• Barbara Boxer (D) 46% (45%) {46%} [46%] (49%) {46%} [42%] (45%)
• Carly Fiorina (R) 38% (40%) {44%} [43%] (43%) {48%} [47%] (47%)
• Other 6% (7%) {6%} [9%] (6%) {5%} [5%] (3%)
• Undecided 10% (8%) {4%} [2%] (2%) {1%} [5%] (5%)

Already Voted: 35% (29%) {19%}

• Barbara Boxer (D) 46% (48%) {45%}
• Carly Fiorina (R) 45% (43%) {43%}
• Other 3% (5%) {6%}
• Undecided 5% (4%) {6%}

Did Not Vote Yet: 65% (71%) {81%}

• Barbara Boxer (D) 46% (44%) {47%}
• Carly Fiorina (R) 34% (39%) {44%}
• Other 7% (8%) {6%}
• Undecided 12% (10%) {4%}

On Proposition 19, which would change California law to legalize marijuana and allow it to be regulated and taxed, are you certain to vote yes; certain to vote no; or not certain?

• Certain to vote yes 44% (44%) {48%} [48%] (47%) {47%} [50%] (50%)
• Certain to vote no 46% (46%) {44%} [41%] (42%) {43%} [40%] (40%)
• Not certain 10% (10%) {8%} [11%] (11%) {10%} [10%] (10%)

Is your opinion of the Tea Party movement favorable or unfavorable?

• Favorable 28% (28%) {31%} [33%] (33%) {36%} [31%] (31%)
• Unfavorable 37% (37%) {40%} [40%] (41%) {37%} [38%] (37%)

Survey of 587 likely and actual voters was conducted October 26-31, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 42% (42%) {42%} [42%] (43%) {47%} [44%] (42%) Democrat; 32% (34%) {35%} [34%] (33%) {31%} [34%] (33%) Republican; 23% (21%) {21%} [22%] (23%) {22%} [21%] (24%) Independent.  Political ideology: 37% (40%) {41%} [43%] (42%) {46%} [46%] (44%) Moderate; 31% (33%) {31%} [30%] (29%) {30%} [29%] (30%) Conservative; 23% (19%) {23%} [21%] (22%) {18%} [20%] (19%) Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted October 21-25, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 15-18, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 30 - October 3, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 19-21, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 31 - September 1, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 9-11, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 8-11, 2010 are in parentheses.