Poll Watch: PPP (D) 2012 Republican Nomination Survey

PPP (D) 2012 GOP Nomination Survey

• Mike Huckabee 18% (20%) {24%} [16%] (21%) {23%} [21%] (22%) {25%} [27%] (24%)
• Mitt Romney 17% (17%) {14%} [18%] (22%) {22%} [19%] (25%) {23%} [33%] (28%)
• Sarah Palin 16% (15%) {14%} [21%] (17%) {21%} [17%] (19%) {20%} [23%] (23%)
• Newt Gingrich 14% (12%) {11%} [19%] (18%) {21%} [23%] (15%) {21%}
• Ron Paul 9% (8%) {7%} [5%] (6%) {4%} [7%] (6%) {8%} (11%)
• Tim Pawlenty 5% (4%) {8%} [5%]
• Mitch Daniels 4% (4%) {4%} [2%]
• Haley Barbour 1%

Given the same list of choices who would your second choice be for President in 2012?

• Mike Huckabee 19% (20%)
• Newt Gingrich 14% (13%)
• Sarah Palin 12% (17%)
• Mitt Romney 9% (12%)
• Tim Pawlenty 7% (4%)
• Ron Paul 4% (6%)
• Mitch Daniels 4% (3%)
• Haley Barbour 4%

Let’s say Mike Huckabee decides not to run and the candidates for President next year were Haley Barbour, Mitch Daniels, Newt Gingrich, Jon Huntsman, Sarah Palin, Ron Paul, Tim Pawlenty, and Mitt Romney. Who would you vote for?

• Mitt Romney 20%
• Sarah Palin 19%
• Newt Gingrich 18%
• Ron Paul 12%
• Tim Pawlenty 6%
• Mitch Daniels 5%
• Haley Barbour 4%
• Jon Huntsman 2%

Let’s say Sarah Palin decides not to run and the candidates for President next year were Haley Barbour, Mitch Daniels, Newt Gingrich, Mike Huckabee, Jon Huntsman, Ron Paul, Tim Pawlenty, and Mitt Romney. Who would you vote for?

• Mike Huckabee 22%
• Newt Gingrich 20%
• Mitt Romney 18%
• Ron Paul 9%
• Tim Pawlenty 7%
• Mitch Daniels 4%
• Haley Barbour 3%
• Jon Huntsman 2%

Let’s say neither Mike Huckabee nor Sarah Palin runs for President and the candidates next year were Haley Barbour, Mitch Daniels, Newt Gingrich, Jon Huntsman, Ron Paul, Tim Pawlenty, Mitt Romney, and Rick Santorum. Who would you vote for?

• Mitt Romney 24%
• Newt Gingrich 24%
• Ron Paul 12%
• Tim Pawlenty 6%
• Haley Barbour 5%
• Rick Santorum 5%
• Mitch Daniels 4%
• Jon Huntsman 2%

Would you be willing to vote for someone who’s a Mormon for President or not?

• Willing to vote for Mormon 65%
• Not willing 20%

Would you be willing to vote for someone who supported a bill at the state level mandating that voters have health insurance for President?

• Willing to vote for someone who supported insurance mandate 17%
• Not willing 61%

Do you think ACORN will steal the election for Barack Obama next year or not?

• Think ACORN will steal the election 25%
• Think they will not 43%

Do you regularly watch Fox News or not?

• Regularly watch Fox News 69%
• Do not 31%

Would you be willing to vote for someone who’s been divorced three times for President or not?

• Willing to vote for someone who's been divorced three times 45%
• Not willing 30%

Note: PPP erred in this question, as Newt Gingrich (and Rudy Giuliani) have each been divorced twice; not three times.

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Sarah Palin 61% (65%) {65%} [68%] (66%) {76%} [70%] (67%) {69%} [66%] (69%) / 26% (25%) {26%} [22%] (19%) {17%} [14%] (18%) {21%} [21%] (17%) {+35%}
• Mike Huckabee 56% (58%) {64%} [63%] (60%) {62%} [64%] (53%) {58%} [55%] (54%) / 22% (15%) {16%} [17%] (14%) {14%} [11%] (15%) {13%} [13%] (16%) {+34%}
• Mitt Romney 51% (55%) {52%} [56%] (57%) {57%} [59%] (57%) {54%} [54%] (58%) / 29% (25%) {28%} [24%] (21%) {21%} [14%] (14%) {19%} [24%] (17%) {+22%}
• Newt Gingrich 50% (55%) {58%} [57%] (57%) {65%} [63%] (58%) {57%} / 32% (26%) {24%} [28%] (25%) {19%} [14%] (18%) {21%} {+18%}
• Tim Pawlenty 26% / 19% {+7%}

Survey of 600 national Republican primary voters was conducted March 10-13, 2011.  The margin of error is +/-4.1 percentage points.  Political ideology: 40% (41%) Somewhat conservative; 38% (39%) Very conservative; 19% (15%) Moderate; 3% (5%) Somewhat liberal; 1% (1%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted February 11-13, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 14-16, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 19-21, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 10-13, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 6-9, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 9-12, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 4-7, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 7-9, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 9-11, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 12-14, 2010 are in parentheses.