Poll Watch: Magellan Strategies/Y'all Politics (R) Mississippi 2016 Presidential Survey

Magellan Strategies/Y'all Politics (R) Mississippi 2016 Presidential Poll

• Donald Trump (R) 54%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 39%

Including Third-Party Candidates:

• Donald Trump (R) 52%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 39%
• Gary Johnson (L) 3%
• Jill Stein (G) 0%

Survey of 1,084 likely voters was conducted August 11, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Mason-Dixon Mississippi 2016 Presidential Survey

Mason-Dixon Mississippi 2016 Presidential Poll

• John Kasich (R) 52%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 37%

• Ted Cruz (R) 51%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 40%

• Donald Trump (R) 46%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 43%

Survey of 625 registered voters was conducted March 28-30, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.

Poll Watch: CBS News/New York Times/YouGov Mississippi 2014 Senatorial Survey

CBS News/New York Times/YouGov Mississippi 2014 Senate Poll

• Thad Cochran (R) 50% {46%} [46%] (47%)
• Travis Childers (D) 28% {35%} [31%] (33%)
• Other 2% {3%} [9%]
• Not sure 20% {16%} [15%]

Survey of 654 likely voters was conducted October 16-23, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 7 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 20 - October 1, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 18 - September 2, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 5-24, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CBS News/New York Times/YouGov Mississippi 2014 Senatorial Survey

CBS News/New York Times/YouGov Mississippi 2014 Senate Poll

• Thad Cochran (R) 46% [46%] (47%)
• Travis Childers (D) 35% [31%] (33%)
• Other 3% [9%]
• Not sure 16% [15%]

Survey of 826 likely voters was conducted September 20 - October 1, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted August 18 - September 2, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 5-24, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CBS News/New York Times/YouGov Mississippi 2014 Senatorial Survey

CBS News/New York Times/YouGov Mississippi 2014 Senate Poll

• Thad Cochran (R) 46% (47%)
• Travis Childers (D) 31% (33%)
• Other 9%
• Not sure 15%

Survey of 976 likely voters was conducted August 18 - September 2, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.0 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 5-24, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Mississippi 2016 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Mississippi 2016 Presidential Poll

• Mike Huckabee (R) 49%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 42%

• Jeb Bush (R) 47% (50%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 42% (42%)

• Chris Christie (R) 45% (49%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 42% (40%)

• Rand Paul (R) 45% (46%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 43% (44%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 44% (45%)
• Ted Cruz (R) 44% (47%)

Among Men

• Mike Huckabee (R) 54%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 33%

• Jeb Bush (R) 53% (58%) 
• Hillary Clinton (D) 33% (34%)

• Chris Christie (R) 51% (58%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 33% (32%)

• Rand Paul (R) 55% (55%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 35% (37%)

• Ted Cruz (R) 52% (55%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 38% (38%)

Among Women

• Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
• Mike Huckabee (R) 44%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 49% (49%)
• Jeb Bush (R) 42% (43%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 50% (47%)
• Chris Christie (R) 39% (42%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 50% (50%)
• Rand Paul (R) 37% (38%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 50% (50%)
• Ted Cruz (R) 38% (40%)

Among Whites

• Mike Huckabee (R) 71%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 19%

• Jeb Bush (R) 67% (75%) 
• Hillary Clinton (D) 20% (19%)

• Chris Christie (R) 63% (72%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 21% (17%)

• Rand Paul (R) 66% (68%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 22% (19%)

• Ted Cruz (R) 64% (69%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 24% (20%)

Among Blacks

• Hillary Clinton (D) 81%
• Mike Huckabee (R) 10%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 80% (87%)
• Jeb Bush (R) 12% (4%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 79% (84%)
• Chris Christie (R) 13% (9%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 81% (92%)
• Rand Paul (R) 10% (4%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 82% (91%)
• Ted Cruz (R) 9% (6%)

Survey of 691 Mississippi voters was conducted July 10-13, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points. Party ID: 43% (43%) Republican; 39% (37%) Democrat; 19% (20%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 26% (23%) Moderate; 26% (27%) Very conservative; 25% (24%) Somewhat conservative; 14% (15%) Somewhat liberal; 10% (11%) Very liberal. Race: 60% (62%) White; 34% (32%) Black; 6% (6%) Other. Results from the poll conducted November 15-17, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Mississippi 2016 Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) Mississippi 2016 GOP Primary Poll

• Mike Huckabee 25%
• Jeb Bush 16% (16%)
• Ted Cruz 11% (19%)
• Chris Christie 8% (17%)
• Paul Ryan 6% (4%)
• Rand Paul 6% (12%)
• Marco Rubio 5% (8%)
• Rick Santorum 3% (5%)
• Scott Walker 2% (1%)
• Someone else/Not sure 16% (10%)

Among Men

• Mike Huckabee 22%
• Jeb Bush 15% (15%)
• Ted Cruz 13% (22%)
• Chris Christie 10% (12%) 
• Paul Ryan 8% (3%)
• Marco Rubio 8% (7%)
• Rand Paul 5% (14%)
• Rick Santorum 3% (4%)
• Scott Walker 3% (2%)
• Someone else/Not sure 14% (10%)

Among Women

• Mike Huckabee 28%
• Jeb Bush 18% (18%)
• Ted Cruz 9% (17%)
• Chris Christie 7% (23%) 
• Rand Paul 7% (10%)  
• Paul Ryan 4% (5%)
• Marco Rubio 3% (9%)
• Rick Santorum 2% (6%)
• Scott Walker 1% (0%)
• Someone else/Not sure 19% (10%)

Survey of 434 usual Republican primary voters was conducted July 10-13, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.7 percentage points. Political ideology: 44% (46%) Very conservative; 35% (33%) Somewhat conservative; 17% (15%) Moderate; 3% (4%) Somewhat liberal; 0% (3%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted November 15-17, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Mississippi 2014 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Mississippi 2014 Senate Poll 

• Thad Cochran (R) 46% (48%)
• Travis Childers (D) 34% (31%)
• Some other candidate 10% (9%)
• Undecided 9% (12%)

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted June 25-26, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted March 26-29, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Chism Strategies (D) Mississippi 2014 Republican Senate Primary Runoff Survey

Chism Strategies (D) Mississippi 2014 GOP Senate Runoff Poll 

• Chris McDaniel 52% {50%} [47%] (50.6%)
• Thad Cochran 44% {44%} [48%] (47.6%)
• Undecided 4% {6%} [5%] (1.8%)

Survey of 697 likely GOP runoff voters was conducted June 20, 2014. The margin of error is +/ - 3.8 percentage points. Race: 95% {95%} [95%] (96%) White: 3% {3%} [3%] (2%) Black; 2% {2%} [2%] (2%) Other.  Results from the poll conducted June 17-18, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 13, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 5, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Tea Party Express/NSON Opinion Strategy (R) Mississippi 2014 Republican Senate Primary Runoff Survey

Tea Party Express/NSON (R) Mississippi 2014 GOP Senate Runoff Poll 

• Thad Cochran 44.5%
• Chris McDaniel 44.0%
• Undecided 11.5%

Survey of 400 likely GOP runoff voters was conducted June 13-17, 2014. The margin of error is +/ - 4.9 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Chism Strategies (D) Mississippi 2014 Republican Senate Primary Runoff Survey

Chism Strategies (D) Mississippi 2014 GOP Senate Runoff Poll 

• Chris McDaniel 50% [47%] (50.6%)
• Thad Cochran 44% [48%] (47.6%)
• Undecided 6% [5%] (1.8%)

Survey of 1,192 likely GOP runoff voters was conducted June 17-18, 2014. The margin of error is +/ - 2.85 percentage points. Race: 95% [95%] (96%) White: 3% [3%] (2%) Black; 2% [2%] (2%) Other.  Results from the poll conducted June 13, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 5, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: The Polling Company/WomanTrend (R) Mississippi 2014 Republican Senate Primary Runoff Survey

The Polling Company/WomanTrend (R) Mississippi 2014 GOP Senate Runoff Poll 

• Chris McDaniel 52%
• Thad Cochran 40%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Chris McDaniel 62% / 28% {+34%}
• Thad Cochran 55% / 37% {+18%}

Survey of 501 likely GOP runoff voters was conducted June 12-13, 2014 on behalf of Citizens United Political Victory Fund. The margin of error is +/ - 4.4 percentage points. Party ID: 67% Republican; 2% Democrat; 11% Independent. Ideology: 79% Conservative; 13% Moderate; 2% Liberal.

Poll Watch: Chism Strategies (D) Mississippi 2014 Republican Senate Primary Runoff Survey

Chism Strategies (D) Mississippi 2014 GOP Senate Runoff Poll 

• Thad Cochran 48% (47.6%)
• Chris McDaniel 47% (50.6%)
• Undecided 5% (1.8%)

Survey of 821 likely GOP runoff voters was conducted June 13, 2014. The margin of error is +/ - 3.3 percentage points. Race: 95% (96%) White: 3% (2%) Black; 2% (2%) Other. Results from the poll conducted June 5, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Chism Strategies (D) Mississippi 2014 Republican Senate Primary Runoff Survey

Chism Strategies (D) Mississippi 2014 GOP Senate Runoff Poll 

• Chris McDaniel 50.6%
• Thad Cochran 47.6%
• Undecided 1.8%

Survey of 832 likely GOP runoff voters was conducted June 5, 2014. The margin of error is +/ - 3.3 percentage points. Race: 96% White: 2% Black; 2% Other.

Poll Watch: Strategic National (R) Mississippi Republican Senatorial Primary Runoff Survey

Strategic National (R) Mississippi 2014 GOP Senate Runoff Poll 

• Chris McDaniel 52%
• Thad Cochran 46%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Thad Cochran 58% / 26% {+32%}
• Chris McDaniel 53% / 32% {+21%}

Survey of likely GOP runoff voters was conducted June 5, 2014.

Poll Watch: Harper Polling (R) Mississippi Republican Senatorial Primary Survey

Harper Polling (R) Mississippi 2014 GOP Senate Primary Poll 

• Thad Cochran 45% [52%] (54%)
• Chris McDaniel 40% [35%] (31%)
• Not sure 15% [12%] (14%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Thad Cochran 52% [59%] (64%) / 36% [30%] (28%) {+16%}
• Chris McDaniel 43% [37%] (33%) / 39% [31%] (17%) {+4%}

Survey of 599 likely GOP primary voters was conducted May 27-28, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.0 percentage points. Party ID: 74% [74%] (78%) Republican; 3% [2%] (0%) Democrat; 24% [23%] (22%) Independent/Other.  Ideology: 63% [59%] (56%) Very conservative; 30% [32%] (33%) Somewhat conservative; 7% [9%] (9%) Moderate; 0% [0%] (1%) Liberal. Results from the poll conducted April 3-5, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 17-18, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Harper Polling (R) Mississippi 2016 Republican Primary Survey

Harper Polling (R) Mississippi 2016 GOP Primary Poll

• Jeb Bush 29%
• Chris Christie 12% (15.72%)
• Ted Cruz 12% (15.58%)
• Rand Paul 11% (14.45%)
• Bobby Jindal 8% (9.49%)
• Scott Walker 5% (1.70%)
• Marco Rubio 5% (10.34%)
• Rick Santorum 2% (3.97%)
• Not sure 17% (17.14%)

Survey of 570 likely GOP primary voters was conducted April 3-5, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Party ID: 74% (78%) Republican; 2% (0%) Democrat; 23% (22%) Independent/Other.  Ideology: 59% (56%) Very conservative; 32% (33%) Somewhat conservative; 9% (9%) Moderate; 0% (1%) Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted December 17-18, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Harper Polling (R) Mississippi Republican Senatorial Primary Survey

Harper Polling (R) Mississippi 2014 GOP Senate Primary Poll 

• Thad Cochran 52% (54%)
• Chris McDaniel 35% (31%)
• Not sure 12% (14%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Thad Cochran 59% (64%) / 30% (28%) {+29%}
• Chris McDaniel 37% (33%) / 31% (17%) {+6%}

Survey of 570 likely GOP primary voters was conducted April 3-5, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Party ID: 74% (78%) Republican; 2% (0%) Democrat; 23% (22%) Independent/Other.  Ideology: 59% (56%) Very conservative; 32% (33%) Somewhat conservative; 9% (9%) Moderate; 0% (1%) Liberal. Results from the poll conducted December 17-18, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Mississippi 2014 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Mississippi 2014 Senate Poll 

• Thad Cochran (R) 48%
• Travis Childers (D) 31%
• Some other candidate 9%
• Undecided 12%

• Chris McDaniel (R) 47%
• Travis Childers (D) 35%

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted March 26-29, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Harper Polling/Conservative Intel (R) Mississippi 2016 Republican Primary Survey

Harper Polling/Conservative Intel (R) Mississippi 2016 GOP Primary Poll

• Chris Christie 15.72%
• Ted Cruz 15.58%
• Rand Paul 14.45%
• Paul Ryan 11.61%
• Marco Rubio 10.34%
• Bobby Jindal 9.49%
• Rick Santorum 3.97%
• Scott Walker 1.70%
• Not sure 17.14%

Among Men

• Ted Cruz 19.31%
• Chris Christie 14.70%
• Rand Paul 14.12%
• Marco Rubio 10.66%
• Bobby Jindal 9.80%
• Paul Ryan 9.22%
• Rick Santorum 4.90%
• Scott Walker 2.59%
• Not sure 14.70%

Among Women

• Chris Christie 16.71%
• Rand Paul 14.76%
• Paul Ryan 13.93%
• Ted Cruz 11.98%
• Marco Rubio 10.03%
• Bobby Jindal 9.19%
• Rick Santorum 3.06%  
• Scott Walker 0.84%
• Not sure 19.50%

Very Conservative

• Ted Cruz 22.08%
• Rand Paul 16.24%
• Chris Christie 12.44%
• Paul Ryan 10.91%
• Marco Rubio 10.91%
• Bobby Jindal 5.84%
• Rick Santorum 4.82%
• Scott Walker 1.78%
• Not sure 14.97%

Somewhat Conservative

• Chris Christie 17.17%
• Paul Ryan 14.59% 
• Bobby Jindal 13.73%
• Rand Paul 12.02%
• Marco Rubio 9.87%
• Ted Cruz 8.58%
• Rick Santorum 3.43%  
• Scott Walker 2.15%
• Not sure 18.45%

Survey of 710 likely Republican primary voters was conducted December 17-18, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3.68 percentage points.  Party ID: 77.68% Republican; 22.32% Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 55.92% Very conservative; 32.96% Somewhat conservative; 9.01% Moderate; 0.99% Liberal. Click here to view crosstabs.