Poll Watch: Harper Polling (R) Pennsylvania 2016 Presidential Survey

Harper Polling (R) Pennsylvania 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton (D) 46% (45%)
  
• Donald Trump (R) 46% (43%)
  
• Gary Johnson (L) 2% (8%)
• Jill Stein (G) 1% (1%)

Survey of 504 likely voters was conducted November 2-3, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 21-22, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Harper Polling (R) South Carolina 2016 Republican Primary Survey

Harper Polling (R) South Carolina 2016 GOP Primary Poll

• Donald Trump 29%
• Ted Cruz 17%
• Marco Rubio 15%
• Jeb Bush 14%
• John Kasich 13%
• Ben Carson 8%

Survey of 599 likely GOP primary voters was conducted February 16-17, 2016.  The margin of error is +/- 4.0 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs.

Poll Watch: Harper Polling (R) New Hampshire 2016 Republican Primary Tracking Survey

Harper Polling (R) New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Poll

• Donald Trump 31%
• Jeb Bush 14%
• John Kasich 12%
• Marco Rubio 10%
• Ted Cruz 9%
• Chris Christie 6%
• Carly Fiorina 5%
• Ben Carson 3%
• Rick Santorum 0%
• Undecided 8%

Survey of 425 likely Republican primary voters was conducted February 1-2, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 4.75 percentage points. Party affiliation: 62% Republican; 30% Independent; 8% Democrat.

Poll Watch: Harper Polling (R) North Carolina 2014 Senatorial Survey

Harper Polling (R) North Carolina 2014 Senate Poll

If the election for U.S. Senate were held today, who would you vote for: Thom Tillis, Republican, Kay Hagan, Democrat or Sean Haugh, Libertarian?

• Thom Tillis (R) 46% 
• Kay Hagan (D) 44%
• Sean Haugh (L) 6%
• Not sure 4%

If the election for U.S. Senate were held today, who would you vote for: Thom Tillis, Republican, or Kay Hagan, Democrat?

• Thom Tillis (R) 48% (44%) 
• Kay Hagan (D) 45% (44%)
• Not sure 7% (12%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Kay Hagan 49% (37%) / 48% (49%) {+1%}
• Thom Tillis 47% (15%) / 49% (33%) {-2%}

Survey of 511 likely voters was conducted October 28-30, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.34 percentage points. Party ID: 43% (43%) Democrat; 34% (32%) Republican; 23% (24%) Independent/Other. Ideology: 43% (43%) Conservative; 39% (39%) Moderate; 14% (13%) Liberal. Results from the poll conducted January 20-21, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Harper Polling (R) South Dakota 2014 Senatorial Survey

Harper Polling (R) South Dakota 2014 Senate Poll

• Mike Rounds (R) 37%
• Rick Weiland (D) 33%
• Larry Pressler (I) 23%
• Gordon Howie (I) 5%
• Not sure 2%

Among Men

• Mike Rounds (R) 42%
• Rick Weiland (D) 28%
• Larry Pressler (I) 23%
• Gordon Howie (I) 5%
• Not sure 2%

Among Women

• Rick Weiland (D) 38%
• Mike Rounds (R) 32%
• Larry Pressler (I) 23%
• Gordon Howie (I) 4%
• Not sure 2%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Larry Pressler 55% / 38% {+17%}
• Rick Weiland 48% / 43% {+5%}
• Mike Rounds 46% / 51% {-5%}
• Gordon Howie 21% / 51% {-30%}

Survey of 630 likely voters was conducted October 9-11, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3.9 percentage points. Party ID: 46% Republican; 34% Democrat; 20% Independent/Other. Ideology: 44% Conservative; 41% Moderate; 13% Liberal.

Poll Watch: Harper Polling (R) Michigan 2014 Senatorial Survey

Harper Polling (R) Michigan 2014 Senate Poll

• Gary Peters (D) 45% [40%] (37%)
• Terri Lynn Land (R) 44% [43%] (42%)
  
• Not sure 11% [18%] (21%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Gary Peters 32% [25%] (18%) / 36% [35%] (23%) {-4%}
• Terri Lynn Land 35% [32%] (32%) / 44% [32%] (22%) {-9%}

Survey of 549 likely voters was conducted August 4-5, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.2 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted April, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 19-20, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Harper Polling (R) Mississippi Republican Senatorial Primary Survey

Harper Polling (R) Mississippi 2014 GOP Senate Primary Poll 

• Thad Cochran 45% [52%] (54%)
• Chris McDaniel 40% [35%] (31%)
• Not sure 15% [12%] (14%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Thad Cochran 52% [59%] (64%) / 36% [30%] (28%) {+16%}
• Chris McDaniel 43% [37%] (33%) / 39% [31%] (17%) {+4%}

Survey of 599 likely GOP primary voters was conducted May 27-28, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.0 percentage points. Party ID: 74% [74%] (78%) Republican; 3% [2%] (0%) Democrat; 24% [23%] (22%) Independent/Other.  Ideology: 63% [59%] (56%) Very conservative; 30% [32%] (33%) Somewhat conservative; 7% [9%] (9%) Moderate; 0% [0%] (1%) Liberal. Results from the poll conducted April 3-5, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 17-18, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Harper Polling (R) Iowa 2014 Republican Senatorial Primary Survey

Harper Polling (R) Iowa 2014 GOP Senate Primary Poll

• Joni Ernst 33%
• Mark Jacobs 23% 
• Sam Clovis 14%
• Matt Whitaker 3% 
• Scott Schaben 1%
• Not sure 26%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Joni Ernst 54% / 11% {+43%}
• Mark Jacobs 43% / 21% {+22%}
• Sam Clovis 26% / 14% {+12%}
• Matt Whitaker 25% / 15% {+10%}
• Scott Schaben 8% / 22% {-14%}

Survey of 500 likely GOP primary voters was conducted April 30 - May 1, 2014 on behalf of American Heartland PAC. The margin of error is +/- 4.38 percentage points. Ideology: 50% Very conservative; 36% Somewhat conservative; 13% Moderate; 1% Liberal.

Poll Watch: Harper Polling (R) Colorado 2014 Senatorial Survey

Harper Polling (R) Colorado 2014 Senate Poll

• Mark Udall (D) 45%
• Cory Gardner (R) 43%
• Not sure 12%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Cory Gardner 30% / 38% {-8%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mark Udall is handling his job as Senator?

• Approve 38%
• Disapprove 46%

Survey of likely voters was conducted April, 2014 for American Crossroads. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Harper Polling (R) Montana 2014 Senatorial Survey

Harper Polling (R) Montana 2014 Senate Poll

• Steve Daines (R) 42% (43%)
  
• John Walsh (D) 35% (29%)
• Not sure 23% (28%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Steve Daines 43% (40%) / 31% (26%) {+12%}
  
• John Walsh 33% (25%) / 22% (13%) {+11%}

Survey of likely voters was conducted April, 2014 for American Crossroads. The margin of error is +/- 4.3 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted January 20-22, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Harper Polling (R) Michigan 2014 Senatorial Survey

Harper Polling (R) Michigan 2014 Senate Poll

• Terri Lynn Land (R) 43% (42%)
  
• Gary Peters (D) 40% (37%)
• Not sure 18% (21%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Terri Lynn Land 32% (32%) / 32% (22%) {0%}
  
• Gary Peters 25% (18%) / 35% (23%) {-10%}

Survey of likely voters was conducted April, 2014 for American Crossroads. The margin of error is +/- 4.2 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 19-20, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Harper Polling (R) Louisiana 2014 Senatorial Survey

Harper Polling (R) Louisiana 2014 Senate Poll

• Bill Cassidy (R) 47% [45%] (47%)
• Mary Landrieu (D) 43% [44%] (45%)
• Not sure 10% [11%] (8%)

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mary Landrieu is handling her job as Senator?

• Approve 39% [40%] (44%)
• Disapprove 51% [51%] (37%)

Survey of likely voters was conducted April, 2014 for American Crossroads. The margin of error is +/- 4.2 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted January 19-20, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 14-15, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Harper Polling (R) Arkansas 2014 Senatorial Survey

Harper Polling (R) Arkansas 2014 Senate Poll

• Mark Pryor (D) 39% [36%] (41%)
• Tom Cotton (R) 39% [42%] (43%)
• Not sure 22% [22%] (16%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Tom Cotton 31% [38%] (34%) / 39% [23%] (26%) {-8%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mark Pryor is handling his job as Senator?

• Approve 38% [37%] (32%)
• Disapprove 44% [40%] (42%)

Survey of likely voters was conducted April, 2014 for American Crossroads. The margin of error is +/- 4.3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 26-27, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 4-5, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Harper Polling (R) Mississippi 2016 Republican Primary Survey

Harper Polling (R) Mississippi 2016 GOP Primary Poll

• Jeb Bush 29%
• Chris Christie 12% (15.72%)
• Ted Cruz 12% (15.58%)
• Rand Paul 11% (14.45%)
• Bobby Jindal 8% (9.49%)
• Scott Walker 5% (1.70%)
• Marco Rubio 5% (10.34%)
• Rick Santorum 2% (3.97%)
• Not sure 17% (17.14%)

Survey of 570 likely GOP primary voters was conducted April 3-5, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Party ID: 74% (78%) Republican; 2% (0%) Democrat; 23% (22%) Independent/Other.  Ideology: 59% (56%) Very conservative; 32% (33%) Somewhat conservative; 9% (9%) Moderate; 0% (1%) Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted December 17-18, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Harper Polling (R) Mississippi Republican Senatorial Primary Survey

Harper Polling (R) Mississippi 2014 GOP Senate Primary Poll 

• Thad Cochran 52% (54%)
• Chris McDaniel 35% (31%)
• Not sure 12% (14%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Thad Cochran 59% (64%) / 30% (28%) {+29%}
• Chris McDaniel 37% (33%) / 31% (17%) {+6%}

Survey of 570 likely GOP primary voters was conducted April 3-5, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Party ID: 74% (78%) Republican; 2% (0%) Democrat; 23% (22%) Independent/Other.  Ideology: 59% (56%) Very conservative; 32% (33%) Somewhat conservative; 9% (9%) Moderate; 0% (1%) Liberal. Results from the poll conducted December 17-18, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Harper Polling (R) Oregon 2014 Senatorial Survey

Harper Polling (R) Oregon 2014 Senate Poll

• Jeff Merkley (D) 47%
• Jason Conger (R) 40%

• Jeff Merkley (D) 46%
• Monica Wehby (R) 34%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Jeff Merkley 39% / 32% {+7%}
• Jason Conger 11% / 16% {-5%}
• Monica Wehby 7% / 14% {-7%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Jeff Merkley is handling his job as Senator?

• Approve 41%
• Disapprove 33%

Survey of 670 likely voters was conducted April 1-2, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.91 percentage points.  Party ID: 43% Democrat; 34% Republican; 23% Independent/Other. Ideology: 40% Moderate; 34% Conservative; 23% Liberal.

Poll Watch: Harper Polling (R) New Hampshire 2014 Senatorial Survey

Harper Polling (R) New Hampshire 2014 Senate Poll

• Jeanne Shaheen (D) 40% 
• Scott Brown (R) 35%
• Not sure 25%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Jeanne Shaheen 45% / 32% {+13%}
• Scott Brown 33% / 26% {+7%}
  

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Jeanne Shaheen is handling her job as Senator?  

• Approve 46%
• Disapprove 31%

Survey of 513 likely voters was conducted January 22-23, 2014 for American Crossroads.  The margin of error is +/- 4.33 percentage points. Party ID: 32% Republican; 29% Democrat; 40% Independent/Other.  Ideology: 44% Moderate; 39% Conservative; 16% Liberal.

Poll Watch: Harper Polling (R) North Carolina 2014 Senatorial Survey

 Harper Polling (R) North Carolina 2014 Senate Poll

• Thom Tillis (R) 44% 
• Kay Hagan (D) 44%
• Not sure 12%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Kay Hagan 37% / 49% {-12%}
• Thom Tillis 15% / 33% {-18%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Kay Hagan is handling her job as Senator?

• Approve 36%
• Disapprove 49%

Survey of 778 likely voters was conducted January 20-21, 2014 for American Crossroads. The margin of error is +/- 3.51 percentage points. Party ID: 43% Democrat; 32% Republican; 24% Independent/Other. Ideology: 43% Conservative; 39% Moderate; 13% Liberal.

Poll Watch: Harper Polling (R) Montana 2014 Senatorial Survey

Harper Polling (R) Montana 2014 Senate Poll

• Steve Daines (R) 43%
  
• John Walsh (D) 29%
• Not sure 28%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Steve Daines 40% / 26% {+14%}
  
• John Walsh 25% / 13% {+12%}

Survey of 519 likely voters was conducted January 20-22, 2014 for American Crossroads. The margin of error is +/- 4.3 percentage points. Party ID: 37% Republican; 32% Democrat; 31% Independent/Other. Ideology: 45% Conservative; 37% Moderate; 14% Liberal.

Poll Watch: Harper Polling (R) Michigan 2014 Senatorial Survey

Harper Polling (R) Michigan 2014 Senate Poll

• Terri Lynn Land (R) 42%
  
• Gary Peters (D) 37%
• Not sure 21%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Terri Lynn Land 32% / 22% {+10%}
  
• Gary Peters 18% / 23% {-5%}

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted January 19-20, 2014 for American Crossroads. The margin of error is +/- 3.58 percentage points. Party ID: 34% Democrat; 30% Republican; 36% Independent/Other. Ideology: 39% Moderate; 38% Conservative; 17% Liberal.