Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing/Human Events (R) Montana 2014 Senatorial Survey

Gravis Marketing/Human Events (R) Montana 2014 Senate Poll

• Steve Daines (R) 53% (54%)
  
• Amanda Curtis (D) 39% (41%)
• Unsure 8% (5%)

Survey of 604 likely voters was conducted October 23-24, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID: 36% (36%) Republican; 29% (29%) Democrat; 35% (35%) Independent/Other. Results from the poll conducted September 29-30, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CBS News/New York Times/YouGov Montana 2014 Senatorial Survey

CBS News/New York Times/YouGov Montana 2014 Senate Poll

• Steve Daines (R) 56% [55%] (53%)
• Amanda Curtis (D) 38% [34%] (35%)
• Not sure 6% [10%] (11%)

Survey of 497 likely voters was conducted October 16-23, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 6 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 20 - October 1, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 18 - September 2, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CBS News/New York Times/YouGov Montana 2014 Senatorial Survey

CBS News/New York Times/YouGov Montana 2014 Senate Poll

• Steve Daines (R) 55% (53%)
• Amanda Curtis (D) 34% (35%)
• Not sure 10% (11%)

Survey of 549 likely voters was conducted September 20 - October 1, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted August 18 - September 2, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing/Human Events (R) Montana 2014 Senatorial Survey

Gravis Marketing/Human Events (R) Montana 2014 Senate Poll

• Steve Daines (R) 54%
  
• Amanda Curtis (D) 41%
• Uncertain 5%

Survey of 535 likely voters was conducted September 29-30, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID: 36% Republican; 29% Democrat; 35% Independent/Other.

Poll Watch: CBS News/New York Times/YouGov Montana 2014 Senatorial Survey

CBS News/New York Times/YouGov Montana 2014 Senate Poll

• Steve Daines (R) 53%
• Amanda Curtis (D) 35%
• Other 1%
• Not sure 11%

Survey of 684 likely voters was conducted August 18 - September 2, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 5.0 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Montana 2014 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Montana 2014 Senate Poll

• Steve Daines (R) 55%
  
• Amanda Curtis (D) 35%

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted August 18-19, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. 

Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing/Human Events (R) Montana 2014 Senatorial Survey

Gravis Marketing/Human Events (R) Montana 2014 Senate Poll

• Steve Daines (R) 45% (45%)
  
• John Walsh (D) 38% (41%)
• Roger Roots (L) 9% (6%)
• Unsure 8% (7%)

Survey of 781 likely voters was conducted July 24, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Party ID: 36% (36%) Republican; 29% (29%) Democrat; 35% (35%) Independent/Other. Results from the poll conducted July 20-22, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing/Human Events (R) Montana 2014 Senatorial Survey

Gravis Marketing/Human Events (R) Montana 2014 Senate Poll

• Steve Daines (R) 45%
  
• John Walsh (D) 41%
• Roger Roots (L) 6%
• Unsure 7%

Survey of 741 likely voters was conducted July 20-22, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID: 36% Republican; 29% Democrat; 35% Independent/Other.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Montana 2014 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Montana 2014 Senate Poll

• Steve Daines (R) 46% (52%)
  
• John Walsh (D) 39% (35%)
• Undecided 15% (13%)

Survey of 574 registered voters was conducted July 17-18, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted November 15-17, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Montana 2014 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Montana 2014 Senate Poll

• Steve Daines (R) 53% (51%)
  
• John Walsh (D) 35% (37%)
• Some other candidate 3% (4%)
• Undecided 9% (9%)

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted June 9-10, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted March 17-18, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Hickman Analytics (D) Montana 2014 Senatorial Survey

Hickman Analytics (D) Montana 2014 Senate Poll

• Steve Daines (R) 49%
  
• John Walsh (D) 37%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Steve Daines 48% / 26% {+22%}
  
• John Walsh 38% / 20% {+18%}

Survey of 400 likely voters was conducted April 24-30, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Party ID: 31% Republican; 28% Democrat; 34% Independent.

Poll Watch: Harper Polling (R) Montana 2014 Senatorial Survey

Harper Polling (R) Montana 2014 Senate Poll

• Steve Daines (R) 42% (43%)
  
• John Walsh (D) 35% (29%)
• Not sure 23% (28%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Steve Daines 43% (40%) / 31% (26%) {+12%}
  
• John Walsh 33% (25%) / 22% (13%) {+11%}

Survey of likely voters was conducted April, 2014 for American Crossroads. The margin of error is +/- 4.3 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted January 20-22, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Magellan Strategies (R) Montana 2014 Senatorial Survey

Magellan Strategies (R) Montana 2014 Senate Poll

• Steve Daines (R) 49%
  
• John Walsh (D) 36%
• Roger Roots (L) 4%
• Some other candidate 5%
• Undecided 6%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Steve Daines 53% / 33% {+20%}
  
• John Walsh 47% / 29% {+18%}

Survey of 2,490 likely voters was conducted April 1-2, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 1.96 percentage points. Party ID: 35% Republican; 27% Democrat; 38% Something else.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Montana 2014 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Montana 2014 Senate Poll

• Steve Daines (R) 51%
  
• John Walsh (D) 37%
• Some other candidate 4%
• Undecided 9%

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted March 17-18, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Harper Polling (R) Montana 2014 Senatorial Survey

Harper Polling (R) Montana 2014 Senate Poll

• Steve Daines (R) 43%
  
• John Walsh (D) 29%
• Not sure 28%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Steve Daines 40% / 26% {+14%}
  
• John Walsh 25% / 13% {+12%}

Survey of 519 likely voters was conducted January 20-22, 2014 for American Crossroads. The margin of error is +/- 4.3 percentage points. Party ID: 37% Republican; 32% Democrat; 31% Independent/Other. Ideology: 45% Conservative; 37% Moderate; 14% Liberal.

Poll Watch: Mason-Dixon Montana 2012 Congressional Survey

Mason-Dixon Montana 2012 Congressional Poll

• Steve Daines (R) 46%
• Kim Gillan (D) 38%
• Dave Kaiser (L) 2%
• Undecided 14%

Survey of 625 likely voters was conducted September 17-19, 2012 for Lee Newspapers.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.

Inside the numbers: 

One of the few bright spots for Gillan in the poll results was her support among women – they gave her a slight edge, at 45 percent to 43 percent. Independents, however, favored Daines by a 15-point margin, and men who were polled favored Daines by a 19-point margin.

Forty-nine percent (49%) of those polled said they didn’t recognize Gillan’s name and 28 percent said they didn’t recognize Daines.