Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Colorado 2014 Senatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Colorado 2014 Senate Poll

• Cory Gardner (R) 45% [46%] (46%) {47%} [48%] (44%) {44%}
• Mark Udall (D) 43% [39%] (41%) {41%} [40%] (42%) {45%} 
• Steve Shogan (I) 6% [7%] (6%) {8%} [8%] 

Among Independents

• Mark Udall (D) 43% [35%] (40%) {39%} [40%] (43%) {41%}
• Cory Gardner (R) 36% [37%] (42%) {42%} [42%] (40%) {43%}
• Steve Shogan (I) 13% [19%] (9%) {13%} [15%]  

Among Men

• Cory Gardner (R) 47% [54%] (51%) {53%} [53%] (48%) {53%}
• Mark Udall (D) 38% [33%] (38%) {34%} [34%] (36%) {38%}
• Steve Shogan (I) 7% [6%] (6%) {9%} [9%]  

Among Women

• Mark Udall (D) 47% [45%] (45%) {49%} [46%] (49%) {52%} 
• Cory Gardner (R) 44% [39%] (41%) {40%} [43%] (40%) {35%}
• Steve Shogan (I) 5% [8%] (5%) {7%} [7%]  

Recalculated Matchup, asking Shogan voters: Who is your second choice?

• Cory Gardner (R) 46% [49%] (48%) {49%} [52%]
• Mark Udall (D) 45% [41%] (44%) {44%} [42%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Cory Gardner 46% [48%] (49%) {47%} [47%] (34%) {30%} / 45% [40%] (42%) {41%} [37%] (31%) {18%} {+1%}
• Mark Udall 44% [43%] (44%) {42%} [42%] (40%) {43%} / 50% [50%] (49%) {49%} [50%] (43%) {38%} {-6%} 

Among Independents

• Mark Udall 45% [38%] (46%) {44%} [40%] (39%) {43%} / 45% [53%] (47%) {48%} [53%] (44%) {36%} {0%}
• Cory Gardner 38% [42%] (48%) {45%} [43%] (28%) {29%} / 50% [42%] (41%) {41%} [40%] (33%) {17%} {-12%}

Among Men

• Cory Gardner 48% [58%] (55%) {52%} [55%] (39%) {40%} / 41% [32%] (39%) {35%} [32%] (26%) {16%} {+7%}
• Mark Udall 39% [36%] (39%) {35%} [37%] (32%) {37%} / 55% [57%] (56%) {56%} [57%] (48%) {47%} {-16%}

Among Women

• Mark Udall 49% [49%] (50%) {49%} [47%] (46%) {49%} / 46% [44%] (42%) {42%} [43%] (38%) {31%} {+3%}
• Cory Gardner 45% [40%] (43%) {42%} [40%] (30%) {21%} / 48% [48%] (44%) {47%} [42%] (35%) {21%} {-3%}

Survey of 815 likely voters was conducted October 28 - November 2, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Party ID: 32% [32%] (32%) {33%} [34%] (29%) {26%} Republican; 28% [27%] (29%) {29%} [27%] (27%) {28%} Democrat; 33% [34%] (32%) {32%} [33%] (37%) {37%} Independent; 7% [7%] (7%) {6%} [6%] (6%) {10%} Other. Results from the poll conducted October 22-27, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 15-21, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 8-13, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 10-15, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 10-14, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 15-21, 2014 are in curly brackets.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Colorado 2014 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Colorado 2014 Senate Poll

The candidates for U.S. Senate this fall are Democrat Mark Udall, Republican Cory Gardner, Libertarian Gaylon Kent, Unity Party of Colorado candidate Bill Hammons, unaffiliated candidate Raul Acosta, and unaffiliated candidate Steve Shogan. If the election was today, who would you vote for?

• Cory Gardner (R) 48% {46%}
• Mark Udall (D) 45% {43%}
• Gaylon Kent (L) 2% {2%}
• Raul Acosta (I) 1% {1%}
• Bill Hammons (U) 0% {1%}
• Steve Shogan (I) 0% {1%}
• Undecided 3% {7%} 

Horse race, with third-party supporters and undecideds asked if they lean Udall or Gardner: 

• Cory Gardner (R) 50% (48%) {47%} [47%] (43%) {43%} [45%] (40%)
• Mark Udall (D) 47% (48%) {44%} [45%] (44%) {47%} [47%] (42%)

Among Independents

• Mark Udall (D) 52% (59%) {39%} [44%] (38%) {43%} [43%] (30%) 
• Cory Gardner (R) 41% (38%) {46%} [44%] (45%) {45%} [43%] (38%)

Among Men

• Cory Gardner (R) 55% (54%) {51%} [54%] (53%) {48%} [50%] (45%)
• Mark Udall (D) 42% (43%) {40%} [38%] (38%) {43%} [44%] (42%)

Among Women

• Mark Udall (D) 51% (53%) {48%} [51%] (49%) {51%} [49%] (43%)
• Cory Gardner (R) 46% (42%) {43%} [41%] (35%) {39%} [40%] (36%)

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Mark Udall’s job performance?

• Approve 38% {37%} (36%) {42%} (41%)
• Disapprove 51% {52%} (47%) {45%} (40%)

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Cory Gardner?  

• Favorable 49% (49%) {45%} (34%) {35%} (23%)
• Unfavorable 39% (45%) {42%} (39%) {42%} (25%)

Survey of 739 likely voters was conducted November 1-2, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points. Party ID: 39% (38%) {37%} [33%] (34%) {31%} [32%] (34%) Republican; 37% (37%) {35%} [34%] (35%) {36%} [36%] (33%) Democrat; 24% (25%) {29%} [34%] (31%) {33%} [32%] (33%) Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 28-29, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 16-19, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 19-21, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 17-20, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 7-8, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 17-20, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 13-16, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: YouGov Colorado 2014 Senatorial Survey

YouGov Colorado 2014 Senate Poll

• Cory Gardner (R) 42.7% (46%) {45%} [43%] (47%)
• Mark Udall (D) 41.9% (47%) {48%} [46%] (51%)
• Other 4.7% (1%) {1%} [2%]
• Not sure 10.7% (6%) {6%} [9%]

Among Men

• Cory Gardner (R) 47% (51%) {52%} [51%]
• Mark Udall (D) 37% (43%) {43%} [42%]
• Other 4% (1%) {1%} [2%]
• Not sure 12% (5%) {4%} [6%]

Among Women

• Mark Udall (D) 46% (51%) {53%} [50%]
• Cory Gardner (R) 39% (41%) {39%} [36%]
• Other 5% (1%) {1%} [2%]
• Not sure 10% (7%) {8%} [13%]

Survey of 1,417 likely voters was conducted October 25-31, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 16-23, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 20 - October 1, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 18 - September 2, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 5-24, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Denver Post/SurveyUSA Colorado 2014 Senatorial Survey

Denver Post/SurveyUSA Colorado 2014 Senate Poll

• Cory Gardner (R) 46% [46%] (42%)
• Mark Udall (D) 44% [42%] (46%)
• Other 5% [7%] (5%)
• Undecided 5% [5%] (7%) 

Survey of likely voters was conducted October 27-29, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 4-8, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 8-10, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Colorado 2014 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Colorado 2014 Senate Poll

• Cory Gardner (R) 48% {47%} [47%] (43%) {43%} [45%] (40%)
• Mark Udall (D) 48% {44%} [45%] (44%) {47%} [47%] (42%)

Among Independents

• Mark Udall (D) 59% {39%} [44%] (38%) {43%} [43%] (30%) 
• Cory Gardner (R) 38% {46%} [44%] (45%) {45%} [43%] (38%)

Among Men

• Cory Gardner (R) 54% {51%} [54%] (53%) {48%} [50%] (45%)
• Mark Udall (D) 43% {40%} [38%] (38%) {43%} [44%] (42%)

Among Women

• Mark Udall (D) 53% {48%} [51%] (49%) {51%} [49%] (43%)
• Cory Gardner (R) 42% {43%} [41%] (35%) {39%} [40%] (36%)

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Cory Gardner?  

• Favorable 49% {45%} (34%) {35%} (23%)
• Unfavorable 45% {42%} (39%) {42%} (25%)

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Mark Udall?

• Favorable 42%
• Unfavorable 49%

Survey of 573 likely voters was conducted October 28-29, 2014 for The League of Conservation Voters. Party ID: 38% {37%} [33%] (34%) {31%} [32%] (34%) Republican; 37% {35%} [34%] (35%) {36%} [36%] (33%) Democrat; 25% {29%} [34%] (31%) {33%} [32%] (33%) Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 16-19, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 19-21, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 17-20, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 7-8, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 17-20, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 13-16, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Colorado 2014 Senatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Colorado 2014 Senate Poll

• Cory Gardner (R) 46% (46%) {47%} [48%] (44%) {44%}
• Mark Udall (D) 39% (41%) {41%} [40%] (42%) {45%} 
• Steve Shogan (I) 7% (6%) {8%} [8%] 

Among Independents

• Cory Gardner (R) 37% (42%) {42%} [42%] (40%) {43%}
• Mark Udall (D) 35% (40%) {39%} [40%] (43%) {41%} 
• Steve Shogan (I) 19% (9%) {13%} [15%]  

Among Men

• Cory Gardner (R) 54% (51%) {53%} [53%] (48%) {53%}
• Mark Udall (D) 33% (38%) {34%} [34%] (36%) {38%}
• Steve Shogan (I) 6% (6%) {9%} [9%]  

Among Women

• Mark Udall (D) 45% (45%) {49%} [46%] (49%) {52%} 
• Cory Gardner (R) 39% (41%) {40%} [43%] (40%) {35%}
• Steve Shogan (I) 8% (5%) {7%} [7%]  

Recalculated Matchup, asking Shogan voters: Who is your second choice?

• Cory Gardner (R) 49% (48%) {49%} [52%]
• Mark Udall (D) 41% (44%) {44%} [42%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Cory Gardner 48% (49%) {47%} [47%] (34%) {30%} / 40% (42%) {41%} [37%] (31%) {18%} {+8%}
• Mark Udall 43% (44%) {42%} [42%] (40%) {43%} / 50% (49%) {49%} [50%] (43%) {38%} {-7%} 

Among Independents

• Cory Gardner 42% (48%) {45%} [43%] (28%) {29%} / 42% (41%) {41%} [40%] (33%) {17%} {0%}
• Mark Udall 38% (46%) {44%} [40%] (39%) {43%} / 53% (47%) {48%} [53%] (44%) {36%} {-15%} 

Among Men

• Cory Gardner 58% (55%) {52%} [55%] (39%) {40%} / 32% (39%) {35%} [32%] (26%) {16%} {+26%}
• Mark Udall 36% (39%) {35%} [37%] (32%) {37%} / 57% (56%) {56%} [57%] (48%) {47%} {-21%}

Among Women

• Mark Udall 49% (50%) {49%} [47%] (46%) {49%} / 44% (42%) {42%} [43%] (38%) {31%} {+5%}
• Cory Gardner 40% (43%) {42%} [40%] (30%) {21%} / 48% (44%) {47%} [42%] (35%) {21%} {-8%}

Survey of 844 likely voters was conducted October 22-27, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Party ID: 32% (32%) {33%} [34%] (29%) {26%} Republican; 27% (29%) {29%} [27%] (27%) {28%} Democrat; 34% (32%) {32%} [33%] (37%) {37%} Independent; 7% (7%) {6%} [6%] (6%) {10%} Other. Results from the poll conducted October 15-21, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 8-13, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 10-15, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 10-14, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 15-21, 2014 are in curly brackets.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Colorado 2014 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Colorado 2014 Senate Poll

• Cory Gardner (R) 51% (48%) {42%} [42%] (41%)
• Mark Udall (D) 45% (47%) {44%} [43%] (42%)

Survey of 966 likely voters was conducted October 21-23, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 29-30, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 3-4, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 25-26, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 5-6, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CBS News/New York Times/YouGov Colorado 2014 Senatorial Survey

CBS News/New York Times/YouGov Colorado 2014 Senate Poll

• Mark Udall (D) 47% {48%} [46%] (51%)
• Cory Gardner (R) 46% {45%} [43%] (47%)
• Other 1% {1%} [2%]
• Not sure 6% {6%} [9%]

Among Men

• Cory Gardner (R) 51% {52%} [51%]
• Mark Udall (D) 43% {43%} [42%]
• Other 1% {1%} [2%]
• Not sure 5% {4%} [6%]

Among Women

• Mark Udall (D) 51% {53%} [50%]
• Cory Gardner (R) 41% {39%} [36%]
• Other 1% {1%} [2%]
• Not sure 7% {8%} [13%]

Survey of 1,611 likely voters was conducted October 16-23, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 20 - October 1, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 18 - September 2, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 5-24, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: NBC News/Marist Colorado 2014 Senatorial Survey

NBC News/Marist Colorado 2014 Senate Poll

• Cory Gardner (R) 46% (42%)
• Mark Udall (D) 45% (48%)
• Other 3% (1%)
• Undecided 5% (9%)

Among Men

• Cory Gardner (R) 53% 
• Mark Udall (D) 38% 
• Other 3%
• Undecided 5%

Among Women

• Mark Udall (D) 51% 
• Cory Gardner (R) 40%
• Other 3%
• Undecided 5%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Cory Gardner 45% (38%) / 44% (40%) {+1%}
• Mark Udall 45% (45%) / 46% (42%) {-1%}

Survey of 755 likely voters was conducted October 18-22, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted September 2-4, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Colorado 2014 Senatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Colorado 2014 Senate Poll

• Cory Gardner (R) 46% {47%} [48%] (44%) {44%}
• Mark Udall (D) 41% {41%} [40%] (42%) {45%} 
• Steve Shogan (I) 6% {8%} [8%] 

Among Independents

• Cory Gardner (R) 42% {42%} [42%] (40%) {43%}
• Mark Udall (D) 40% {39%} [40%] (43%) {41%} 
• Steve Shogan (I) 9% {13%} [15%]  

Among Men

• Cory Gardner (R) 51% {53%} [53%] (48%) {53%}
• Mark Udall (D) 38% {34%} [34%] (36%) {38%}
• Steve Shogan (I) 6% {9%} [9%]  

Among Women

• Mark Udall (D) 45% {49%} [46%] (49%) {52%} 
• Cory Gardner (R) 41% {40%} [43%] (40%) {35%}
• Steve Shogan (I) 5% {7%} [7%]  

Recalculated Matchup, asking Shogan voters: Who is your second choice?

• Cory Gardner (R) 48% {49%} [52%]
• Mark Udall (D) 44% {44%} [42%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Cory Gardner 49% {47%} [47%] (34%) {30%} / 42% {41%} [37%] (31%) {18%} {+7%}
• Mark Udall 44% {42%} [42%] (40%) {43%} / 49% {49%} [50%] (43%) {38%} {-5%} 

Among Independents

• Cory Gardner 48% {45%} [43%] (28%) {29%} / 41% {41%} [40%] (33%) {17%} {+7%}
• Mark Udall 46% {44%} [40%] (39%) {43%} / 47% {48%} [53%] (44%) {36%} {-1%} 

Among Men

• Cory Gardner 55% {52%} [55%] (39%) {40%} / 39% {35%} [32%] (26%) {16%} {+16%}
• Mark Udall 39% {35%} [37%] (32%) {37%} / 56% {56%} [57%] (48%) {47%} {-17%}

Among Women

• Mark Udall 50% {49%} [47%] (46%) {49%} / 42% {42%} [43%] (38%) {31%} {+8%}
• Cory Gardner 43% {42%} [40%] (30%) {21%} / 44% {47%} [42%] (35%) {21%} {-1%}

Survey of 974 likely voters was conducted October 15-21, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points. Party ID: 32% {33%} [34%] (29%) {26%} Republican; 29% {29%} [27%] (27%) {28%} Democrat; 32% {32%} [33%] (37%) {37%} Independent; 7% {6%} [6%] (6%) {10%} Other. Results from the poll conducted October 8-13, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 10-15, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 10-14, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 15-21, 2014 are in curly brackets.

Poll Watch: Reuters-Ipsos Colorado 2014 Senatorial Survey

Reuters-Ipsos Colorado 2014 Senate Poll

• Cory Gardner (R) 47%
• Mark Udall (D) 45%

Online survey of 1,099 likely voters was conducted October 13-20, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points.

Poll Watch: USA Today/Suffolk University Colorado 2014 Senatorial Survey

USA Today/Suffolk University Colorado 2014 Senate Poll

• Cory Gardner (R) 46.0% (42.6%)
• Mark Udall (D) 38.6% (41.6%)
• Gaylon Kent (L) 2.6% (2.4%)
• Steve Shogan (I) 1.6% (1.4%)
• Raul Acosta (I) 1.2% (0.8%)
• Bill Hammons (U) 0.6% (1.2%)
• Undecided 9.4% (10.0%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Cory Gardner 44.6% (40.8%) / 41.4% (37.4%) {+3.2%}
• Mark Udall 40.8% (43.4%) / 54.2% (44.4%) {-13.4%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Mark Udall is doing as U.S. Senator?

• Approve 40.2% (42.4%)
• Disapprove 53.4% (49.0%)

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted October 18-21, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Party registration: 33.4% (33.0%) Republican; 30.8% (31.0%) Democrat; 35.8% (34.8%) Independent/Unaffiliated. Gender: 51.6% (51.8%) Female; 48.4% (48.2%) Male. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted September 13-16, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Monmouth University Colorado 2014 Senatorial Survey

Monmouth University Colorado 2014 Senate Poll

• Cory Gardner (R) 47%
• Mark Udall (D) 46%
• Other candidate 4%
• Undecided 3% 

Among Men

• Cory Gardner (R) 50%
• Mark Udall (D) 43%
• Other candidate 4%
• Undecided 2%

Among Women

• Mark Udall (D) 48%
• Cory Gardner (R) 43%
• Other candidate 4%
• Undecided 4%

Survey of 431 likely voters was conducted October 17-20, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.7 percentage points. Gender: 53% Female; 47% Male.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Colorado 2014 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Colorado 2014 Senate Poll

The candidates for U.S. Senate this fall are Democrat Mark Udall, Republican Cory Gardner, Libertarian Gaylon Kent, Unity Party of Colorado candidate Bill Hammons, unaffiliated candidate Raul Acosta, and unaffiliated candidate Steve Shogan. If the election was today, who would you vote for?

• Cory Gardner (R) 46%
• Mark Udall (D) 43%
• Gaylon Kent (L) 2%
• Bill Hammons (U) 1%
• Raul Acosta (I) 1%
• Steve Shogan (I) 1%
• Undecided 7% 

Horse race, with third-party supporters asked if they lean Udall or Gardner:

• Cory Gardner (R) 47% [47%] (43%) {43%} [45%] (40%)
• Mark Udall (D) 44% [45%] (44%) {47%} [47%] (42%)

Among Independents

• Cory Gardner (R) 46% [44%] (45%) {45%} [43%] (38%)
• Mark Udall (D) 39% [44%] (38%) {43%} [43%] (30%)

Among Men

• Cory Gardner (R) 51% [54%] (53%) {48%} [50%] (45%)
• Mark Udall (D) 40% [38%] (38%) {43%} [44%] (42%)

Among Women

• Mark Udall (D) 48% [51%] (49%) {51%} [49%] (43%)
• Cory Gardner (R) 43% [41%] (35%) {39%} [40%] (36%)

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Mark Udall’s job performance?  

• Approve 37% (36%) {42%} (41%)
• Disapprove 52% (47%) {45%} (40%)

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Cory Gardner?  

• Favorable 45% (34%) {35%} (23%)
• Unfavorable 42% (39%) {42%} (25%)

Survey of 778 likely voters was conducted October 16-19, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Party ID: 37% [33%] (34%) {31%} [32%] (34%) Republican; 35% [34%] (35%) {36%} [36%] (33%) Democrat; 29% [34%] (31%) {33%} [32%] (33%) Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted September 19-21, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 17-20, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 7-8, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 17-20, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 13-16, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing (R) Colorado 2014 Senatorial Survey

Gravis Marketing (R) Colorado 2014 Senate Poll

• Cory Gardner (R) 48% [46%] (47%)
• Mark Udall (D) 43% [39%] (43%)
• Gaylon Kent (L) 4% [6%] (6%)
• Unsure 5% [9%] (4%)

Survey of 695 likely voters was conducted October 16, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Party ID: 32% [32%] (32%) Democrat; 29% [29%] (29%) Republican; 39% [39%] (39%) Independent/Other. Results from the poll conducted September 16-17, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 8-10, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Colorado 2014 Senatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Colorado 2014 Senate Poll

• Cory Gardner (R) 47% [48%] (44%) {44%}
• Mark Udall (D) 41% [40%] (42%) {45%} 
• Steve Shogan (I) 8% [8%] 

Among Independents

• Cory Gardner (R) 42% [42%] (40%) {43%}
• Mark Udall (D) 39% [40%] (43%) {41%} 
• Steve Shogan (I) 13% [15%]  

Among Men

• Cory Gardner (R) 53% [53%] (48%) {53%}
• Mark Udall (D) 34% [34%] (36%) {38%}
• Steve Shogan (I) 9% [9%]  

Among Women

• Mark Udall (D) 49% [46%] (49%) {52%} 
• Cory Gardner (R) 40% [43%] (40%) {35%}
• Steve Shogan (I) 7% [7%]  

Recalculated Matchup, asking Shogan voters: Who is your second choice?

• Cory Gardner (R) 49% [52%]
• Mark Udall (D) 44% [42%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Cory Gardner 47% [47%] (34%) {30%} / 41% [37%] (31%) {18%} {+6%}
• Mark Udall 42% [42%] (40%) {43%} [42%] (44%) / 49% [50%] (43%) {38%} [35%] (38%) {-7%} 

Among Independents

• Cory Gardner 45% [43%] (28%) {29%} / 41% [40%] (33%) {17%} {+4%}
• Mark Udall 44% [40%] (39%) {43%} [37%] (39%) / 48% [53%] (44%) {36%} [40%] (41%) {-4%} 

Among Men

• Cory Gardner 52% [55%] (39%) {40%} / 35% [32%] (26%) {16%} {+17%}
• Mark Udall 35% [37%] (32%) {37%} [36%] (38%) / 56% [57%] (48%) {47%} [46%] (45%) {-21%}

Among Women

• Mark Udall 49% [47%] (46%) {49%} [49%] (50%) / 42% [43%] (38%) {31%} [24%] (30%) {+7%}
• Cory Gardner 42% [40%] (30%) {21%} / 47% [42%] (35%) {21%} {-5%}

Survey of 988 likely voters was conducted October 8-13, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points. Party ID: 33% [34%] (29%) {26%} Republican; 29% [27%] (27%) {28%} Democrat; 32% [33%] (37%) {37%} Independent; 6% [6%] (6%) {10%} Other. Results from the poll conducted September 10-15, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 10-14, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 15-21, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 29 - February 2, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 15-18, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CNN/ORC Colorado 2014 Senatorial Survey

CNN/ORC Colorado 2014 Senate Poll

• Cory Gardner (R) 50%
• Mark Udall (D) 46%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Cory Gardner 50% / 42% {+8%}
• Mark Udall 45% / 51% {-6%}

Survey of 665 likely voters was conducted October 9-13, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.

Inside the numbers:

"Udall is getting clobbered in the all-important suburbs, as well as in rural areas, and his lead in Colorado cities is not enough to overcome that," Holland said.

"There is a gender gap, but in this case it appears to be working in favor of the Republican. Udall has a nine-point advantage among women, but that is dwarfed by the 20-point lead Gardner has among men," he said.

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA/High Point University Colorado 2014 Senatorial Survey

SurveyUSA/High Point University Colorado 2014 Senate Poll

• Cory Gardner (R) 46% (42%)
• Mark Udall (D) 42% (46%)
• Other 7%
• Undecided 5% (7%) 

Among Men

• Cory Gardner (R) 53% (47%)
• Mark Udall (D) 37% (42%)
• Other 6%
• Undecided 4% (4%)

Among Women

• Mark Udall (D) 47% (49%)
• Cory Gardner (R) 40% (36%)
• Other 7%
• Undecided 6% (11%)

Do you approve or disapprove of the way that Mark Udall is handling his job as United States Senator?

• Approve 39% (40%)
• Disapprove 52% (46%)

Survey of 800 likely voters was conducted October 4-8, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3.9 percentage points. Party ID: 34% (33%) Republican; 32% (33%) Democrat; 31% (33%) Independent. Gender: 53% (48%) Female; 47% (52%) Male. Results from the poll conducted September 8-10, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Fox News Colorado 2014 Senatorial Survey

Fox News Colorado 2014 Senate Poll

• Cory Gardner (R) 43%
• Mark Udall (D) 37%
• Another candidate 7%

Among Men

• Cory Gardner (R) 50%
• Mark Udall (D) 33%
• Another candidate 7%

Among Women

• Mark Udall (D) 42%
• Cory Gardner (R) 37%
• Another candidate 8%

Survey of 739 likely voters was conducted October 4-7, 2014 under the joint direction of Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Party ID: 35% Republican; 34% Democrat; 28% Independent/Other.

Poll Watch: CBS News/New York Times/YouGov Colorado 2014 Senatorial Survey

CBS News/New York Times/YouGov Colorado 2014 Senate Poll

• Mark Udall (D) 48% [46%] (51%)
• Cory Gardner (R) 45% [43%] (47%)
• Other 1% [2%]
• Not sure 6% [9%]

Among Men

• Cory Gardner (R) 52% [51%]
• Mark Udall (D) 43% [42%]
• Other 1% [2%]
• Not sure 4% [6%]

Among Women

• Mark Udall (D) 53% [50%]
• Cory Gardner (R) 39% [36%]
• Other 1% [2%]
• Not sure 8% [13%]

Survey of 1,634 likely voters was conducted September 20 - October 1, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted August 18 - September 2, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 5-24, 2014 are in parentheses.