Monday, November 03, 2014

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Colorado 2014 Senatorial Survey

  • Cory Gardner (R) 45% [46%] (46%) {47%} [48%] (44%) {44%}
  • Mark Udall (D) 43% [39%] (41%) {41%} [40%] (42%) {45%} 
  • Steve Shogan (I) 6% [7%] (6%) {8%} [8%] 
Among Independents
  • Mark Udall (D) 43% [35%] (40%) {39%} [40%] (43%) {41%}
  • Cory Gardner (R) 36% [37%] (42%) {42%} [42%] (40%) {43%}
  • Steve Shogan (I) 13% [19%] (9%) {13%} [15%]  
Among Men
  • Cory Gardner (R) 47% [54%] (51%) {53%} [53%] (48%) {53%}
  • Mark Udall (D) 38% [33%] (38%) {34%} [34%] (36%) {38%}
  • Steve Shogan (I) 7% [6%] (6%) {9%} [9%]  
Among Women
  • Mark Udall (D) 47% [45%] (45%) {49%} [46%] (49%) {52%} 
  • Cory Gardner (R) 44% [39%] (41%) {40%} [43%] (40%) {35%}
  • Steve Shogan (I) 5% [8%] (5%) {7%} [7%]  
Recalculated Matchup, asking Shogan voters: Who is your second choice?
  • Cory Gardner (R) 46% [49%] (48%) {49%} [52%]
  • Mark Udall (D) 45% [41%] (44%) {44%} [42%]
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Cory Gardner 46% [48%] (49%) {47%} [47%] (34%) {30%} / 45% [40%] (42%) {41%} [37%] (31%) {18%} {+1%}
  • Mark Udall 44% [43%] (44%) {42%} [42%] (40%) {43%} / 50% [50%] (49%) {49%} [50%] (43%) {38%} {-6%
Among Independents
  • Mark Udall 45% [38%] (46%) {44%} [40%] (39%) {43%} / 45% [53%] (47%) {48%} [53%] (44%) {36%} {0%}
  • Cory Gardner 38% [42%] (48%) {45%} [43%] (28%) {29%} / 50% [42%] (41%) {41%} [40%] (33%) {17%} {-12%}
Among Men
  • Cory Gardner 48% [58%] (55%) {52%} [55%] (39%) {40%} / 41% [32%] (39%) {35%} [32%] (26%) {16%} {+7%}
  • Mark Udall 39% [36%] (39%) {35%} [37%] (32%) {37%} / 55% [57%] (56%) {56%} [57%] (48%) {47%} {-16%}
Among Women
  • Mark Udall 49% [49%] (50%) {49%} [47%] (46%) {49%} / 46% [44%] (42%) {42%} [43%] (38%) {31%} {+3%}
  • Cory Gardner 45% [40%] (43%) {42%} [40%] (30%) {21%} / 48% [48%] (44%) {47%} [42%] (35%) {21%} {-3%}
Survey of 815 likely voters was conducted October 28 - November 2, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Party ID: 32% [32%] (32%) {33%} [34%] (29%) {26%} Republican; 28% [27%] (29%) {29%} [27%] (27%) {28%} Democrat; 33% [34%] (32%) {32%} [33%] (37%) {37%} Independent; 7% [7%] (7%) {6%} [6%] (6%) {10%} Other. Results from the poll conducted October 22-27, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 15-21, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 8-13, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 10-15, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 10-14, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 15-21, 2014 are in curly brackets.

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