Poll Watch: PPP (D) Arkansas 2014 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Arkansas 2014 Senate Poll 

The candidates for U.S. Senate this fall are Democrat Mark Pryor, Republican Tom Cotton, Green party candidate Mark Swaney, and Libertarian Nathan LaFrance. If the election was today, who would you vote for?

• Tom Cotton (R) 49% [43%] (41%)
• Mark Pryor (D) 41% [38%] (39%)
• Mark Swaney (G) 3% [3%] (4%)
• Nathan LaFrance (L) 1% [3%] (3%)
• Undecided 5% [13%] (14%)

Horse race, with third-party supporters and undecideds asked if they lean Pryor or Cotton:

• Tom Cotton (R) 51% [45%] (43%) {42%} [44%] (41%)
• Mark Pryor (D) 45% [39%] (41%) {43%} [44%] (44%)

Among Men

• Tom Cotton (R) 58% [53%] (50%) {48%} [53%] (50%)
• Mark Pryor (D) 39% [36%] (40%) {40%} [39%] (38%)

Among Women

• Mark Pryor (D) 50% [42%] (41%) {45%} [49%] (50%)
• Tom Cotton (R) 46% [38%] (37%) {36%} [37%] (33%)

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Mark Pryor's job performance?

• Approve 39% [36%] (34%) {38%}
• Disapprove 50% [51%] (51%) {46%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Tom Cotton 48% [40%] (40%) {37%} / 40% [41%] (40%) {42%} {+8%}

Survey of 1,092 likely voters was conducted October 30 - November 1, 2014. Party ID: 39% [39%] (35%) {41%} [37%] (37%) Democrat; 32% [31%] (34%) {27%} [27%] (27%) Republican; 29% [30%] (31%) {32%} [37%] (36%) Independent/Other.  Ideology: 29% [26%] (28%) {28%} Moderate; 25% [27%] (27%) {23%} Somewhat conservative; 23% [22%] (22%) {23%} Very conservative; 12% [13%] (14%) {16%} Somewhat liberal; 11% [11%] (10%) {10%} Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted September 18-21, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 1-3, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 25-27, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 13-15, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 14-15, 2013 are in parentheses.