Poll Watch: PPP (D) Iowa 2014 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Iowa 2014 Senate Poll

The candidates for U.S. Senate are Democrat Bruce Braley, Republican Joni Ernst, Libertarian Douglas Butzier, Bob Quast, Ruth Smith, and independent Rick Stewart. If the election was today, who would you vote for?

• Joni Ernst (R) 48% (44%) {40%}
• Bruce Braley (D) 45% (42%) {41%}
• Douglas Butzier (L) 1% (2%) {2%} 
• Rick Stewart (I) 1% (1%) {2%}
• Bob Quast 0% (1%) {0%}
• Ruth Smith 0% (0%) {1%}
• Undecided 5% (10%) {14%}

Horse race, with third-party supporters and undecideds asked if they lean Braley or Ernst: 

• Joni Ernst (R) 49% {48%} [47%] (45%) {42%} [39%] (35%)
• Bruce Braley (D) 46% {47%} [48%] (43%) {42%} [45%] (41%)
• Undecided 5% {5%} [5%] (12%) {16%} [16%] (23%)

Among Men

• Joni Ernst (R) 53% [49%] (48%) {50%} [48%] (43%)
• Bruce Braley (D) 42% [48%] (43%) {40%} [39%] (41%)
• Undecided 5% [3%] (9%) {9%} [12%] (16%)

Among Women

• Bruce Braley (D) 50% [48%] (44%) {44%} [50%] (42%)
• Joni Ernst (R) 46% [46%] (42%) {35%} [31%] (28%)
• Undecided 4% [7%] (15%) {21%} [20%] (30%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Joni Ernst 46% [48%] (42%) {36%} [27%] (9%) / 45% [47%] (46%) {46%} [32%] (12%) {+1%}
• Bruce Braley 42% [47%] (37%) {37%} [29%] (31%) / 45% [46%] (44%) {41%} [29%] (25%) {-3%}

Survey of 1,265 likely voters was conducted November 1-3, 2014. Party ID: 37% {37%} [37%] (36%) {34%} [34%] (31%) Republican; 35% {41%} [36%] (35%) {35%} [38%] (37%) Democrat; 27% {22%} [27%] (29%) {31%} [28%] (32%) Independent/Other. Results from the poll conducted October 30-31, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 15-16, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 25-28, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 22-24, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 15-19, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 20-23, 2014 are in parentheses.