Poll Watch: SurveyUSA South Dakota 2014 Senatorial Survey

SurveyUSA South Dakota 2014 Senate Poll

• Mike Rounds (R) 43% {35%} [39%] (44%)
• Rick Weiland (D) 32% {28%} [28%] (30%)
• Larry Pressler (I) 19% {32%} [25%] (17%)
• Gordon Howie (I) 2% {3%} [3%] (3%)
• Undecided 4% {2%} [5%] (5%)

Survey of 611 likely voters was conducted October 21-26, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 1-5, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 3-7, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 6-10, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: NBC News/Marist South Dakota 2014 Senatorial Survey

NBC News/Marist South Dakota 2014 Senate Poll

• Mike Rounds (R) 43%
• Rick Weiland (D) 29%
• Larry Pressler (I) 16%
• Gordon Howie (I) 3%
• Undecided 7%

Among Men

• Mike Rounds (R) 49%
• Rick Weiland (D) 22%
• Larry Pressler (I) 17%
• Gordon Howie (I) 5%
• Undecided 7%

Among Women

• Mike Rounds (R) 38%
• Rick Weiland (D) 37%
• Larry Pressler (I) 15%
• Gordon Howie (I) 2%
• Undecided 7%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Larry Pressler 52% / 30% {+22%}
• Rick Weiland 46% / 33% {+13%}
• Mike Rounds 52% / 40% {+12%}

Survey of 730 likely voters was conducted October 19-23, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Harper Polling (R) South Dakota 2014 Senatorial Survey

Harper Polling (R) South Dakota 2014 Senate Poll

• Mike Rounds (R) 37%
• Rick Weiland (D) 33%
• Larry Pressler (I) 23%
• Gordon Howie (I) 5%
• Not sure 2%

Among Men

• Mike Rounds (R) 42%
• Rick Weiland (D) 28%
• Larry Pressler (I) 23%
• Gordon Howie (I) 5%
• Not sure 2%

Among Women

• Rick Weiland (D) 38%
• Mike Rounds (R) 32%
• Larry Pressler (I) 23%
• Gordon Howie (I) 4%
• Not sure 2%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Larry Pressler 55% / 38% {+17%}
• Rick Weiland 48% / 43% {+5%}
• Mike Rounds 46% / 51% {-5%}
• Gordon Howie 21% / 51% {-30%}

Survey of 630 likely voters was conducted October 9-11, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3.9 percentage points. Party ID: 46% Republican; 34% Democrat; 20% Independent/Other. Ideology: 44% Conservative; 41% Moderate; 13% Liberal.

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA South Dakota 2014 Senatorial Survey

SurveyUSA South Dakota 2014 Senate Poll

• Mike Rounds (R) 35% [39%] (44%)
• Larry Pressler (I) 32% [25%] (17%)
• Rick Weiland (D) 28% [28%] (30%)
• Gordon Howie (I) 3% [3%] (3%)
• Undecided 2% [5%] (5%)

Survey of 616 likely voters was conducted October 1-5, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 3-7, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 6-10, 2014 are in parentheses.

PPP (D) South Dakota 2014 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) South Dakota 2014 Senate Poll

• Mike Rounds (R) 35% {38%} [40%]
• Rick Weiland (D) 28% {28%} [34%]
• Larry Pressler (I) 24% {15%}
• Gordon Howie (I) 8% {4%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Rick Weiland 42% {36%} [28%] / 38% {30%} [19%] {+4%}
• Mike Rounds 41% {41%} [42%] (51%) / 51% {41%} [40%] (34%) {-10%}

Survey of 703 likely voters was conducted September 29-30, 2014 on behalf of People for Weiland.  The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points. Party ID: 49% {49%} [43%] (49%) Republican; 35% {33%} [35%] (37%) Democrat; 16% {18%} [22%] (15%) Independent/Other. Results from the poll conducted April 30 - May 1, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 10-13, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 18-19, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Nielson Brothers South Dakota 2014 Senatorial Survey

Nielson Brothers South Dakota 2014 Senate Poll

• Mike Rounds (R) 39%
• Rick Weiland (D) 26%
• Larry Pressler (I) 24%
• Gordon Howie (I) 4%
• Undecided 7%

Survey of 647 likely voters was conducted September 21-25, 2014, and sponsored in part by Northern Plains News.  The margin of error is +/- 3.24 percentage points.

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA South Dakota 2014 Senatorial Survey

SurveyUSA South Dakota 2014 Senate Poll

• Mike Rounds (R) 39% (44%)
• Rick Weiland (D) 28% (30%)
• Larry Pressler (I) 25% (17%)
• Gordon Howie (I) 3% (3%)
• Undecided 5% (5%)

Survey of 510 likely voters was conducted September 3-7, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted May 6-10, 2014 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers: 

If Independent Larry Pressler wasn't on the ballot, of the people who would have voted for him, numbers show more than half would vote for Weiland.

That means, if Pressler weren't in the race, SurveyUSA shows it would essentially be a toss-up.

Rounds would have 44% of the vote against Weiland's 42%.

PPP (D) South Dakota 2014 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) South Dakota 2014 Senate Poll

• Mike Rounds (R) 38% [40%]
• Rick Weiland (D) 28% [34%]
• Larry Pressler (I) 15%
• Gordon Howie (I) 4%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Rick Weiland 36% [28%] / 30% [19%] {+6%}
• Mike Rounds 41% [42%] (51%) / 41% [40%] (34%) {0%}

Survey of 745 South Dakota voters was conducted April 30 - May 1, 2014 on behalf of People for Weiland.  The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points. Party ID: 49% [43%] (49%) Republican; 33% [35%] (37%) Democrat. Results from the poll conducted October 10-13, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 18-19, 2013 are in parentheses.