Monday, October 29, 2012

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Florida 2012 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Florida 2012 Senate Poll
  • Bill Nelson (D) 49% [48%] (46%) {52%} [47%] (47%) {37%} [47%] (36%) {41%} [39%]
  • Connie Mack (R) 46% [43%] (45%) {41%} [40%] (40%) {46%} [36%] (43%) {41%} [43%]
I’m going to read you a short list of people in the news. For each, please let me know if you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression.

Bill Nelson
  • Very favorable 29% [24%] (23%) {17%} [21%] (21%)
  • Somewhat favorable 20% [26%] (24%) {33%} [30%] (27%)
  • Somewhat unfavorable 16% [20%] (16%) {15%} [18%] (19%)
  • Very unfavorable 27% [21%] (24%) {25%} [20%] (18%)
Connie Mack
  • Very favorable 22% [16%] (21%) {15%} [17%] (14%)
  • Somewhat favorable 25% [27%] (23%) {23%} [23%] (25%)
  • Somewhat unfavorable 16% [23%] (20%) {24%} [24%] (20%)
  • Very unfavorable 27% [26%] (22%) {26%} [24%] (22%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Bill Nelson 49% [50%] (47%) {50%} [51%] (48%) / 43% [41%] (40%) {40%} [38%] (37%) {+6%}
  • Connie Mack 47% [43%] (44%) {38%} [40%] (39%) / 43% [49%] (42%) {50%} [48%] (42%) {+4%}
Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted October 25, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted October 18, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 11, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 4, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 12, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 15, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 9, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 25, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 13, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted February 13, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 17, 2011 are in square brackets.
Inside the numbers:
Florida allows early voting, and 23% of the state’s likely voters have already cast their ballots. Nelson leads 55% to 41% among these voters.
Mack leads by eight points among male voters but trails by 12 among female voters. Voters not affiliated with either of the major political parties prefer the incumbent by a 58% to 32% margin.

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