Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Florida 2012 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Florida 2012 Senate Poll

• Bill Nelson (D) 52% [47%] (47%) {37%} [47%] (36%) {41%} [39%]
• Connie Mack (R) 41% [40%] (40%) {46%} [36%] (43%) {41%} [43%]

I’m going to read you a short list of people in the news. For each, please let me know if you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression.

Bill Nelson

• Very favorable 17% [21%] (21%)
• Somewhat favorable 33% [30%] (27%)
• Somewhat unfavorable 15% [18%] (19%)
• Very unfavorable 25% [20%] (18%)

Connie Mack

• Very favorable 15% [17%] (14%)
• Somewhat favorable 23% [23%] (25%)
• Somewhat unfavorable 24% [24%] (20%)
• Very unfavorable 26% [24%] (22%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Bill Nelson 50% [51%] (48%) / 40% [38%] (37%) {+10%}
• Connie Mack 38% [40%] (39%) / 50% [48%] (42%) {-12%}

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted October 4, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted September 12, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 15, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 9, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 25, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 13, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted February 13, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 17, 2011 are in square brackets.

Inside the numbers:

Ninety-three percent (93%) of likely Florida voters say they are certain to vote this election cycle. Among these voters, it's Nelson 51%, Mack 44%.

Nelson earns 52% support among both male and female voters in Florida. He also leads among young and middle-aged voters but trails Mack among those 65 and older.

Mack draws support from only 71% of Florida Republicans. Twenty-four percent (24%) of GOP voters in the state and 91% of Democrats prefer Nelson. The candidates run even among voters not affiliated with either major political party.