Poll Watch: Mason-Dixon North Dakota 2012 Senatorial Survey

Mason-Dixon North Dakota 2012 Senate Poll

• Rick Berg (R) 47% [47%] (46%)
• Heidi Heitkamp (D) 45% [47%] (47%)

Among Independents

• Heidi Heitkamp (D) 48% [48%] (51%)
• Rick Berg (R) 38% [43%] (36%)

Among Men

• Rick Berg (R) 57% [51%] (52%)
• Heidi Heitkamp (D) 38% [42%] (43%)

Among Women

• Heidi Heitkamp (D) 52% [51%] (50%)
• Rick Berg (R) 37% [44%] (41%)

Survey of 625 likely voters was conducted October 26-28, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted October 3-5, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 4-6, 2012 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers: 

Berg has strong support in the more conservative areas of Bismarck-Mandan and western North Dakota, while Heitkamp leads in Fargo and eastern North Dakota. Heitkamp wins in the east 50 to 41 and 52 to 41, while Berg is tops with the western voters, 54 to 39 per cent and 53 to 38 percent.