Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Ohio 2012 Senatorial Survey

SurveyUSA Ohio 2012 Senate Poll

• Sherrod Brown (D) 46% {43%} [43%] (42%)
• Josh Mandel (R) 41% {42%} [38%] (38%)
• Scott Rupert (I) 3% {3%} [4%] (4%)
• Undecided 9% {10%} [13%] (14%)

Among Independents

• Josh Mandel (R) 43% {46%} [37%] (39%)
• Sherrod Brown (D) 34% {33%} [34%] (32%)
• Scott Rupert (I) 7% {6%} [10%] (9%)
• Undecided 13% {14%} [19%] (17%)

Among Moderates

• Sherrod Brown (D) 53% {54%} [52%] (53%)
• Josh Mandel (R) 31% {30%} [28%] (25%)
• Scott Rupert (I) 4% {4%} [5%] (5%)
• Undecided 11% {11%} [14%] (15%)

Among Men

• Josh Mandel (R) 45% {47%} [42%] (41%)
• Sherrod Brown (D) 43% {41%} [40%] (41%)
• Scott Rupert (I) 4% {2%} [5%] (4%)
• Undecided 8% {8%} [13%] (13%)

Among Women

• Sherrod Brown (D) 50% {45%} [45%] (44%)
• Josh Mandel (R) 37% {37%} [35%] (34%)
• Scott Rupert (I) 2% {5%} [4%] (4%)
• Undecided 10% {12%} [14%] (15%)

Already Voted (25%)

• Sherrod Brown (D) 60% {54%} [52%] (57%)
• Josh Mandel (R) 35% {35%} [38%] (37%)
• Scott Rupert (I) 2% {4%} [4%] (0%)
• Undecided 1% {4%} [3%] (2%)

Will Vote Before Election Day (14%)

• Sherrod Brown (D) 47%
• Josh Mandel (R) 31%
• Scott Rupert (I) 4%
• Undecided 18%

Will Vote on Election Day (60%)

• Josh Mandel (R) 46% 
• Sherrod Brown (D) 41%
• Scott Rupert (I) 3%
• Undecided 10%

Survey of 603 likely and actual voters was conducted October 26-29, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points.  Party ID: 38% {39%} [39%] (39%) Democrat; 32% {32%} [32%] (33%) Republican; 26% {25%} [26%] (25%) Independent.  Ideology: 41% {38%} [42%] (40%) Moderate; 32% {34%} [34%] (35%) Conservative; 17% {18%} [17%] (16%) Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted October 20-22, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 12-15, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 5-8, 2012 are in parentheses.