Sunday, October 28, 2012

Poll Watch: Investor's Business Daily/Christian Science Monitor/TIPP 2012 Presidential Survey

IBD/CSM/TIPP 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Poll
  • Barack Obama 45.4% (46.6%) {46.9%} [46.7%] (47.3%) {46.5%} [47.4%] (47.9%) {46.6%} [46.5%] (46.2%) {46.8%} [47.3%] (46.9%) {46.7%} [46.4%] (46.4%) {45.7%} [43.7%] (45%)
  • Mitt Romney 44.1% (44.5%) {44.6%} [44.7%] (44.3%) {44.5%} [43.4%] (42.2%) {44.0%} [44.8%] (45.7%) {45.3%} [45.7%] (46.6%) {46.0%} [45.7%] (45.7%) {46.9%} [48.7%] (47%)
  • Not sure 7.3% (5.7%) {5.9%} [6.0%] (5.9%) {6.3%} [7.1%] (8.1%) {7.7%} [6.6%] (6.2%) {6.1%} [4.9%] (5.0%) {5.7%} [5.9%] (5.9%) {5.5%} [6.1%] (6.7%)
Among Independents
  • Mitt Romney 46% (49%) {48%} [48%] (47%) {49%} [47%] (44%) {46%} [47%] (48%) {45%} [46%] (48%) {48%} [47%] (48%) {51%} [54%] (52%)
  • Barack Obama 38% (38%) {38%} [38%] (38%) {36%} [36%] (38%) {36%} [36%] (37%) {40%} [42%] (40%) {39%} [39%] (39%) {36%} [34%] (34%)
  • Not sure 12% (10%) {10%} [11%] (12%) {12%} [13%] (16%) {15%} [13%] (12%) {12%} [9%] (10%) {12%} [12%] (12%) {11%} [12%] (12%)
Among Moderates
  • Barack Obama 56% (58%) {58%} [59%] (58%) {56%} [56%] (55%) {54%} [52%] (53%) {55%} [56%] (56%) {53%} [52%] (53%) {54%} [54%] (57%)
  • Mitt Romney 32% (31%) {33%} [30%] (31%) {34%} [33%] (33%) {35%} [39%] (39%) {38%} [39%] (38%) {39%} [39%] (39%) {37%} [37%] (33%)
  • Not sure 9% (7%) {7%} [8%] (8%) {8%} [9%] (10%) {10%} [8%] (7%) {5%} [5%] (5%) {7%} [8%] (7%) {8%} [8%] (9%)
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 50% (52%) {50%} [50%] (50%) {48%} [47%] (45%) {45%} [46%] (47%) {48%} [48%] (49%) {51%} [50%] (50%) {53%} [57%] (54%)
  • Barack Obama 40% (41%) {42%} [43%] (43%) {44%} [45%] (46%) {45%} [44%] (44%) {43%} [45%] (44%) {42%} [43%] (43%) {41%} [36%] (38%)
  • Not sure 6% (5%) {5%} [5%] (5%) {6%} [7%] (8%) {9%} [8%] (7%) {7%} [6%] (6%) {5%} [5%] (5%) {5%} [6%] (7%)
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 50% (52%) {51%} [50%] (51%) {48%} [50%] (50%) {48%} [49%] (48%) {50%} [50%] (49%) {51%} [50%] (50%) {50%} [50%] (51%)
  • Mitt Romney 39% (38%) {40%} [40%] (39%) {41%} [41%] (40%) {43%} [43%] (44%) {43%} [44%] (45%) {41%} [41%] (42%) {42%} [42%] (41%)
  • Not sure 8% (7%) {7%} [7%] (6%) {7%} [7%] (8%) {7%} [6%] (5%) {5%} [4%] (4%) {6%} [7%] (6%) {6%} [6%] (6%)
Survey of 942 likely voters was conducted October 22-27, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Party ID (among registered voters): 38% (38%) {38%} [38%] (38%) {37%} [37%] (37%) {37%} [37%] (37%) {37%} [37%] (37%) {37%} [37%] (37%) {39%} [39%] (39%) Democrat; 31% (31%) {31%} [31%] (31%) {30%} [30%] (30%) {30%} [30%] (30%) {30%} [30%] (30%) {30%} [30%] (30%) {31%} [31%] (31%) Republican; 32% (32%) {32%} [32%] (32%) {32%} [32%] (32%) {32%} [32%] (32%) {32%} [32%] (32%) {32%} [32%] (34%) {30%} [30%] (30%) Independent/Other. Results from the poll conducted October 21-26, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 20-25, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 19-24, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 18-23, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 17-22, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 16-21, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 15-20, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 14-19, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 13-18, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 12-17, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 11-16, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 10-15, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 9-14, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 8-13, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 7-12, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 6-11, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 5-10, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 4-9, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 2-8, 2012 are in parentheses.

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