Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) North Carolina 2012 Presidential Survey

Rasmussen (R) North Carolina 2012 Presidential Poll

• Mitt Romney 52% [52%] (51%) {51%} [51%] (49%) {47%} [51%] (46%) 
• Barack Obama 46% [46%] (48%) {47%} [45%] (44%) {44%} [43%] (44%)
• Some other candidate 1% [0%] (1%) {1%} [1%] (3%) {3%} [2%] (4%)
• Undecided 1% [1%] (1%) {1%} [3%] (4%) {6%} [4%] (6%) 

Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable impression of Mitt Romney?

• Very favorable 40% [37%] (37%) {31%} [33%] (23%) {22%} [23%] (16%)
• Somewhat favorable 18% [18%] (15%) {20%} [21%] (27%) {28%} [31%] (36%)
• Somewhat unfavorable 12% [12%] (15%) {11%} [16%] (17%) {23%} [20%] (24%)
• Very unfavorable 29% [32%] (33%) {36%} [26%] (30%) {23%} [23%] (18%)

Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable impression of Barack Obama?

• Very favorable 34%
• Somewhat favorable 15%
• Somewhat unfavorable 8%
• Very unfavorable 43%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 58% [55%] (52%) {51%} [54%] (50%) {50%} [54%] (52%) / 41% [44%] (48%) {47%} [42%] (47%) {46%} [43%] (42%) {+17%}
• Barack Obama 49% / 51% {-2%}
  

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as president?

• Strongly approve 30% [34%] (38%) {35%} [34%] (31%) {29%} [28%] (31%)
• Somewhat approve 18% [14%] (10%) {14%} [14%] (16%) {16%} [18%] (17%)
• Somewhat disapprove 7% [5%] (7%) {6%} [6%] (5%) {10%} [9%] (7%)
• Strongly disapprove 44% [47%] (45%) {44%} [45%] (46%) {44%} [45%] (43%)

President Obama Job Approval 

• Approve 48% [48%] (48%) {49%} [48%] (47%) {45%} [46%] (48%)
• Disapprove 51% [52%] (52%) {50%} [51%] (51%) {54%} [54%] (50%)

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted October 25, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 17, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 9, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 2, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 13, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 1, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 25, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 14, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 10, 2012 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

The president leads 52% to 46% among the 35% in North Carolina who have already voted. Among the 92% who say they are certain to vote in this year’s election, Romney leads 57% to 41%.

North Carolina voters trust Romney more than the president by a 51% to 42% margin when it comes to handling the economy and 52% to 44% on energy policy.

But the former governor holds a narrower 50% to 47% edge in voter trust when it comes to national security.

Forty-nine percent (49%) in North Carolina expect the economy to get better if Romney is elected and Republicans take control of Congress. Just 39% think that’s likely if Obama is reelected and Democrats take charge of Congress. If Romney wins, 33% believe the economy will get worse, compared to 43% who feel that will be the case if Obama wins.

Male voters in North Carolina prefer Romney by a 66% to 31%, while female voters support the president more, 58% to 40%.

Romney draws support from 93% of North Carolina Republicans and 22% of the state's Democrats. The president has the backing of just 77% of voters in his own party. But Obama is ahead 50% to 44% among voters not affiliated with either major political party.