Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) North Carolina 2012 Presidential Survey

Rasmussen (R) North Carolina 2012 Presidential Poll

• Mitt Romney 52% (51%) {51%} [51%] (49%) {47%} [51%] (46%) 
• Barack Obama 46% (48%) {47%} [45%] (44%) {44%} [43%] (44%)
• Some other candidate 0% (1%) {1%} [1%] (3%) {3%} [2%] (4%)
• Undecided 1% (1%) {1%} [3%] (4%) {6%} [4%] (6%) 

Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable impression of Mitt Romney?

• Very favorable 37% (37%) {31%} [33%] (23%) {22%} [23%] (16%)
• Somewhat favorable 18% (15%) {20%} [21%] (27%) {28%} [31%] (36%)
• Somewhat unfavorable 12% (15%) {11%} [16%] (17%) {23%} [20%] (24%)
• Very unfavorable 32% (33%) {36%} [26%] (30%) {23%} [23%] (18%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 55% (52%) {51%} [54%] (50%) {50%} [54%] (52%) / 44% (48%) {47%} [42%] (47%) {46%} [43%] (42%) {+11%}
  

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as president?

• Strongly approve 34% (38%) {35%} [34%] (31%) {29%} [28%] (31%)
• Somewhat approve 14% (10%) {14%} [14%] (16%) {16%} [18%] (17%)
• Somewhat disapprove 5% (7%) {6%} [6%] (5%) {10%} [9%] (7%)
• Strongly disapprove 47% (45%) {44%} [45%] (46%) {44%} [45%] (43%)

President Obama Job Approval 

• Approve 48% (48%) {49%} [48%] (47%) {45%} [46%] (48%)
• Disapprove 52% (52%) {50%} [51%] (51%) {54%} [54%] (50%)

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted October 17, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 9, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 2, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 13, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 1, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 25, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 14, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 10, 2012 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Still, by a 52% to 39% margin, voters in North Carolina think Obama is more likely to win the presidential election. Fifty percent (50%) say the president has a better understanding of the middle class than his Republican opponent, while 42% think Romney is more in sync with the middle class.

Ninety-five percent (95%) of voters in the state are certain they will vote.  Among these voters, Romney leads 52% to 46%. 

Among the 90% who have already made up their minds how they will vote, it's Romney 53%, Obama 47%.

Voters in North Carolina trust Romney more than Obama by 14 points when it comes to the economy and by a five-point margin in the area of national security.

North Carolina voters are more evenly divided when asked which candidate they would rather get advice from to help them make the toughest decision of their lives: 48% say Romney; 46% say Obama. 

Two-out-of-three (66%) voters in the state are excited about the choice between Obama and Romney.  Twenty-six percent (26%) will simply be voting for the lesser of two evils. 

Romney has the support of 94% of North Carolina Republicans and 17% of the state's Democrats. Obama earns the backing of 82% of the voters in his own party. The GOP candidate leads 59% to 36% among voters not affiliated with either of the major parties.