Poll Watch: PPP (D) Virginia 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Virginia 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 50% (49%) {51%} [50%] (50%) {51%} [48%] (47%) {51%} [48%] (48%)
• Mitt Romney 47% (43%) {46%} [45%] (42%) {43%} [42%] (43%) {40%} [42%] (43%)

Among Democrats

• Barack Obama 91% (90%) {95%} [93%] (92%) {92%} [88%] (91%) {93%} [89%] (91%)
• Mitt Romney 8% (6%) {4%} [5%] (4%) {5%} [9%] (6%) {5%} [5%] (5%)

Among Republicans

• Mitt Romney 92% (85%) {92%} [92%] (86%) {84%} [79%] (84%) {80%} [81%] (82%)
• Barack Obama 7% (12%) {7%} [5%] (9%) {9%} [8%] (6%) {7%} [6%] (9%)

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 46% (50%) {47%} [46%] (36%) {46%} [41%] (36%) {37%} [47%] (42%)
• Barack Obama 46% (31%) {45%} [43%] (47%) {44%} [45%] (44%) {48%} [39%] (42%)

Among Moderates

• Barack Obama 60% {60%} [64%] (65%) {62%} [67%] (64%) {71%} [64%] (62%)
• Mitt Romney 38% {34%} [26%] (26%) {28%} [21%] (19%) {24%} [27%] (27%)

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 49% (54%) {51%} [50%] (50%) {48%} [45%] (47%) {43%} [48%] (44%)
• Barack Obama 48% (38%) {45%} [44%] (43%) {47%} [44%] (41%) {47%} [44%] (45%)

Among Women

• Barack Obama 52% (57%) {56%} [55%] (55%) {55%} [51%] (51%) {54%} [51%] (50%)
• Mitt Romney 44% (35%) {42%} [41%] (36%) {38%} [40%] (39%) {37%} [37%] (41%)

Among Whites

• Mitt Romney 57% {57%}
• Barack Obama 40% {40%}

Among Blacks

• Barack Obama 90% {91%}
• Mitt Romney 8% {7%}

If the candidates for President this fall were Democrat Barack Obama, Republican Mitt Romney, Libertarian Gary Johnson, Constitution Party candidate Virgil Goode, and Green Party candidate Jill Stein, who would you vote for?

• Barack Obama 48% {49%}
• Mitt Romney 44% {45%}
• Gary Johnson 4% {2%}
• Virgil Goode 1% {1%}
• Jill Stein 0% {1%}
• Undecided 2% {3%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 52% {47%} [46%] (38%) {38%} [33%] (34%) {35%} [33%] (33%) / 44% {49%} [49%] (51%) {52%} [52%] (49%) {43%} [48%] (46%) {+8%}

Among Democrats

• Mitt Romney 21% {6%} [9%] (4%) {10%} [19%] (16%) {21%} [11%] (6%) / 76% {90%} [88%] (86%) {80%} [66%] (69%) {62%} [73%] (69%) {-55%}

Among Republicans

• Mitt Romney 87% {90%} [90%] (77%) {71%} [44%] (53%) {52%} [52%] (57%) / 9% {8%} [5%] (16%) {20%} [42%] (34%) {24%} [26%] (28%) {+78%}

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 51% {48%} [48%] (33%) {40%} [36%] (31%) {34%} [42%] (37%) / 43% {45%} [46%] (51%) {49%} [47%] (44%) {43%} [40%] (38%) {+8%}

Among Moderates

• Mitt Romney 41% {34%} [27%] (24%) {27%} [30%] (30%) {32%} [31%] (23%) / 53% {61%} [64%] (66%) {60%} [56%] (50%) {43%} [50%] (53%) {-12%}

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 53% {51%} [51%] (42%) {42%} [33%] (36%) {36%} [38%] (33%) / 43% {45%} [45%] (48%) {50%} [56%] (51%) {49%} [47%] (50%) {+10%}

Among Women

• Mitt Romney 50% {42%} [42%] (34%) {35%} [33%] (31%) {34%} [28%] (33%) / 45% {53%} [53%] (54%) {54%} [48%] (47%) {39%} [50%] (42%) {+5%}

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Virgil Goode?

• Favorable 13%
• Unfavorable 29%

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 50% {50%} [49%] (49%) {50%} [48%] (47%) {51%} [48%] (50%)
• Disapprove 48% {48%} [46%] (47%) {46%} [47%] (48%) {44%} [45%] (45%)

Do you trust Barack Obama or Mitt Romney more on the issue of the economy?

• Barack Obama 50% {49%}
• Mitt Romney 47% {47%}

Do you trust Barack Obama or Mitt Romney more on the issue of foreign policy?

• Barack Obama 51% {51%}
• Mitt Romney 46% {45%}

Who do you think won the debate between Barack Obama and Mitt Romney this week?

• Mitt Romney 61% 
• Barack Obama 28%

Among Democrats

• Barack Obama 56%
• Mitt Romney 26%

Among Republicans

• Mitt Romney 93%
• Barack Obama 4%

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 71%
• Barack Obama 17%

Among Moderates

• Mitt Romney 57%
• Barack Obama 28%

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 69%
• Barack Obama 22%

Among Women

• Mitt Romney 54%
• Barack Obama 32%

Are you very excited, somewhat excited, or not at all excited about voting in the 2012 elections?

• Very excited 65% {62%}
• Somewhat excited 23% {25%}
• Not at all excited 12% {13%}

Among Democrats

• Very excited 70% {73%}
• Somewhat excited 21% {21%}
• Not at all excited 10% {6%}

Among Republicans

• Very excited 70% {63%}
• Somewhat excited 19% {26%}
• Not at all excited 11% {11%}

Among Independents

• Very excited 55% {51%}
• Somewhat excited 31% {27%}
• Not at all excited 14% {22%}

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Big Bird?

• Favorable 56%
• Unfavorable 10%

Do you support or oppose federal funding for PBS?

• Support 55%
• Oppose 35%

Among Democrats

• Support 82%
• Oppose 10%

Among Republicans

• Support 20%
• Oppose 64%

Among Independents

• Support 55%
• Oppose 36%

Survey of 725 likely Virginia voters was conducted October 4-7, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points. Party ID: 38% (40%) {35%} [37%] (33%) {39%} [33%] (35%) {37%} [39%] (36%) Democrat; 32% (32%) {32%} [30%] (33%) {32%} [36%] (36%) {34%} [34%] (35%) Republican; 30% (28%) {33%} [33%] (34%) {29%} [31%] (30%) {29%} [27%] (30%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 27% {32%} [32%] (29%) {31%} [34%] (30%) {31%} [32%] Moderate; 27% {25%} [25%] (26%) {24%} [24%] (21%) {22%} [25%] Somewhat conservative; 19% {17%} [16%] (19%) {20%} [15%] (18%) {18%} [16%] Somewhat liberal; 15% {11%} [12%] (9%) {9%} [9%] (11%) {8%} [11%] Very liberal; 13% {16%} [15%] (17%) {17%} [18%] (20%) {21%} [16%] Very conservative.  Race: 75% {73%} White; 18% {17%} Black; 7% {10%} Other.  Results from the poll conducted September 17-19, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 13-16, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 16-19, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 5-8, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 26-29, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 11-13, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 21-24, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 5-8, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 24-27, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 10-13, 2010 are in parentheses.