Saturday, October 13, 2012

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Ohio 2012 Presidential Survey

  • Barack Obama 51% (49%) {50%} [50%] (48%) {47%} [50%] (49%) {50%} [46%] (45%) {46%} [46%] (44%)
  • Mitt Romney 46% (45%) {44%} [45%] (45%) {44%} [43%] (42%) {41%} [46%] (43%) {42%} [40%] (42%)
Among Independents
  • Mitt Romney 50% (42%) {51%} [46%] (39%) {42%} [40%] (40%) {45%} [46%] (43%) {44%} [39%] (40%)
  • Barack Obama 45% (41%) {34%} [44%] (49%) {42%} [43%] (45%) {39%} [35%] (38%) {34%} [37%] (34%)
Among Moderates
  • Barack Obama 57% (60%) [64%] (66%) {56%} [56%] (62%) {64%} [54%] (57%) {52%} [61%] (59%)
  • Mitt Romney 36% (32%) [28%] (27%) {29%} [31%] (33%) {23%} [35%] (28%) {30%} [21%] (24%)
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 50% (43%) {50%} [48%] (48%) {48%} [50%] (49%) {47%} [54%] (44%) {50%} [47%] (47%)
  • Barack Obama 48% (50%) {43%} [46%] (44%) {41%} [44%] (43%) {45%} [38%] (42%) {43%} [38%] (37%)
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 54% (48%) {55%} [53%] (52%) {52%} [55%] (54%) {54%} [53%] (47%) {49%} [52%] (51%)
  • Mitt Romney 42% (46%) {39%} [43%] (43%) {41%} [36%] (36%) {36%} [38%] (43%) {35%} [35%] (37%)
Have you already voted, either at an early voting site or with an absentee ballot?
  • Yes 19%
  • No 81%
Already Voted
  • Barack Obama 76%
  • Mitt Romney 24%
Did Not Vote Yet
  • Mitt Romney 51%
  • Barack Obama 45%
Do you trust Barack Obama or Mitt Romney more on the issue of the economy?
  • Barack Obama 51% (47%)
  • Mitt Romney 46% (47%)
Do you trust Barack Obama or Mitt Romney more on the issue of Libya?
  • Barack Obama 51%
  • Mitt Romney 43%
Who do you think won the Vice Presidential debate: Joe Biden or Paul Ryan?
  • Joe Biden 46%
  • Paul Ryan 37%
Looking back, do you support or oppose the bailout of the auto industry?
  • Support 54%
  • Oppose 37%
Who do you think would be better for the automotive industry in Ohio: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
  • Barack Obama 50%
  • Mitt Romney 43%
Is the candidates’ for President records on the automotive industry very important, somewhat important, or not that important to you?
  • Very important 42% (44%)
  • Somewhat important 37% (29%)
  • Not that important 19% (24%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Mitt Romney 45% (45%) [44%] (41%) {35%} [37%] (28%) {28%} [36%] (30%) {32%} [33%] (36%) / 51% (49%) [49%] (52%) {54%} [53%] (56%) {48%} [48%] (49%) {43%} [43%] (39%) {-6%
Among Independents
  • Mitt Romney 47% (41%) [42%] (34%) {28%} [33%] (30%) {32%} [42%] (32%) {35%} [34%] (38%) / 47% (45%) [47%] (57%) {54%} [59%] (53%) {40%} [42%] (44%) {38%} [38%] (36%) {0%}
Among Moderates
  • Mitt Romney 34% (33%) [28%] (24%) {19%} [26%] (26%) {26%} [37%] (22%) {26%} [26%] (27%) / 61% (61%) [62%] (68%) {68%} [62%] (59%) {46%} [40%] (54%) {48%} [50%] (47%) {-27%
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 49% (46%) [47%] (45%) {39%} [43%] (30%) {30%} [38%] (31%) {42%} [35%] (39%) / 48% (51%) [47%] (49%) {50%} [49%] (58%) {53%} [51%] (53%) {41%} [44%] (40%) {+1%}
Among Women
  • Mitt Romney 42% (44%) [41%] (37%) {31%} [31%] (25%) {26%} [33%] (29%) {24%} [32%] (33%) / 54% (48%) [52%] (55%) {57%} [56%] (53%) {44%} [45%] (46%) {44%} [42%] (38%) {-12%
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Paul Ryan?
  • Favorable 45% (34%)
  • Unfavorable 48% (33%)
Among Independents
  • Favorable 43% (32%)
  • Unfavorable 47% (43%)
Among Moderates
  • Favorable 32% (19%)
  • Unfavorable 57% (44%)
Among Men
  • Favorable 47% (41%)
  • Unfavorable 47% (37%)
Among Women
  • Favorable 42% (29%)
  • Unfavorable 49% (30%)
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Joe Biden?
  • Favorable 47% [46%]
  • Unfavorable 46% [45%]
Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?
  • Approve 50% (48%) [48%] (46%) {44%} [48%] (48%) {41%} [43%] (44%) {46%} [47%] (42%)
  • Disapprove 48% (49%) [48%] (51%) {51%} [48%] (48%) {49%} [52%] (52%) {49%} [46%] (49%)
Among Independents
  • Approve 45% (41%) [40%] (46%) {37%} [41%] (40%) {30%} [39%] (34%) {37%} [39%] (40%)
  • Disapprove 50% (52%) [54%] (49%) {53%} [53%] (53%) {56%} [57%] (59%) {55%} [49%] (54%)
Are you very excited, somewhat excited, or not at all excited about voting in the 2012 elections?
  • Very excited 60% (58%)
  • Somewhat excited 26% (24%)
  • Not at all excited 15% (18%)
Among Democrats
  • Very excited 62% (66%)
  • Somewhat excited 25% (20%)
  • Not at all excited 14% (14%)
Among Republicans
  • Very excited 62% (62%)
  • Somewhat excited 27% (26%)
  • Not at all excited 11% (13%)
Among Independents
  • Very excited 54% (36%)
  • Somewhat excited 24% (28%)
  • Not at all excited 23% (36%)
Survey of 880 likely Ohio voters was conducted October 12-13, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points. Party ID: 40% (41%) {41%} [41%] (40%) {39%} [41%] (42%) {41%} [47%] (44%) {45%} [43%] (44%) Democrat; 36% (36%) {33%} [37%] (37%) {37%} [39%] (36%) {35%} [37%] (34%) {35%} [35%] (39%) Republican; 24% (23%) {26%} [22%] (24%) {24%} [20%] (21%) {24%} [16%] (22%) {20%} [21%] (18%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 29% (33%) [29%] (30%) {31%} [31%] (30%) {31%} [30%] (31%) {33%} [29%] Moderate; 26% (24%) [25%] (25%) {27%} [22%] (21%) {25%} [19%] (24%) {25%} [28%] Somewhat conservative; 16% (17%) [17%] (18%) {15%} [19%] (21%) {18%} [19%] (17%) {13%} [15%] Very conservative; 16% (16%) [17%] (18%) {17%} [18%] (18%) {20%} [21%] (19%) {16%} [19%] Somewhat liberal; 13% (11%) [11%] (10%) {9%} [9%] (10%) {7%} [10%] (8%) {13%} [7%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted September 27-30, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 14-18, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 7-9, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 9-12, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 21-24, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 3-6, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 28-29, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 4-6, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 13-16, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 11-14, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 19-22, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 10-13, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 10-12, 2010 are in parentheses.

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