Poll Watch: Pew Research Survey on Roe v. Wade

Pew Research Poll on Roe v. Wade

In 1973 the Roe versus Wade decision established a woman’s constitutional right to an abortion, at least in the first three months of pregnancy. Would you like to see the Supreme Court completely overturn its Roe versus Wade decision, or not?

• Yes, overturn Roe v. Wade 29%
• No, do not overturn Roe v. Wade 63%

Among Democrats

• Yes, overturn Roe v. Wade 20%
• No, do not overturn Roe v. Wade 74%

Among Republicans

• Yes, overturn Roe v. Wade 46%
• No, do not overturn Roe v. Wade 48%

Among Independents

• Yes, overturn Roe v. Wade 28%
• No, do not overturn Roe v. Wade 64%

College Graduates

• Yes, overturn Roe v. Wade 22%
• No, do not overturn Roe v. Wade 73%

High School Education or Less

• Yes, overturn Roe v. Wade 36%
• No, do not overturn Roe v. Wade 53%

Survey of 1,502 adults was conducted January 9-13, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points. 

Inside the numbers: 

There is no gender gap in opinions about Roe v. Wade: Nearly identical percentages of women (64%) and men (63%) oppose reversing the decision.

White evangelical Protestants are the only major religious group in which a majority (54%) favors completely overturning the Roe v. Wade decision. Large percentages of white mainline Protestants (76%), Black Protestants (65%) and white Catholics (63%) say the ruling should not be overturned. Fully 82% of the religiously unaffiliated oppose overturning Roe v. Wade.

Half of Americans who attend religious services at least weekly favor completely overturning the Roe v. Wade decision, compared with just 17% of those who attend less often.

Poll Watch: Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies Maryland 2012 Presidential Poll

Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies Maryland 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 55.0%
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 35.9%
• Someone else 0.7%
• Undecided 8.4%

Among Men

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 46.9%
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 43.8%
• Someone else 1.3%
• Undecided 8.0%

Among Women

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 62.3%
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 28.8%
• Someone else 0.2%
• Undecided 8.7%

Among Whites

• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 46.1%
• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 43.9%
• Someone else 0.8%
• Undecided 9.2%

Among Blacks

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 87.9%
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 7.0%
• Someone else 0.5%
• Undecided 4.5%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Barack Obama 54.0% / 34.2% {+19.8%}
• Joe Biden 46.9% / 33.6% {+13.3%}
• Paul Ryan 35.9% / 37.8% {-1.9%}
• Mitt Romney 35.1% / 49.9% {-14.8%}

Question Four is a referendum that establishes that specified individuals, including undocumented immigrants, who have filed state taxes and have graduated from a Maryland high school, are eligible to pay in-state tuition rates at public colleges; and extends the time in which honorably discharged veterans may qualify for in-state tuition rates. If the election were held today, would you vote for this referendum or against this referendum?

• For 57.8%
• Against 34.3%
• Undecided 7.9%

Among Men

• For 47.9%
• Against 42.5%
• Undecided 9.6%

Among Women

• For 66.7%
• Against 26.9%
• Undecided 6.3%

Among Whites

• For 53.6%
• Against 38.7%
• Undecided 7.7%

Among Blacks

• For 70.4%
• Against 21.1%
• Undecided 8.5%

Question Six is a referendum that allows gay and lesbian couples to obtain a civil marriage license; protects clergy from having to perform any particular marriage ceremony in violation of their religious beliefs; and affirms that each religious faith has exclusive control over its own theological doctrine regarding who may marry within that faith. If the election were held today, would you vote for this referendum or against this referendum?

• For 50.9%
• Against 42.8%
• Undecided 6.3%

Among Men

• For 44.0%
  
• Against 47.7%
• Undecided 8.3%

Among Women

• For 57.1%
• Against 38.4%
• Undecided 4.4%

Among Whites

• For 53.1%
• Against 39.5%
• Undecided 7.4%

Among Blacks

• For 44.2%
  
• Against 52.3%
• Undecided 3.5%

Question Seven is a referendum that expands commercial gaming in the State of Maryland for the primary purpose of raising revenue for education to authorize video lottery operation licensees to operate “table games” as defined by law; to increase from 15,000 to 16,500 the maximum number of video lottery terminals; and to increase from 5 to 6 the maximum number of video lottery operation licenses that may be awarded in the State and allow a video lottery facility to operate in Prince George’s County. If the election were held today, would you vote for this referendum or against this referendum?

• For 44.6%
  
• Against 46.1%
• Undecided 9.2%

Among Whites

• For 49.1%
• Against 40.2%
• Undecided 10.8%

Among Blacks

• For 31.2%
  
• Against 64.3%
• Undecided 4.5%

Survey of 813 likely voters was conducted September 17-23, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Party ID: 56.3% Democrat; 30.1% Republican; 13.5% Independent.

Poll Watch: Mercyhurst University Pennsylvania 2012 Presidential Survey

Mercyhurst University Pennsylvania 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 48%
• Mitt Romney 40%
• Someone else 5%
• Unsure 6%

(Among Obama Voters) Would you say you are voting for Barack Obama because you strongly
support him, support him with reservations, or because you oppose Mitt Romney?

• Strongly Support 63%
• Support with Reservations 19%
• Oppose Mitt Romney 17%

(Among Romney Voters) Would you say you are voting for Mitt Romney because you strongly support him, support him with reservations, or because you oppose Barack Obama?

• Strongly Support Romney 43%
• Support with Reservations 18%
• Oppose Barack Obama 39%

Do you believe Mormons are Christians? 

• Yes 60%
• No 22%
• Unsure/Don't Know 16%

Do you think Mormons believe women are inferior to men?

• Yes 30%
• No 43%
• Unsure/Don't Know 25%

Do you believe the Mormon church allows men to have more than one wife?

• Yes 33%
• No 49%
• Unsure/Don't Know 17%

Do Mormons permit interracial marriage? 

• Yes 15%
• No 24%
• Unsure/Don't Know 59%

Survey of 522 likely voters was conducted September 12-20, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.29 percentage points.  Party ID: 52% Democrat; 42% Republican; 4% Independent. Ideology: 30% Conservative; 29% Moderate; 19% Liberal.

Poll Watch: Philadelphia Inquirer New Jersey 2012 Presidential Survey

Philadelphia Inquirer New Jersey 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 51%
• Mitt Romney 37%
• Undecided 12%

Among Men

• Barack Obama 50%
• Mitt Romney 41%
• Undecided 9%

Among Women

• Barack Obama 52%
• Mitt Romney 34%
• Undecided 14%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Barack Obama 56% / 40% {+16%}
• Mitt Romney 45% / 47% {-2%}

Among Men

• Barack Obama 54% / 43% {+11%}
• Mitt Romney 49% / 46% {+3%}

Among Women

• Barack Obama 58% / 38% {+20%}
• Mitt Romney 41% / 48% {-7%}

What is Barack Obama's religion -- is he Protestant, Catholic, Muslim, Mormon, or something else?

• Protestant 34%
• Muslim 13%
• Catholic 6%
• None/Atheist 2%
• Other 17%
• Don't know/Refused 28%

What is Mitt Romney's religion -- is he Protestant, Catholic, Muslim, Mormon, or something else?

• Mormon 69%
• Protestant 3%
• Catholic 3%
• None/Atheist 1%
• Other 6%
• Don't know/Refused 18%

Survey of 600 likely voters was conducted September 9-12, 2012 by Global Strategy Group (D) and National Research (R). The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.

Inside the numbers

Support for the president is even stronger in the seven South Jersey counties, with Obama leading Romney, the former Massachusetts governor, 56 to 34 percent compared with 51-37 percent statewide. Obama has a double-digit lead among unaffiliated voters, and he enjoyed a bounce in support from those who watched the Democratic convention on TV earlier this month.

On the other hand, 32 percent of those who watched the Republican convention said they were less likely to vote for Romney, with 26 percent more likely to support him.

Poll Watch: Philadelphia Inquirer Pennsylvania 2012 Presidential Survey

Philadelphia Inquirer Pennsylvania 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 50% (51%)
• Mitt Romney 39% (42%)
• Undecided 11% (7%)

Among Men

• Barack Obama 46% (47%)
• Mitt Romney 40% (46%)
• Undecided 14% (7%)

Among Women

• Barack Obama 52% (55%)
• Mitt Romney 39% (39%)
• Undecided 9% (6%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Barack Obama 56% (53%) / 40% (47%) {+16%}
• Mitt Romney 45% (43%) / 49% (50%) {-4%}

Among Men

• Barack Obama 52% / 45% {+7%}
• Mitt Romney 48% / 46% {+2%}

Among Women

• Barack Obama 60% / 36% {+24%}
• Mitt Romney 44% / 51% {-7%}

What is Barack Obama's religion -- is he Protestant, Catholic, Muslim, Mormon, or something else?

• Protestant 29%
• Muslim 12%
• Catholic 2%
• None/Atheist 3%
• Other 17%
• Don't know/Refused 32%

What is Mitt Romney's religion -- is he Protestant, Catholic, Muslim, Mormon, or something else?

• Mormon 68%
• Protestant 4%
• Catholic 2%
• None/Atheist 1%
• Other 5%
• Don't know/Refused 21%

Survey of 600 likely voters was conducted September 9-12, 2012 by Global Strategy Group (D) and National Research (R). The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted August 21-23, 2012 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers

The president's current standing is largely built on his overwhelming backing in the Philadelphia television market, home to more than 40 percent of the state's voters. That offsets support for Romney in the more conservative Pittsburgh market and some other areas.

Statewide, Obama was ahead among all age groups, among both men and women, among those with college education and those without.

He was marginally ahead among white voters, 46-43, and overwhelmingly ahead among black voters, 93-3.

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Poll Watch: Capitol Correspondent/Gravis Marketing Virginia 2012 Presidential Survey

Capitol Correspondent/Gravis Marketing Virginia 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 44.23%
• Mitt Romney 39.61%
• Other/Not sure 16.16%

Do you approve of Barack Obama's general performance as president?

• Approve 44.91%
• Disapprove 46.36%

Do you think Mitt Romney should release more tax returns?

• Yes 50.48%
• No 29.06%
• Unsure 20.46%

Do you believe Mitt Romney is a Christian?

• Yes 46.71%
• No 18.99%
• Not sure 34.30%

Do you believe Barack Obama is a Christian?

• Yes 46.59%
• No 31.58%
• Not sure 21.83%

Survey of 563 likely voters was conducted July 30-31, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.13 percentage points.  Party ID: 30.14% Democrat; 25.66% Republican; 44.2% Independent.

Poll Watch: USA Today/Gallup Survey on Evolution and Creationism

USA Today/Gallup Poll on Evolution and Creationism

Which of the following statements comes closest to your views on the origin and development of human beings?

1) Human beings have developed over millions of years from less advanced forms of life, but God guided this process; 2) Human beings have developed over millions of years from less advanced forms of life, but God had no part in this process; 3) God created human beings pretty much in their present form at one time within the last 10,000 years or so.

• Humans evolved, God had no part in process 15%
• Humans evolved, God guided process 32%
• God created humans in present form within last 10,000 years 46%

Democrats

• Humans evolved, God had no part in process 19%
• Humans evolved, God guided process 32%
• God created humans in present form within last 10,000 years 41%

Republicans

• Humans evolved, God had no part in process 5%
• Humans evolved, God guided process 31%
• God created humans in present form within last 10,000 years 58%

Independents

• Humans evolved, God had no part in process 19%
• Humans evolved, God guided process 34%
• God created humans in present form within last 10,000 years 39%

Attend Church Weekly

• Humans evolved, God had no part in process 3%
• Humans evolved, God guided process 25%
• God created humans in present form within last 10,000 years 67%

Attend Church Almost Every Week/Monthly

• Humans evolved, God had no part in process 10%
• Humans evolved, God guided process 31%
• God created humans in present form within last 10,000 years 55%

Attend Church Seldom/Never

• Humans evolved, God had no part in process 26%
• Humans evolved, God guided process 38%
• God created humans in present form within last 10,000 years 25%

Postgraduate

• Humans evolved, God had no part in process 29%
• Humans evolved, God guided process 42%
• God created humans in present form within last 10,000 years 25%

College graduate

• Humans evolved, God had no part in process 14%
• Humans evolved, God guided process 35%
• God created humans in present form within last 10,000 years 46%

Some college

• Humans evolved, God had no part in process 13%
• Humans evolved, God guided process 36%
• God created humans in present form within last 10,000 years 47%

High school or less

• Humans evolved, God had no part in process 11%
• Humans evolved, God guided process 25%
• God created humans in present form within last 10,000 years 52%

Survey of 1,012 adults was conducted May 10-13, 2012. The margin of error is ±4 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac New York Survey on Social Issues

Quinnipiac New York Survey on Social Issues

Do you think abortion should be legal in all cases, legal in most cases, illegal in most cases or illegal in all cases?

• Legal in all cases 30%
• Legal in most cases 37%
• Illegal in most cases 19%
• Illegal in all cases 10%

Democrats

• Legal in all cases 37%
  
• Legal in most cases 41%
  
• Illegal in most cases 10%
  
• Illegal in all cases 8%

Republicans

• Legal in all cases 17%
  
• Legal in most cases 27%
  
• Illegal in most cases 39%
• Illegal in all cases 13%

Independents

• Legal in all cases 26%
  
• Legal in most cases 40%
  
• Illegal in most cases 19%
  
• Illegal in all cases 9%

Age 18-34

• Legal in all cases 35%
  
• Legal in most cases 39%
  
• Illegal in most cases 19%
  
• Illegal in all cases 6%

Age 35-54

• Legal in all cases 34%
  
• Legal in most cases 34%
  
• Illegal in most cases 18%
  
• Illegal in all cases 9%

Age 55+

• Legal in all cases 23%
  
• Legal in most cases 39%
  
• Illegal in most cases 19%
  
• Illegal in all cases 13%

College Degree

• Legal in all cases 36%
  
• Legal in most cases 39%
  
• Illegal in most cases 15%
  
• Illegal in all cases 7%

No College Degree

• Legal in all cases 26%
  
• Legal in most cases 36%
  
• Illegal in most cases 21%
  
• Illegal in all cases 11%

Do you think that health insurance plans should cover birth control as preventive care for women or not?

• Yes 77%
• No 19%

Do you think the federal government should require private employers to offer free birth control coverage as part of their health insurance benefit plans or not?

• Yes 58%
• No 39%

Do you think the federal government should require religiously affiliated employers to offer free birth control coverage as part of their health insurance benefit plans or not?

• Yes 45%
• No 50%

Men

• Yes 38%
• No 58%

Women

• Yes 51%
• No 42%

Democrats

• Yes 63%
• No 30%

Republicans

• Yes 24%
• No 73%

Independents

• Yes 38%
• No 58%

Age 18-34

• Yes 56%
• No 40%

Age 35-54

• Yes 45%
• No 52%

Age 55+

• Yes 41%
• No 53%

College Degree

• Yes 50%
• No 46%

No College Degree

• Yes 42%
• No 52%

As you may know, Catholic dioceses, schools, and social service agencies have filed lawsuits challenging the Obama administration's rule that their employees receive coverage for contraception in their health insurance policies. Do you approve or disapprove of these lawsuits?

• Approve 38%
• Disapprove 55%

Do you think Catholic Church leaders are too involved in politics, not involved enough in politics, or is their involvement in politics about right?

• Too involved 43%
• Not involved enough 11%
• About right 32%

Do you think it is wrong or not wrong to use artificial birth control methods, also known as contraceptives?

• Yes, wrong 10%
• No, not wrong 83%

In general, do you support or oppose same-sex marriage?

• Support 54%
• Oppose 37%

Democrats

• Support 69%
• Oppose 24%

Republicans

• Support 32%
• Oppose 60%

Independents

• Support 52%
• Oppose 37%

Age 18-34

• Support 68%
• Oppose 24%

Age 35-54

• Support 57%
• Oppose 36%

Age 55+

• Support 46%
• Oppose 44%

College Degree

• Support 68%
• Oppose 24%

No College Degree

• Support 46%
• Oppose 45%

Do you think same-sex couples should be allowed legally to marry, should be allowed legally to form civil unions but not marry, or should not be allowed to obtain legal recognition of their relationships?

• Marry 51%
• Civil unions 32%
• No recognition 12%

Democrats

• Marry 66%
• Civil unions 21%
• No recognition 8%

Republicans

• Marry 29%
• Civil unions 50%
• No recognition 16%

Independents

• Marry 49%
• Civil unions 31%
• No recognition 13%

Survey of 1,504 registered voters was conducted May 22-28, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 2.5 percentage points.  Party ID: 42% Democrat; 22% Republican; 29% Independent.

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Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Survey on Muslims

Rasmussen (R) Survey on Muslims

Do most Muslims around the world view the United States as an enemy?

• Yes 39%
• No 35%
• Not sure 27%

Note: Fifty-nine percent (59%) of Republicans think most Muslims around the world view the United States as an enemy, but just 20% of Democrats and 36% of voters not affiliated with either of the major parties agree.

Do most Americans view Muslims worldwide as an enemy?

• Yes 35%
• No 43%
• Not sure 21%

Note: GOP voters are evenly divided over whether most Americans view Muslims worldwide as an enemy. Pluralities of Democrats (47%) and unaffiliated voters (42%) don’t think that’s the case.

Do most Muslims around the world view Christians as an enemy?

• Yes 41%
• No 35%
• Not sure 24%

Do most Muslims around the world believe in freedom of religion?

• Yes 19%
• No 51%
• Not sure 29%

Do most Muslims around the world believe in the separation of Church and State?

• Yes 10%
• No 51%
• Not sure 39%

National survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted May 4-5, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.

Inside the numbers:

Voters under 40 see Americans as more hostile toward Muslims than they are toward us. Older voters have the opposite perception, that Muslims are more likely to be hostile to America.

Still, just 17% of all voters think most Muslims in America are treated unfairly because of their religion and ethnicity. But 57% don’t think American Muslims are speaking out enough against potential terrorist attacks in the United States.

Forty-six percent (46%) of those with an immediate family member currently in the military believe that most Muslims view the United States as an enemy, compared to 37% of those without a family member in uniform. There’s little or no difference between the two over American attitudes toward Muslims.

Sixty-two percent (62%) of Americans agree with that “maintaining clear boundaries between religion and government only serves to strengthen both.”

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Poll Watch: Pew Research Survey on Religion and Politics

Pew Research Poll on Religion & Politics

In your opinion, should churches and other houses of worship express their views on day-to-day social and political questions – or should they keep out of political matters?

• Should express views 40%
• Should keep out 54%

Do you think there has been too much, too little or the right amount of expressions of religious faith and prayer by political leaders?

• Too much 38%
• Too little 30%
• Right amount 25%

As I name some groups, please tell me whether you feel each one is generally friendly toward religion, neutral toward religion, or unfriendly toward religion.

The Democratic Party

• Friendly 35%
• Neutral 36%
• Unfriendly 21%

The Republican Party

• Friendly 54%
• Neutral 24%
• Unfriendly 13%

 



The Obama administration

• Friendly 39%
• Neutral 32%
• Unfriendly 23%

University professors

• Friendly 14%
• Neutral 37%
• Unfriendly 32%

News reporters and the news media

• Friendly 19%
• Neutral 38%
• Unfriendly 35%

Please tell me how much you agree or disagree with each of the following statements. Do you completely agree, mostly agree, mostly disagree, or completely disagree?

Religious conservatives have too much control over the Republican Party

• Completely agree 21%
• Mostly agree 30%
• Mostly disagree 27%
• Completely disagree 13%

Liberals who are not religious have too much control over the Democratic Party

• Completely agree 12%
• Mostly agree 28%
• Mostly disagree 30%
• Completely disagree 19%

Survey of 1,503 adults was conducted March 7-11, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA San Diego Survey on Birth Control

SurveyUSA San Diego Survey on Birth Control

Should health insurance plans provided by private employers be required to cover the cost of birth control for their female employees?

• Yes 59%
• No 34%

Among Democrats

• Yes 76%
• No 17%

Among Republicans

• Yes 42%
• No 47%

Among Independents

• Yes 58%
• No 38%

Among Men

• Yes 54%
• No 38%

Among Women

• Yes 64%
• No 29%

What about health insurance plans provided by employers who are associated with religious institutions, like church-affiliated hospitals and universities? Should they be required to cover the cost of birth control for their female employees?

• Yes 53%
• No 41%

Among Democrats

• Yes 66%
• No 25%

Among Republicans

• Yes 44%
• No 51%

Among Independents

• Yes 47%
• No 50%

Among Liberals

• Yes 68%
• No 28%

Among Moderates

• Yes 58%
• No 36%

Among Conservatives

• Yes 37%
• No 57%

Among Men

• Yes 47%
• No 48%

Among Women

• Yes 59%
• No 34%

Survey of 500 adults in the San Diego, California area was conducted March 23, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Party ID: 35% Democrat; 32% Republican; 29% Independent. Ideology: 36% Moderate; 30% Conservative; 24% Liberal.

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Rick Santorum on Meet the Press

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