Saturday, September 15, 2012

Poll Watch: Philadelphia Inquirer Pennsylvania 2012 Presidential Survey

Philadelphia Inquirer Pennsylvania 2012 Presidential Poll
  • Barack Obama 50% (51%)
  • Mitt Romney 39% (42%)
  • Undecided 11% (7%)
Among Men
  • Barack Obama 46% (47%)
  • Mitt Romney 40% (46%)
  • Undecided 14% (7%)
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 52% (55%)
  • Mitt Romney 39% (39%)
  • Undecided 9% (6%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Barack Obama 56% (53%) / 40% (47%) {+16%}
  • Mitt Romney 45% (43%) / 49% (50%) {-4%}
Among Men
  • Barack Obama 52% / 45% {+7%}
  • Mitt Romney 48% / 46% {+2%}
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 60% / 36% {+24%}
  • Mitt Romney 44% / 51% {-7%}
What is Barack Obama's religion -- is he Protestant, Catholic, Muslim, Mormon, or something else?
  • Protestant 29%
  • Muslim 12%
  • Catholic 2%
  • None/Atheist 3%
  • Other 17%
  • Don't know/Refused 32%
What is Mitt Romney's religion -- is he Protestant, Catholic, Muslim, Mormon, or something else?
  • Mormon 68%
  • Protestant 4%
  • Catholic 2%
  • None/Atheist 1%
  • Other 5%
  • Don't know/Refused 21%
Survey of 600 likely voters was conducted September 9-12, 2012 by Global Strategy Group (D) and National Research (R). The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted August 21-23, 2012 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers
The president's current standing is largely built on his overwhelming backing in the Philadelphia television market, home to more than 40 percent of the state's voters. That offsets support for Romney in the more conservative Pittsburgh market and some other areas.

Statewide, Obama was ahead among all age groups, among both men and women, among those with college education and those without.

He was marginally ahead among white voters, 46-43, and overwhelmingly ahead among black voters, 93-3.

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