Monday, September 24, 2012

Poll Watch: POLITICO/George Washington University 2012 Battleground Poll

POLITICO/GWU 2012 Battleground Poll
  • Barack Obama 50% [48%] (47%) {53%} [49%]
  • Mitt Romney 47% [47%] (48%) {43%} [43%] 
(Among Obama Voters) Would you say that your vote for Barack Obama is more of a vote for Barack Obama, or a vote against Mitt Romney?
  • For Obama 75% [77%]
  • Against Romney 19% [18%]
(Among Romney Voters) Would you say that your vote for Mitt Romney is more of a vote for Mitt Romney, or a vote against Barack Obama?
  • For Romney 47% [39%]
  • Against Obama 42% [52%]
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Barack Obama 53% [50%] / 45% [47%] {+8%}
  • Paul Ryan 41% / 36% {+5%}
  • Joe Biden 43% / 45% {-2%}
  • Mitt Romney 46% [46%] / 49% [46%] {-3%}
How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President? Do you approve or disapprove of the job he is doing?
  • Approve 50% [49%]
  • Disapprove 47% [50%]
I am going to read you several issues. For each one, please tell me if you approve or disapprove of the job that President Obama is doing on this issue.

The Economy
  • Approve 48% [44%]
  • Disapprove 51% [54%]
Foreign Policy
  • Approve 50% [52%]
  • Disapprove 45% [43%]
The Federal Budget and Spending 
  • Approve 40% [37%]
  • Disapprove 57% [61%]
Taxes
  • Approve 51% [46%]
  • Disapprove 46% [50%]
Medicare
  • Approve 50%
  • Disapprove 44%
Standing Up for the Middle Class
  • Approve 58%
  • Disapprove 39%
I would like to read you a list of issues that some people have said are important to them. Please tell me, for each one, who will better handle this issue -- Mitt Romney or Barack Obama.

Jobs
  • Barack Obama 48% [44%]
  • Mitt Romney 48% [50%] 
The Economy
  • Barack Obama 49% [44%] 
  • Mitt Romney 48% [49%]
Standing Up for the Middle Class
  • Barack Obama 57% [54%] 
  • Mitt Romney 38% [40%]
Taxes
  • Barack Obama 50% [47%
  • Mitt Romney 46% [47%]
Medicare
  • Barack Obama 52% 
  • Mitt Romney 43%
Foreign Policy
  • Barack Obama 52% [54%] 
  • Mitt Romney 43% [39%]
The Federal Budget and Spending
  • Mitt Romney 50%
  • Barack Obama 45%
Regardless of who you intend to vote for – which candidate for President do you think is going to win the election?
  • Barack Obama 60% [56%
  • Mitt Romney 30% [33%]
Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted September 16-20, 2012 by The Tarrance Group (R) and Lake Research Partners (D). The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points. Party ID: 43% [44%] Democrat; 40% [40%] Republican; 15% [15%] Independent.  Ideology: 21% [24%] Very conservative; 36% [33%] Somewhat conservative; 26% [26%] Somewhat liberal; 12% [11%] Very liberal.  Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted August 5-9, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 29 - May 3, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted February 19-22, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 6-9, 2011 are in square brackets.

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