Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Massachusetts 2012 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Massachusetts 2012 Senate Poll

• Scott Brown (R) 48% {45%} [45%] (49%)
• Elizabeth Warren (D) 48% {45%} [46%] (44%)
• Some other candidate 1% {2%} [1%] (2%)
• Undecided 3% {8%} [8%] (5%)

Among Independents

• Scott Brown (R) 66% {54%}
  
• Elizabeth Warren (D) 26% {37%}

Among Men

• Scott Brown (R) 55% {52%}
  
• Elizabeth Warren (D) 39% {39%}

Among Women

• Elizabeth Warren (D) 56% {51%}
• Scott Brown (R) 41% {38%}

I’m going to read you a short list of people in the news. For each, please let me know if you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression. 

Scott Brown 

• Very favorable 32%
• Somewhat favorable 24%
• Somewhat unfavorable 25%
• Very unfavorable 18%

Elizabeth Warren

• Very favorable 32%
• Somewhat favorable 19%
• Somewhat unfavorable 14%
• Very unfavorable 33%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Scott Brown 56% / 43% {+13%}
  
• Elizabeth Warren 51% / 47% {+4%}

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted September 24, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted May 7, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 9, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 29, 2012 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Brown picks up 86% support from Massachusetts Republicans and 20% of the vote from Democrats. Warren is favored by 78% of voters in her own party.

Most voters over 40 support the Republican, while younger voters heavily favor the Democrat.

Brown is seen as at least as ethical as most other politicians by 82% of Massachusetts voters. Sixty-eight percent (68%) say the same of Warren who has been criticized for her claims of Native American heritage and for allegedly doing legal work in the state without passing the Massachusetts Bar. Twenty-seven percent (27%) say Warren is less ethical than most politicians are, compared to just eight percent (8%) who feel that way about Brown.

Among Bay State voters not affiliated with either major political party, 92% think Brown is at least as ethical as most of his political peers, while just 52% think that of Warren.