Showing posts with label John Kerry. Show all posts
Showing posts with label John Kerry. Show all posts

Monday, December 17, 2018

Poll Watch: David Binder Research Iowa 2020 Democratic Caucus Survey

David Binder Research Iowa 2020 Democratic Caucus Poll
  • Joe Biden 30% (37%)
  • Bernie Sanders 13% (12%)
  • Beto O'Rourke 11%
  • Amy Klobuchar 10% 
  • Elizabeth Warren 9% (16%)
  • Kamala Harris 7% (10%)
  • Cory Booker 6% (8%)
  • Sherrod Brown 3%
  • Michael Bloomberg 2%
  • John Kerry 2%
  • John Delaney 1% (1%)
  • Eric Garcetti 0% (0%)
  • Undecided 6% (9%)
Survey of 500 registered voters in Iowa who stated they were likely to participate in the Democratic presidential caucuses of 2020 was conducted December 10-11, 2018. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 20-23, 2018 are in parentheses.

Wednesday, December 18, 2013

Poll Watch: PPP (D) 2016 National Presidential Survey

PPP (D) 2016 National Presidential Poll
  • Chris Christie (R) 45% (39%) {42%} [44%] (42%) {41%} [42%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% (44%) {43%} [47%] (46%) {46%} [44%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% (48%) {44%} {49%} [51%]
  • Jeb Bush (R) 43% (39%) {41%} {43%} [37%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% (49%) {47%} [51%] (49%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 43% (37%) {39%} [41%] (43%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 42%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% (50%)
  • Ted Cruz (R) 41% (33%)

  • Chris Christie (R) 46%
  • John Kerry (D) 35%
  • Chris Christie (R) 49% (45%) {45%} [49%] (49%) {44%}
  • Joe Biden (D) 35% (38%) {39%} [40%] (40%) {44%}
  • Chris Christie (R) 49%
  • Elizabeth Warren (D) 33%
  • Chris Christie (R) 51%
  • Howard Dean (D) 29%
Among Independents
  • Chris Christie (R) 49% (39%) {41%} [42%] (40%) {43%} [47%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 26% (35%) {29%} [39%] (37%) {35%} [29%]
  • Jeb Bush (R) 42% (33%) {37%} {43%} [35%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 36% (43%) {32%} {40%} [38%]
  • Rand Paul (R) 47% (34%) {34%} [43%] (42%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 37% (48%) {37%} [45%] (43%) 
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 43%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 39%
  • Ted Cruz (R) 43% (29%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% (48%)

  • Chris Christie (R) 57%
  • John Kerry (D) 19%
  • Chris Christie (R) 59% (51%) {43%} [51%] (50%) {49%}
  • Joe Biden (D) 18% (24%) {25%} [29%] (30%) {32%}
  • Chris Christie (R) 59%
  • Elizabeth Warren (D) 19%
  • Chris Christie (R) 61%
  • Howard Dean (D) 15%
Among Moderates
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (51%) {52%} [60%] (54%) {54%} [49%]
  • Chris Christie (R) 44% (32%) {28%} [27%] (30%) {28%} [29%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 55% (59%) {53%} {63%} [62%]
  • Jeb Bush (R) 35% (28%) {28%} {27%} [24%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 56% (61%) {61%} [67%] (61%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 32% (24%) {22%} [23%] (26%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 58%
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 30%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 60% (63%)
  • Ted Cruz (R) 28% (21%)

  • Chris Christie (R) 46%
  • John Kerry (D) 34%
  • Chris Christie (R) 50% (39%) {35%} [38%] (41%) {31%}
  • Joe Biden (D) 30% (44%) {43%} [48%] (42%) {51%}
  • Chris Christie (R) 49%
  • Elizabeth Warren (D) 31%
  • Chris Christie (R) 53%
  • Howard Dean (D) 25%
Among Men
  • Chris Christie (R) 56% (45%) {46%} [47%] (46%) {46%} [44%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 32% (39%) {36%} [43%] (41%) {38%} [37%]
  • Jeb Bush (R) 50% (45%) {46%} {46%} [39%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% (43%) {38%} {44%} [47%]
  • Rand Paul (R) 52% (43%) {44%} [46%] (48%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% (44%) {41%} [47%] (45%)
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 51%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40%
  • Ted Cruz (R) 50% (37%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% (47%)

  • Chris Christie (R) 55%
  • John Kerry (D) 29%
  • Chris Christie (R) 56% (52%) {47%} [53%] (54%) {49%}
  • Joe Biden (D) 29% (32%) {36%} [37%] (36%) {39%}
  • Chris Christie (R) 57%
  • Elizabeth Warren (D) 27%
  • Chris Christie (R) 57%
  • Howard Dean (D) 25%
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% (49%) {50%} [50%] (51%) {53%} [52%]
  • Chris Christie (R) 36% (34%) {37%} [41%] (37%) {37%} [39%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 56% (52%) {51%} {54%} [54%]
  • Jeb Bush (R) 37% (33%) {36%} {39%} [36%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 55% (55%) {52%} [55%] (54%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 34% (32%) {34%} [37%] (37%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 56%
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 35%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 56% (54%)
  • Ted Cruz (R) 32% (29%)

  • John Kerry (D) 41%
  • Chris Christie (R) 39%
  • Chris Christie (R) 43% (39%) {43%} [45%] (43%) {40%}
  • Joe Biden (D) 40% (44%) {41%} [43%] (44%) {50%}
  • Chris Christie (R) 41%
  • Elizabeth Warren (D) 38%
  • Chris Christie (R) 44%
  • Howard Dean (D) 33%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Chris Christie 43% [42%] (39%) {44%} [51%] (48%) / 31% [28%] (28%) {22%} [23%] (26%) {+12%}
  • Mike Huckabee 38% {42%} [34%] (38%) / 35% {38%} [46%] (39%) {+3%}
  • Hillary Clinton 47% [51%] (50%) {49%} [54%] (57%) / 45% [43%] (42%) {42%} [39%] (36%) {+2%}
  • Elizabeth Warren 23% [24%] (23%) {28%} [30%] (25%) / 27% [24%] (22%) {20%} [22%] (27%) {-4%}
  • Rand Paul 34% [33%] (36%) {35%} [32%] (32%) / 39% [39%] (37%) {39%} [44%] (38%) {-5%
  • John Kerry 36% / 44% {-8%}
  • Jeb Bush 31% [33%] (30%) {35%} [33%] (38%) / 41% [41%] (37%) {33%} [40%] (38%) {-10%
  • Joe Biden 38% [41%] (40%) {48%} [48%] (46%) / 49% [48%] (47%) {44%} [43%] (44%) {-11%}
  • Ted Cruz 26% [15%] / 40% [27%] {-14%
  • Howard Dean 18% / 41% {-23%}
Among Independents
  • Chris Christie 46% [45%] (37%) {41%} [52%] (46%) / 28% [25%] (31%) {26%} [18%] (29%) {+18%}
  • Mike Huckabee 39% {40%} [37%] (41%) / 30% {38%} [42%] (36%) {+9%}
  • Rand Paul 40% [36%] (41%) {46%} [37%] (40%) / 33% [37%] (38%) {38%} [35%] (33%) {+7%}
  • Ted Cruz 29% [17%] / 38% [27%] {-9%}
  • Jeb Bush 26% [31%] (26%) {31%} [29%] (42%) / 38% [36%] (36%) {27%} [32%] (28%) {-12%}
  • Elizabeth Warren 19% [26%] (25%) {28%} [24%] (20%) / 32% [27%] (21%) {24%} [27%] (35%) {-13%}
  • John Kerry 27% / 47% {-20%
  • Hillary Clinton 34% [49%] (42%) {39%} [48%] (52%) / 55% [42%] (47%) {47%} [41%] (42%) {-21%
  • Joe Biden 29% [37%] (33%) {42%} [43%] (31%) / 57% [50%] (49%) {48%} [42%] (56%) {-28%}
  • Howard Dean 15% / 46% {-31%}
Among Moderates
  • Hillary Clinton 58% [68%] (61%) {56%} [69%] (76%) / 33% [24%] (28%) {27%} [22%] (20%) {+25%}
  • Chris Christie 50% [50%] (43%) {43%} [57%] (48%) / 25% [24%] (24%) {22%} [18%] (23%) {+25%}
  • John Kerry 42% / 34% {+8%}
  • Elizabeth Warren 27% [32%] (30%) {37%} [36%] (33%) / 26% [16%] (16%) {14%} [15%] (22%) {+1%}
  • Joe Biden 42% [53%] (48%) {64%} [64%] (60%) / 44% [32%] (31%) {25%} [25%] (29%) {-2%}
  • Jeb Bush 31% [24%] (25%) {20%} [28%] (24%) / 40% [46%] (39%) {40%} [41%] (46%) {-9%}
  • Mike Huckabee 27% {26%} [22%] (27%) / 43% {49%} [53%] (47%) {-16%
  • Howard Dean 18% / 39% {-21%}
  • Rand Paul 25% [22%] (22%) {22%} [20%] (25%) / 49% [49%] (49%) {49%} [56%] (43%) {-24%}
  • Ted Cruz 17% [5%] / 50% [35%] {-33%}
Among Men
  • Mike Huckabee 44% {48%} [35%] (43%) / 34% {37%} [46%] (39%) {+10%}
  • Chris Christie 42% [41%] (39%) {43%} [52%] (52%) / 36% [32%] (31%) {26%} [22%] (28%) {+6%}
  • Rand Paul 40% [38%] (40%) {43%} [33%] (36%) / 37% [39%] (38%) {39%} [43%] (39%) {+3%}
  • Jeb Bush 34% [36%] (32%) {39%} [34%] (43%) / 39% [40%] (38%) {29%} [38%] (35%) {-5%}
  • Ted Cruz 33% [19%] / 43% [36%] {-10%}
  • Elizabeth Warren 21% [28%] (20%) {27%} [27%] (21%) / 33% [28%] (29%) {22%} [20%] (30%) {-12%}
  • John Kerry 34% / 51% {-17%
  • Hillary Clinton 38% [47%] (45%) {43%} [48%] (50%) / 55% [48%] (50%) {49%} [47%] (43%) {-17%
  • Joe Biden 32% [41%] (36%) {44%} [47%] (43%) / 59% [49%] (55%) {50%} [43%] (47%) {-27%}
  • Howard Dean 16% / 50% {-34%}
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton 55% [55%] (55%) {56%} [60%] (64%) / 36% [39%] (34%) {35%} [32%] (29%) {+19%}
  • Chris Christie 45% [43%] (40%) {45%} [49%] (44%) / 26% [25%] (24%) {19%} [23%] (25%) {+19%}
  • Joe Biden 43% [41%] (45%) {52%} [50%] (50%) / 40% [46%] (38%) {38%} [42%] (40%) {+3%}
  • Elizabeth Warren 26% [21%] (26%) {28%} [32%] (30%) / 23% [21%] (13%) {18%} [23%] (23%) {+3%}
  • John Kerry 37% / 37% {0%}
  • Mike Huckabee 33% {36%} [32%] (33%) / 35% {39%} [46%] (38%) {-2%
  • Rand Paul 28% [28%] (32%) {27%} [31%] (28%) / 41% [39%] (37%) {40%} [45%] (36%) {-13%}
  • Howard Dean 19% / 32% {-13%}
  • Jeb Bush 27% [31%] (29%) {31%} [32%] (33%) / 44% [43%] (37%) {36%} [43%] (41%) {-17%}
  • Ted Cruz 20% [12%] / 37% [17%] {-17%}
National survey of 1,316 registered voters was conducted December 12-15, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 2.7 percentage points. Party ID: 40% (38%) {41%} [41%] (38%) {42%} [43%] (44%) Democrat; 34% (34%) {32%} [33%] (34%) {33%} [34%] (32%) Republican; 26% (28%) {26%} [26%] (28%) {25%} [23%] (24%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 30% (35%) {27%} [31%] (31%) {28%} [29%] (32%) Moderate; 24% (26%) {26%} [24%] (23%) {25%} [24%] (24%) Somewhat conservative; 20% (16%) {21%} [17%] (16%) {19%} [17%] (18%) Somewhat liberal; 16% (15%) {17%} [19%] (19%) {18%} [16%] (15%) Very conservative; 9% (8%) {9%} [10%] (11%) {11%} [13%] (11%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted October 29-31, 2013 are in parentheses.   Results from the poll conducted July 19-21, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 6-9, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 27-30, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 3, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 3-6, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 30 - December 2, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

Given the choices of Joe Biden, Cory Booker, Hillary Clinton, Andrew Cuomo, Howard Dean, John Kerry, Martin O’Malley, Brian Schweitzer, and Elizabeth Warren, who would you most like to see as the Democratic candidate for President in 2016?
  • Hillary Clinton 66% [67%] (52%) {63%} [64%] (58%) {57%} [61%] (57%)
  • Joe Biden 10% [12%] (12%) {13%} [18%] (19%) {16%} [12%] (14%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 6% [4%] (6%) {3%} [5%] (8%) {4%} [4%] (6%)
  • Andrew Cuomo 2% [2%] (2%) {4%} [3%] (3%) {4%} [5%] (5%) 
  • Martin O'Malley 2% [2%] (1%) {2%} [1%] (1%) {3%} [2%] (1%) 
  • Cory Booker 2% [1%] (3%) 
  • Howard Dean 2%
  • John Kerry 2%
  • Brian Schweitzer 1% [0%] (2%) {1%} [1%] (0%) {1%} [1%] (1%)
  • Someone else/Not sure 7% [12%] (17%) {10%} [6%] (9%) {10%} [12%] (12%)
If Hillary Clinton was not a candidate for President, who would you support, given the choices of Joe Biden, Cory Booker, Andrew Cuomo, Howard Dean, John Kerry, Martin O’Malley, Brian Schweitzer, and Elizabeth Warren?
  • Joe Biden 35% [27%] (34%) {38%} [49%] (57%) (32%)
  • John Kerry 13%
  • Elizabeth Warren 13% [19%] (13%) {13%} [11%] (13%) (8%)
  • Cory Booker 7% [6%] (4%)
  • Andrew Cuomo 7% [6%] (10%) {10%} [10%] (5%) (18%)
  • Howard Dean 4%
  • Martin O'Malley 4% [3%] (3%) {3%} [1%] (1%) (2%)
  • Brian Schweitzer 1% [1%] (2%) {1%} [2%] (0%) (1%) 
  • Someone else/Not sure 16% [33%] (29%) {26%} [15%] (14%) (32%)
If neither Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Howard Dean, nor John Kerry ran for President in 2016, who would you most like to see as the Democratic nominee?
  • Elizabeth Warren 24% [23%] (20%) {17%} [18%] (21%) {16%} [16%] (9%)
  • Andrew Cuomo 14% [13%] (11%) {25%} [22%] (25%) {19%} [21%] (27%)
  • Cory Booker 13% [14%] (8%)
  • Martin O'Malley 7% [4%] (2%) {5%} [8%] (5%) {7%} [5%] (4%)
  • Brian Schweitzer 2% [1%] (4%) {1%} [1%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (2%) 
  • Someone else/Not sure 40% [39%] (47%) {38%} [36%] (36%) {40%} [45%] (46%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Hillary Clinton 85% {85%} [84%] (81%) {79%} [86%] (86%) / 11% {12%} [11%] (12%) {15%} [10%] (10%) {+74%} 
  • Joe Biden 72% {73%} [73%] (80%) {73%} [80%] (70%) / 15% {16%} [15%] (13%) {22%} [14%] (21%) {+57%} 
  • John Kerry 66% / 17% {+49%}
  • Elizabeth Warren 46% {42%} [43%] (48%) {47%} [45%] (28%) / 15% {13%} [13%] (8%) {13%} [12%] (17%) {+31%}
  • Howard Dean 33% / 25% {+8%}
Survey of 453 Democratic primary voters was conducted December 13-15, 2013.  Political ideology: 35% [38%] (34%) {37%} [39%] (36%) {37%} [32%] (36%) Moderate; 35% [34%] (35%) {31%} [30%] (32%) {24%} [32%] (30%) Somewhat liberal; 18% [15%] (17%) {14%} [17%] (20%) {23%} [20%] (16%) Very liberal; 10% [8%] (9%) {12%} [9%] (9%) {13%} [12%] (13%) Somewhat conservative; 2% [5%] (4%) {6%} [5%] (3%) {2%} [4%] (5%) Very conservative. Results from the poll conducted October 29-31, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 19-21, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 6-9, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 27-30, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 3, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 3-6, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 30 - December 2, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 12-15, 2012 are in parentheses.

Thursday, October 11, 2012

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Massachusetts 2012 Senate Survey

PPP (D) Massachusetts 2012 Senate Poll
  • Elizabeth Warren (D) 50% (48%) {44%} [46%] (46%) {46%} [32%]
  • Scott Brown (R) 44% (46%) {49%} [46%] (41%) {44%} [47%]
Among Independents
  • Scott Brown (R) 57% (56%) {58%} [57%] (48%) {51%} [61%]
  • Elizabeth Warren (D) 35% (35%) {32%} [33%] (36%) {36%} [18%] 
Among Moderates
  • Scott Brown (R) 49% (44%) {50%} [45%] (40%) {46%} [54%
  • Elizabeth Warren (D) 44% (44%) {37%} [42%] (42%) {40%} [20%]
Among Men
  • Scott Brown (R) 52% (55%) {57%} [49%] (44%) {48%} [51%
  • Elizabeth Warren (D) 41% (39%) {36%} [44%] (45%) {47%} [32%]
Among Women
  • Elizabeth Warren (D) 58% (56%) {50%} [49%] (46%) {45%} [31%]
  • Scott Brown (R) 38% (36%) {41%} [42%] (39%) {41%} [43%]
Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Scott Brown’s job performance?
  • Approve 49% (55%) {53%} [51%] (45%) {44%} [48%] (53%)
  • Disapprove 42% (34%) {36%} [38%] (42%) {45%} [36%] (29%)
Among Independents
  • Approve 63% (62%) {61%}
  • Disapprove 29% (25%) {28%}
Among Moderates
  • Approve 52% (60%) {52%}
  • Disapprove 35% (26%) {34%}
Among Men
  • Approve 58% (61%) {55%}
  • Disapprove 35% (31%) {35%}
Among Women
  • Approve 41% (48%) {50%}
  • Disapprove 47% (36%) {38%}
Do you think Scott Brown is too liberal, too conservative, or about right?
  • Too liberal 8% (7%) {7%} [8%] (11%) {9%} [12%] (9%)
  • Too conservative 33% (29%) {30%} [34%] (35%) {38%} [33%] (33%)
  • About right 51% (56%) {54%} [48%] (44%) {45%} [50%] (53%)
Do you think Elizabeth Warren is too liberal, too conservative, or about right?
  • Too liberal 42% (44%) {41%} [42%] (33%)
  • Too conservative 3% (2%) {4%} [2%] (6%)
  • About right 49% (49%) {49%} [47%] (51%)
Do you think the Republican Party in general is too liberal, too conservative, or about right?
  • Too liberal 8% (11%) {9%} [10%] (12%) {7%} [12%] (10%)
  • Too conservative 55% (56%) {56%} [56%] (54%) {56%} [54%] (52%)
  • About right 29% (26%) {27%} [27%] (25%) {29%} [27%] (32%)
Do you think the Democratic Party in general is too liberal, too conservative, or about right?
  • Too liberal 46% (45%) {45%} [47%] (41%)
  • Too conservative 8% (7%) {12%} [11%] (12%)
  • About right 42% (43%) {39%} [38%] (43%)
Do you think Scott Brown has been more an independent voice for Massachusetts or a partisan voice for the national Republican Party?
  • Independent voice for Massachusetts 44% (49%) {49%} [49%] (41%) {47%}
  • Partisan voice for the national Republican Party 45% (40%) {38%} [39%] (41%) {41%}
Do you have a higher opinion of Scott Brown or John Kerry?
  • Scott Brown 45% (46%) [43%] (39%)
  • John Kerry 45% (44%) [47%] (46%)
  • Like both equally (6%) [7%] (9%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Elizabeth Warren 49% (51%) {46%} [47%] (46%) {40%} [21%] / 45% (43%) {43%} [38%] (33%) {22%} [17%] {+4%}
Among Independents
  • Elizabeth Warren 32% (42%) {34%} / 60% (51%) {50%} {-28%}
Among Moderates
  • Elizabeth Warren 42% (52%) {42%} / 48% (39%) {44%} {-6%
Among Men
  • Elizabeth Warren 40% (42%) {40%} / 55% (53%) {49%} {-15%
Among Women
  • Elizabeth Warren 55% (61%) {52%} / 38% (33%) {37%} {+17%}
Survey of 1,051 likely Massachusetts voters was conducted October 9-11, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.0 percentage points. Party ID: 41% (38%) {38%} [39%] (41%) {40%} [46%] (42%) Democrat; 16% (17%) {15%} [13%] (14%) {15%} [15%] (20%) Republican; 43% (45%) {48%} [48%] (45%) {45%} [40%] (38%) Independent/Other. Political views: 35% (35%) {35%} [35%] (36%) {35%} [33%] Moderate; 24% (21%) {23%} [25%] (27%) {23%} [24%] Somewhat liberal; 20% (23%) {22%} [19%] (21%) {21%} [19%] Somewhat conservative; 13% (13%) {13%} [13%] (11%) {15%} [16%] Very liberal; 7% (8%) {7%} [8%] (5%) {6%} [8%] Very conservative.  Gender: 45% (50%) {48%} [51%] (51%) Male; 55% (50%) {52%} [49%] (49%) Female.  Results from the poll conducted September 13-16, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 16-19, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 22-24, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 16-18, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 16-18, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 2-5, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 29-December 1, 2010 are in parentheses.

Compare with recent Massachusetts 2012 Senate Polls:
  • Rasmussen (R): Warren 49%, Brown 47% (500 LV; Oct. 10) 
  • WBUR/MassINC: Brown 48%, Warren 45% (501 LV; Oct. 5-7)
  • WNEU: Waren 50%, Brown 45% (440 LV; Sept. 28-Oct. 4)

Wednesday, September 19, 2012

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Massachusetts 2012 Political Survey

PPP (D) Massachusetts 2012 Political Poll

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Deval Patrick’s job performance?
  • Approve 51% {49%} [49%] (48%)
  • Disapprove 37% {40%} [43%] (37%)
Among Independents
  • Approve 41% {41%}
  • Disapprove 44% {47%}
Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Scott Brown’s job performance?
  • Approve 55% {53%} [51%] (45%)
  • Disapprove 34% {36%} [38%] (42%)
Among Independents
  • Approve 62% {61%}
  • Disapprove 25% {28%}
Do you approve or disapprove of Senator John Kerry’s job performance?
  • Approve 52% {50%} [53%] (50%)
  • Disapprove 35% {38%} [38%] (38%)
Among Independents
  • Approve 43% {41%}
  • Disapprove 41% {42%}
Do you have a higher opinion of Scott Brown or John Kerry?
  • Scott Brown 46% [43%] (39%)
  • John Kerry 44% [47%] (46%)
  • Like both equally 6% [7%] (9%)
Would you like to see John Kerry become Secretary of State if President Obama is reelected, or not?
  • Would like him to 30% 
  • Would not 48%
Question 2 would allow a physician licensed in Massachusetts to prescribe medication, at the request of a terminally ill patient meeting certain conditions, to end that person’s life. If the election was today, would you vote yes or no on Question 2?
  • Yes 58% {58%}
  • No 25% {24%}
  • Undecided 17% {18%}
Among Democrats
  • Yes 61% {61%}
  • No 22% {21%}
  • Undecided 17% {17%}
Among Republicans
  • Yes 47% {44%}
  • No 38% {32%}
  • Undecided 15% {24%}
Among Independents
  • Yes 61% {60%}
  • No 22% {24%}
  • Undecided 17% {17%}
Question 3 would eliminate state criminal and civil penalties for the medical use of marijuana by qualifying patients. If the election was today, would you vote yes or no on Question 3?
  • Yes 60% {58%}
  • No 27% {27%}
  • Undecided 14% {15%}
Among Democrats
  • Yes 67% {67%}
  • No 20% {17%}
  • Undecided 13% {16%}
Among Republicans
  • Yes 45% {46%}
  • No 41% {38%}
  • Undecided 15% {16%}
Among Independents
  • Yes 59% {55%}
  • No 27% {31%}
  • Undecided 14% {14%}
Survey of 876 likely Massachusetts voters was conducted September 13-16, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points. Party ID: 38% {38%} [39%] (41%) Democrat; 17% {15%} [13%] (14%) Republican; 45% {48%} [48%] (45%) Independent/Other. Political views: 35% {35%} [35%] (36%) Moderate; 23% {22%} [19%] (21%) Somewhat conservative; 21% {23%} [25%] (27%) Somewhat liberal; 13% {13%} [13%] (11%) Very liberal; 8% {7%} [8%] (5%) Very conservative. Results from the poll conducted August 16-19, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 22-24, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 16-18, 2012 are in parentheses.

Sunday, September 16, 2012

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Massachusetts 2012 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Massachusetts 2012 Senate Poll
  • Elizabeth Warren (D) 48% {44%} [46%] (46%) {46%} [32%]
  • Scott Brown (R) 46% {49%} [46%] (41%) {44%} [47%]
Among Independents
  • Scott Brown (R) 56% {58%} [57%] (48%) {51%} [61%]
  • Elizabeth Warren (D) 35% {32%} [33%] (36%) {36%} [18%] 
Among Moderates
  • Scott Brown (R) 44% {50%} [45%] (40%) {46%} [54%
  • Elizabeth Warren (D) 44% {37%} [42%] (42%) {40%} [20%]
Among Men
  • Scott Brown (R) 55% {57%} [49%] (44%) {48%} [51%
  • Elizabeth Warren (D) 39% {36%} [44%] (45%) {47%} [32%]
Among Women
  • Elizabeth Warren (D) 56% {50%} [49%] (46%) {45%} [31%]
  • Scott Brown (R) 36% {41%} [42%] (39%) {41%} [43%]
Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Scott Brown’s job performance?
  • Approve 55% {53%} [51%] (45%) {44%} [48%] (53%)
  • Disapprove 34% {36%} [38%] (42%) {45%} [36%] (29%)
Among Independents
  • Approve 62% {61%}
  • Disapprove 25% {28%}
Among Moderates
  • Approve 60% {52%}
  • Disapprove 26% {34%}
Among Men
  • Approve 61% {55%}
  • Disapprove 31% {35%}
Among Women
  • Approve 48% {50%}
  • Disapprove 36% {38%}
Do you think Scott Brown is too liberal, too conservative, or about right?
  • Too liberal 7% {7%} [8%] (11%) {9%} [12%] (9%)
  • Too conservative 29% {30%} [34%] (35%) {38%} [33%] (33%)
  • About right 56% {54%} [48%] (44%) {45%} [50%] (53%)
Do you think Elizabeth Warren is too liberal, too conservative, or about right?
  • Too liberal 44% {41%} [42%] (33%)
  • Too conservative 2% {4%} [2%] (6%)
  • About right 49% {49%} [47%] (51%)
Do you think the Republican Party in general is too liberal, too conservative, or about right?
  • Too liberal 11% {9%} [10%] (12%) {7%} [12%] (10%)
  • Too conservative 56% {56%} [56%] (54%) {56%} [54%] (52%)
  • About right 26% {27%} [27%] (25%) {29%} [27%] (32%)
Do you think the Democratic Party in general is too liberal, too conservative, or about right?
  • Too liberal 45% {45%} [47%] (41%)
  • Too conservative 7% {12%} [11%] (12%)
  • About right 43% {39%} [38%] (43%)
Do you think Scott Brown has been more an independent voice for Massachusetts or a partisan voice for the national Republican Party?
  • Independent voice for Massachusetts 49% {49%} [49%] (41%) {47%}
  • Partisan voice for the national Republican Party 40% {38%} [39%] (41%) {41%}
Do you have a higher opinion of Scott Brown or John Kerry?
  • Scott Brown 46% [43%] (39%)
  • John Kerry 44% [47%] (46%)
  • Like both equally 6% [7%] (9%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Elizabeth Warren 51% {46%} [47%] (46%) {40%} [21%] / 43% {43%} [38%] (33%) {22%} [17%] {+8%}
Among Independents
  • Elizabeth Warren 42% {34%} / 51% {50%} {-9%}
Among Moderates
  • Elizabeth Warren 52% {42%} / 39% {44%} {+13%
Among Men
  • Elizabeth Warren 42% {40%} / 53% {49%} {-11%
    Among Women
    • Elizabeth Warren 61% {52%} / 33% {37%} {+28%}
    Survey of 876 likely Massachusetts voters was conducted September 13-16, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points. Party ID: 38% {38%} [39%] (41%) {40%} [46%] (42%) Democrat; 17% {15%} [13%] (14%) {15%} [15%] (20%) Republican; 45% {48%} [48%] (45%) {45%} [40%] (38%) Independent/Other. Political views: 35% {35%} [35%] (36%) {35%} [33%] Moderate; 23% {22%} [19%] (21%) {21%} [19%] Somewhat conservative; 21% {23%} [25%] (27%) {23%} [24%] Somewhat liberal; 13% {13%} [13%] (11%) {15%} [16%] Very liberal; 8% {7%} [8%] (5%) {6%} [8%] Very conservative.  Results from the poll conducted August 16-19, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 22-24, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 16-18, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 16-18, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 2-5, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 29-December 1, 2010 are in parentheses.

    Wednesday, September 05, 2012

    Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2012 Democratic National Convention Favorability Survey

    Rasmussen (R) 2012 DNC Favorability Poll

    I’m now going to read you a short list of people in the news. For each, please let me know if you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression.

    JOHN KERRY
    • Very favorable 11%
    • Somewhat favorable 24%
    • Somewhat unfavorable 19%
    • Very unfavorable 33%
    Among Democrats
    • Very favorable 20%
    • Somewhat favorable 41%
    • Somewhat unfavorable 17%
    • Very unfavorable 8%
    CAROLINE KENNEDY
    • Very favorable 19%
    • Somewhat favorable 28%
    • Somewhat unfavorable 24%
    • Very unfavorable 10%
    RAHM EMANUEL
    • Very favorable 6%
    • Somewhat favorable 22%
    • Somewhat unfavorable 14%
    • Very unfavorable 30%
    Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
    • Caroline Kennedy 47% / 34% {+13%}
    • Elizabeth Warren 28% / 29% {-1%}
    • Corey Booker 22% / 27% {-5%}
    • Rahm Emanuel 28% / 44% {-16%}
    • John Kerry 35% / 52% {-17%}
    Among Democrats
    • Caroline Kennedy 68% / 10% {+58%}
    • John Kerry 61% / 25% {+36%}
    • Rahm Emanuel 49% / 18% {+31%}
    • Elizabeth Warren 42% / 12% {+30%}
    • Corey Booker 35% / 15% {+20%}
    National survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted September 3-4, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.

    Wednesday, August 22, 2012

    Poll Watch: PPP (D) Massachusetts 2012 Political Survey

    PPP (D) Massachusetts 2012 Political Poll

    Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Deval Patrick’s job performance?
    • Approve 49% [49%] (48%)
    • Disapprove 40% [43%] (37%)
    Among Independents
    • Approve 41%
    • Disapprove 47%
      Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Scott Brown’s job performance?
      • Approve 53% [51%] (45%)
      • Disapprove 36% [38%] (42%)
      Among Independents
      • Approve 61%
      • Disapprove 28%
        Do you approve or disapprove of Senator John Kerry’s job performance?
        • Approve 50% [53%] (50%)
        • Disapprove 38% [38%] (38%)
        Among Independents
        • Approve 41%
        • Disapprove 42%
          Question 2 would allow a physician licensed in Massachusetts to prescribe medication, at the request of a terminally ill patient meeting certain conditions, to end that person’s life. If the election was today, would you vote yes or no on Question 2?
          • Yes 58%
          • No 24%
          • Undecided 18%
          Among Democrats
          • Yes 61%
          • No 21%
          • Undecided 17%
          Among Republicans
          • Yes 44%
          • No 32%
          • Undecided 24%
          Among Independents
          • Yes 60%
          • No 24%
          • Undecided 17%
          Question 3 would eliminate state criminal and civil penalties for the medical use of marijuana by qualifying patients. If the election was today, would you vote yes or no on Question 3?
          • Yes 58%
          • No 27%
          • Undecided 15%
          Among Democrats
          • Yes 67%
          • No 17%
          • Undecided 16%
          Among Republicans
          • Yes 46%
          • No 38%
          • Undecided 16%
          Among Independents
          • Yes 55%
          • No 31%
          • Undecided 14%
          Survey of 1,115 likely Massachusetts voters was conducted August 16-19, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points. Party ID: 38% [39%] (41%) Democrat; 15% [13%] (14%) Republican; 48% [48%] (45%) Independent/Other. Political views: 35% [35%] (36%) Moderate; 23% [25%] (27%) Somewhat liberal; 22% [19%] (21%) Somewhat conservative; 13% [13%] (11%) Very liberal; 7% [8%] (5%) Very conservative. Results from the poll conducted June 22-24, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 16-18, 2012 are in parentheses.

          Friday, June 29, 2012

          Poll Watch: PPP (D) Massachusetts 2012 Political Survey

          PPP (D) Massachusetts 2012 Political Poll

          Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Deval Patrick’s job performance?
          • Approve 49% (48%)
          • Disapprove 43% (37%)
          Do you approve or disapprove of Senator John Kerry’s job performance?
          • Approve 53% (50%)
          • Disapprove 38% (38%)
          Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Scott Brown’s job performance?
          • Approve 51% (45%)
          • Disapprove 38% (42%)
          Do you have a higher opinion of Scott Brown or John Kerry?
          • John Kerry 47% (46%)
          • Scott Brown 43% (39%)
          • Like both equally 7% (9%)
          Would you support or oppose a proposal to legalize medical marijuana in Massachusetts?
          • Support 57% (53%)
          • Oppose 33% (35%)
          Would you support or oppose a proposal to legalize assisted suicide in Massachusetts?
          • Support 45% (43%)
          • Oppose 36% (37%)
          Do you think same-sex marriage should be legal or illegal?
          • Legal 62% (58%)
          • Illegal 30% (31%)
          Which of the following best describes your opinion on gay marriage: gay couples should be allowed to legally marry, or gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not legally marry, or there should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship?
          • Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 58% (55%)
          • Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 30% (31%)
          • There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 11% (12%)
          Has the legalization of gay marriage in Massachusetts had a positive or negative
          impact on your life, or has it not had any impact at all?
          • Positive 20% (19%)
          • Negative 16% (14%)
          • Hasn't made any impact at all 64% (67%)
          Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of the Kennedys?
          • Favorable 49%
          • Unfavorable 32%
          Survey of 902 Massachusetts voters was conducted June 22-24, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points. Party ID: 39% (41%) Democrat; 13% (14%) Republican; 48% (45%) Independent/Other. Political views: 35% (36%) Moderate; 25% (27%) Somewhat liberal; 19% (21%) Somewhat conservative; 13% (11%) Very liberal; 8% (5%) Very conservative. Results from the poll conducted March 16-18, 2012 are in parentheses.

          Wednesday, June 08, 2011

          Poll Watch: PPP (D) Massachusetts ObamaCare/RomneyCare Survey

          PPP (D) Massachusetts ObamaCare/RomneyCare Survey

          Do you support or oppose the health care plan Barack Obama signed into law last year?
          • Support 50%
          • Oppose 40%
          Among Democrats
          • Support 77%
          • Oppose 11%
          Among Republicans
          • Support 7%
          • Oppose 88%
          Among Independents
          • Support 35%
          • Oppose 54%
          Very liberal
          • Support 90%
          • Oppose 6%
          Somewhat liberal
          • Support 80%
          • Oppose 10%
          Moderate
          • Support 40%
          • Oppose 42%
          Somewhat conservative
          • Support 10%
          • Oppose 84%
          Very conservative
          • Support 13%
          • Oppose 86%
          Do you support or oppose the health care plan Mitt Romney signed into law as Governor of Massachusetts?
          • Support 53%
          • Oppose 33%
          Among Democrats
          • Support 67%
          • Oppose 17%
          Among Republicans
          • Support 27%
          • Oppose 57%
          Among Independents
          • Support 45%
          • Oppose 42%
          Very liberal
          • Support 83%
          • Oppose 13%
          Somewhat liberal
          • Support 68%
          • Oppose 18%
          Moderate
          • Support 49%
          • Oppose 31%
          Somewhat conservative
          • Support 29%
          • Oppose 58%
          Very conservative
          • Support 10%
          • Oppose 69%
          Do you think Mitt Romney should apologize for the health care bill he supported while Governor or not?
          • He should apologize 20%
          • He should not 66%
          Among Democrats
          • He should apologize 17%
          • He should not 70%
          Among Republicans
          • He should apologize 32%
          • He should not 50%
          Among Independents
          • He should apologize 19%
          • He should not 68%
          Very liberal
          • He should apologize 17%
          • He should not 80%
          Somewhat liberal
          • He should apologize 16%
          • He should not 72%
          Moderate
          • He should apologize 16%
          • He should not 63%
          Somewhat conservative
          • He should apologize 24%
          • He should not 62%
          Very conservative
          • He should apologize 48%
          • He should not 41%
          Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Deval Patrick’s job performance?
          • Approve 54%
          • Disapprove 36%
          If you could do last fall’s election for Governor over again would you vote for Democrat Deval Patrick, Republican Charlie Baker, or independent Tim Cahill?
          • Deval Patrick 54%
          • Charlie Baker 32%
          • Tim Cahill 9%
          Do you approve or disapprove of Senator John Kerry’s job performance?
          • Approve 55%
          • Disapprove 36%
          Do you think same-sex marriage should be legal or illegal?
          • Legal 59%
          • Illegal 33%
          Survey of 957 Massachusetts voters was conducted June 2-5, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 46% Democrat; 15% Republican; 40% Independent/Other. Political ideology: 33% Moderate; 24% Somewhat liberal; 19% Somewhat conservative; 16% Very liberal; 8% Very conservative.

          Monday, March 14, 2011

          Poll Watch: Western New England College Massachusetts 2012 Senatorial Survey

          Western New England College Massachusetts 2012 Senatorial Survey
          • Scott Brown (R) 51%
          • Mike Capuano (D) 38%
          • Scott Brown (R) 51%
          • Elizabeth Warren (D) 34%
          Although it is early, looking ahead to the election for the United States Senate in 2012, do you feel that Scott Brown deserves to be re-elected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be re-elected?
          • Deserves to be re-elected 52%
          • Does not deserve to be re-elected 28%
          Do you approve or disapprove of the way Scott Brown is handling his job as United States senator?
          • Approve 57%
          • Disapprove 24%
          Do you approve or disapprove of the way John Kerry is handling his job as United States senator?
          • Approve 57%
          • Disapprove 34%
          Do you approve or disapprove of the way Deval Patrick is handling his job as governor?
          • Approve 54%
          • Disapprove 40%
          Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
          • Scott Brown 53% / 27% {+26%}
          • Mike Capuano 30% / 14% {+16%}
          • Elizabeth Warren 17% / 3% {+14%}
          Survey of 472 registered voters was conducted March 6-10, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.

          Friday, October 29, 2010

          Poll Watch: Suffolk University Massachusetts Gubernatorial Survey

          Suffolk University Massachusetts Gubernatorial Survey
          • Deval Patrick (D) 46% {46%} (41%) [42%] 
          • Charlie Baker (R) 39% {39%} (34%) [29%] 
          • Tim Cahill (I) 9% {10%} (14%) [14%]
          • Jill Stein (G) 2%
          Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
          • Scott Brown 54% {54%} / 28% {29%} {+26%}
          • Barack Obama 51% {51%} / 38% {44%} {+13%}
          • John Kerry 45% {49%} / 42% {36%} {+3%}
          • Deval Patrick 47% {46%} / 44% {43%} {+3%}
          • Charlie Baker 36% {33%} / 36% {35%} {0%}
          • Jill Stein 17% / 25% {-8%}
          • Tim Cahill 28% {24%} / 39% {45%} {-11%}
          Do you approve or disapprove of the job Deval Patrick is doing as Governor?
          • Approve 44% {45%}
          • Disapprove 44% {44%}
          Survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted October 25-27, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points.  Party registration breakdown: 37% {37%} Democrat; 12% {12%} Republican; 50% {50%} Independent.  Results from the poll conducted October 10-12, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 16-19, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 20-23, 2010 are in square brackets.  Click here to view crosstabs.

          Thursday, October 21, 2010

          Poll Watch: Fleming and Associates/WPRI Massachusetts 4th Congressional District Survey

          Fleming and Associates/WPRI Massachusetts 4th Congressional District Survey
          • Barney Frank (D) 49%
          • Sean Bielat (R) 37%
          • Not sure 12%
          Job Performance Rating

          Representative Barney Frank
          • Excellent 25%
          • Good 25%
          • Fair 17%
          • Poor 30%
          President Barack Obama
          • Excellent 20%
          • Good 30%
          • Fair 22%
          • Poor 27%
          Senator Scott Brown
          • Excellent 10%
          • Good 37%
          • Fair 29%
          • Poor 13%
          Senator John Kerry
          • Excellent 13%
          • Good 33%
          • Fair 20%
          • Poor 29%
          Survey of 400 likely voters was conducted October 14-17, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 42% Democrat; 16% Republican; 40% Independent.