Thursday, October 11, 2012

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Massachusetts 2012 Senate Survey

PPP (D) Massachusetts 2012 Senate Poll
  • Elizabeth Warren (D) 50% (48%) {44%} [46%] (46%) {46%} [32%]
  • Scott Brown (R) 44% (46%) {49%} [46%] (41%) {44%} [47%]
Among Independents
  • Scott Brown (R) 57% (56%) {58%} [57%] (48%) {51%} [61%]
  • Elizabeth Warren (D) 35% (35%) {32%} [33%] (36%) {36%} [18%] 
Among Moderates
  • Scott Brown (R) 49% (44%) {50%} [45%] (40%) {46%} [54%
  • Elizabeth Warren (D) 44% (44%) {37%} [42%] (42%) {40%} [20%]
Among Men
  • Scott Brown (R) 52% (55%) {57%} [49%] (44%) {48%} [51%
  • Elizabeth Warren (D) 41% (39%) {36%} [44%] (45%) {47%} [32%]
Among Women
  • Elizabeth Warren (D) 58% (56%) {50%} [49%] (46%) {45%} [31%]
  • Scott Brown (R) 38% (36%) {41%} [42%] (39%) {41%} [43%]
Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Scott Brown’s job performance?
  • Approve 49% (55%) {53%} [51%] (45%) {44%} [48%] (53%)
  • Disapprove 42% (34%) {36%} [38%] (42%) {45%} [36%] (29%)
Among Independents
  • Approve 63% (62%) {61%}
  • Disapprove 29% (25%) {28%}
Among Moderates
  • Approve 52% (60%) {52%}
  • Disapprove 35% (26%) {34%}
Among Men
  • Approve 58% (61%) {55%}
  • Disapprove 35% (31%) {35%}
Among Women
  • Approve 41% (48%) {50%}
  • Disapprove 47% (36%) {38%}
Do you think Scott Brown is too liberal, too conservative, or about right?
  • Too liberal 8% (7%) {7%} [8%] (11%) {9%} [12%] (9%)
  • Too conservative 33% (29%) {30%} [34%] (35%) {38%} [33%] (33%)
  • About right 51% (56%) {54%} [48%] (44%) {45%} [50%] (53%)
Do you think Elizabeth Warren is too liberal, too conservative, or about right?
  • Too liberal 42% (44%) {41%} [42%] (33%)
  • Too conservative 3% (2%) {4%} [2%] (6%)
  • About right 49% (49%) {49%} [47%] (51%)
Do you think the Republican Party in general is too liberal, too conservative, or about right?
  • Too liberal 8% (11%) {9%} [10%] (12%) {7%} [12%] (10%)
  • Too conservative 55% (56%) {56%} [56%] (54%) {56%} [54%] (52%)
  • About right 29% (26%) {27%} [27%] (25%) {29%} [27%] (32%)
Do you think the Democratic Party in general is too liberal, too conservative, or about right?
  • Too liberal 46% (45%) {45%} [47%] (41%)
  • Too conservative 8% (7%) {12%} [11%] (12%)
  • About right 42% (43%) {39%} [38%] (43%)
Do you think Scott Brown has been more an independent voice for Massachusetts or a partisan voice for the national Republican Party?
  • Independent voice for Massachusetts 44% (49%) {49%} [49%] (41%) {47%}
  • Partisan voice for the national Republican Party 45% (40%) {38%} [39%] (41%) {41%}
Do you have a higher opinion of Scott Brown or John Kerry?
  • Scott Brown 45% (46%) [43%] (39%)
  • John Kerry 45% (44%) [47%] (46%)
  • Like both equally (6%) [7%] (9%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Elizabeth Warren 49% (51%) {46%} [47%] (46%) {40%} [21%] / 45% (43%) {43%} [38%] (33%) {22%} [17%] {+4%}
Among Independents
  • Elizabeth Warren 32% (42%) {34%} / 60% (51%) {50%} {-28%}
Among Moderates
  • Elizabeth Warren 42% (52%) {42%} / 48% (39%) {44%} {-6%
Among Men
  • Elizabeth Warren 40% (42%) {40%} / 55% (53%) {49%} {-15%
Among Women
  • Elizabeth Warren 55% (61%) {52%} / 38% (33%) {37%} {+17%}
Survey of 1,051 likely Massachusetts voters was conducted October 9-11, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.0 percentage points. Party ID: 41% (38%) {38%} [39%] (41%) {40%} [46%] (42%) Democrat; 16% (17%) {15%} [13%] (14%) {15%} [15%] (20%) Republican; 43% (45%) {48%} [48%] (45%) {45%} [40%] (38%) Independent/Other. Political views: 35% (35%) {35%} [35%] (36%) {35%} [33%] Moderate; 24% (21%) {23%} [25%] (27%) {23%} [24%] Somewhat liberal; 20% (23%) {22%} [19%] (21%) {21%} [19%] Somewhat conservative; 13% (13%) {13%} [13%] (11%) {15%} [16%] Very liberal; 7% (8%) {7%} [8%] (5%) {6%} [8%] Very conservative.  Gender: 45% (50%) {48%} [51%] (51%) Male; 55% (50%) {52%} [49%] (49%) Female.  Results from the poll conducted September 13-16, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 16-19, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 22-24, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 16-18, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 16-18, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 2-5, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 29-December 1, 2010 are in parentheses.

Compare with recent Massachusetts 2012 Senate Polls:
  • Rasmussen (R): Warren 49%, Brown 47% (500 LV; Oct. 10) 
  • WBUR/MassINC: Brown 48%, Warren 45% (501 LV; Oct. 5-7)
  • WNEU: Waren 50%, Brown 45% (440 LV; Sept. 28-Oct. 4)

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