Wednesday, May 15, 2013

Poll Watch: PPP (D) 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

Given the choices of Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Andrew Cuomo, Kirsten Gillibrand, Martin O’Malley, Deval Patrick, Brian Schweitzer, Mark Warner, and Elizabeth Warren, who would you most like to see as the Democratic candidate for President in 2016?
  • Hillary Clinton 63% [64%] (58%) {57%} [61%] (57%)
  • Joe Biden 13% [18%] (19%) {16%} [12%] (14%)
  • Andrew Cuomo 4% [3%] (3%) {4%} [5%] (5%)
  • Mark Warner 3% [2%] (1%) {2%} [1%] (2%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 3% [5%] (8%) {4%} [4%] (6%)
  • Martin O'Malley 2% [1%] (1%) {3%} [2%] (1%)
  • Kirsten Gillibrand 1% [1%] (1%) {1%}
  • Deval Patrick 1% [1%] (0%) {2%} [1%] 
  • Brian Schweitzer 1% [1%] (0%) {1%} [1%] (1%)
  • Someone else/Undecided 10% [6%] (9%) {10%} [12%] (12%)
Given the choices of Joe Biden, Andrew Cuomo, Kirsten Gillibrand, Martin O’Malley, Deval Patrick, Brian Schweitzer, Mark Warner, and Elizabeth Warren, who would you most like to see as the Democratic candidate for President in 2016?
  • Joe Biden 38% [49%] (57%) (32%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 13% [11%] (13%) (8%)
  • Andrew Cuomo 10% [10%] (5%) (18% )
  • Mark Warner 3% [3%] (3%) (2%) 
  • Deval Patrick 3% [2%] (2%) 
  • Martin O'Malley 3% [1%] (1%) (2%)
  • Kirsten Gillibrand 2% [7%] (4%)
  • Brian Schweitzer 1% [2%] (0%) (1%) 
  • Someone else/Undecided 26% [15%] (14%) (32%)
If neither Hillary Clinton nor Joe Biden ran for President in 2016, who would you most like to see as the Democratic nominee? 
  • Andrew Cuomo 25% [22%] (25%) {19%} [21%] (27%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 17% [18%] (21%) {16%} [16%] (9%)
  • Deval Patrick 6% [4%] (3%) {6%} [8%]
  • Kirsten Gillibrand 5% [5%] (3%) {5%}
  • Martin O'Malley 5% [8%] (5%) {7%} [5%] (4%)
  • Mark Warner 4% [5%] (4%) {4%} [3%] (4%)
  • Brian Schweitzer 1% [1%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (2%)
  • Someone else/Undecided 38% [36%] (36%) {40%} [45%] (46%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Hillary Clinton 85% [84%] (81%) {79%} [86%] (86%) / 12% [11%] (12%) {15%} [10%] (10%) {+73%} 
  • Joe Biden 73% [73%] (80%) {73%} [80%] (70%) / 16% [15%] (13%) {22%} [14%] (21%) {+57%} 
  • Elizabeth Warren 42% [43%] (48%) {47%} [45%] (28%) / 13% [13%] (8%) {13%} [12%] (17%) {+29%} 
  • Andrew Cuomo 40% [37%] (37%) {36%} [37%] (32%) / 20% [20%] (17%) {20%} [21%] (24%) {+20%} 
  • Deval Patrick 20% [18%] (21%) {17%} [17%] / 14% [12%] (9%) {10%} [15%] {+6%}
  • Kirsten Gillibrand 19% [21%] (18%) {16%} / 15% [14%] (12%) {14%} {+4%}
  • Martin O'Malley 11% [10%] (9%) {12%} [7%] (8%) / 14% [12%] (10%) {11%} [17%] (17%) {-3%
  • Mark Warner 14% [15%] (12%) {15%} [11%] (11%) / 21% [13%] (13%) {13%} [17%] (18%) {-7%}
  • Brian Schweitzer 5% [6%] (6%) {6%} [5%] (7%) / 16% [13%] (11%) {12%} [19%] (17%) {-11%}
Survey of 589 Democratic primary voters was conducted May 6-9, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Political ideology: 37% [39%] (36%) {37%} [32%] (36%) Moderate; 31% [30%] (32%) {24%} [32%] (30%) Somewhat liberal; 14% [17%] (20%) {23%} [20%] (16%) Very liberal; 12% [9%] (9%) {13%} [12%] (13%) Somewhat conservative; 6% [5%] (3%) {2%} [4%] (5%) Very conservative. Results from the poll conducted March 27-30, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 3, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 3-6, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 30 - December 2, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 12-15, 2012 are in parentheses.

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