Poll Watch: PPP (D) Texas 2012 Republican Senatorial Runoff Survey

PPP (D) Texas 2012 GOP Senate Runoff Poll

• Ted Cruz 49% [34%]
• David Dewhurst 44% [59%]
• Not sure 7% [7%]

Among Men

• Ted Cruz 55% [42%]
• David Dewhurst 38% [54%]
• Not sure 8% [4%]

Among Women

• David Dewhurst 49% [64%]
• Ted Cruz 44% [26%]
• Not sure 6% [10%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Ted Cruz 56% [38%] (31%) {15%} [8%] / 25% [32%] (17%) {14%} [14%] {+31%}
• David Dewhurst 52% [61%] (47%) {41%} [42%] / 33% [25%] (22%) {19%} [16%] {+19%}

Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?

• Yes 40% [41%] (34%) {36%}
• No 50% [45%] (48%) {53%}

Among Tea Party Members

• Ted Cruz 71% [45%]
• David Dewhurst 26% [52%]
• Not sure 3% [3%]

Among Non-Tea Party Republicans

• David Dewhurst 57% [67%]
• Ted Cruz 34% [27%]
• Not sure 8% [6%]

Are you an Evangelical Christian, or not?

• Are an Evangelical 65% [61%]
• Are not 35% [39%]

Among Evangelical Christians

• Ted Cruz 50% [37%]
• David Dewhurst 42% [57%]
• Not sure 8% [6%]

Among Non-Evangelicals

• David Dewhurst 47% [63%]
• Ted Cruz 47% [29%]
• Not sure 6% [8%]

Would you say you are very excited, somewhat excited, or not that excited about voting in the runoff election?

• Very excited 48%
• Somewhat excited 30%
• Not that excited 22%

Very Excited

• Ted Cruz 59%
• David Dewhurst 36%
• Not sure 5%

Somewhat Excited

• David Dewhurst 51%
• Ted Cruz 43%
• Not sure 6%

Not That Excited

• David Dewhurst 50%
• Ted Cruz 36%
• Not sure 13%

Survey of 468 likely Republican runoff voters was conducted July 10-11, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Political ideology: 52% [55%] (47%) {41%} [38%] Very conservative; 26% [28%] (33%) {34%} [41%] Somewhat conservative; 13% [8%] (12%) {18%} [14%] Moderate; 7% [1%] (2%) {2%} [3%] Very liberal; 2% [1%] (6%) {5%} [4%] Somewhat liberal. Results from the poll conducted May 22-23, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 19-22, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 12-15, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 15-18, 2011 are in square brackets.