Poll Watch: ARG New Hampshire 2012 Republican Primary Survey

ARG New Hampshire 2012 Republican Primary Survey

• Mitt Romney 29% (32%)
• Michele Bachmann 12% (1%)
• Rudy Giuliani 9% (8%)
• Sarah Palin 8% (2%)
• Newt Gingrich 7% (8%)
• Tim Pawlenty 5% (2%)
• Ron Paul 4% (8%)
• Herman Cain 4% (2%)
• Rick Perry 2%
• Rick Santorum 2% (0%)
• Gary Johnson 0% (1%)
• Jon Huntsman 0% (0%)
• Buddy Roemer 0% (0%)
• Undecided 18% (8%)

Among Republicans

• Mitt Romney 33% (37%)
• Rudy Giuliani 9% (6%)
• Michele Bachmann 8% (2%)
• Newt Gingrich 7% (10%)
• Sarah Palin 7% (1%)
• Ron Paul 6% (5%)
• Tim Pawlenty 6% (2%)
• Herman Cain 5% (1%)
• Rick Santorum 3% (0%)
• Rick Perry 2%
• Gary Johnson 0% (2%)
• Jon Huntsman 0% (0%)
• Buddy Roemer 0% (0%)
• Undecided 15% (6%)

Among GOP-Leaning Independents

• Michele Bachmann 21% (0%)
• Mitt Romney 20% (20%)
• Sarah Palin 11% (7%)
• Rudy Giuliani 10% (13%)
• Ron Paul 10% (15%)
• Newt Gingrich 6% (3%)
• Herman Cain 2% (3%)
• Tim Pawlenty 2% (3%)
• Rick Perry 2%
• Gary Johnson 1% (0%)
• Jon Huntsman 0% (0%)
• Buddy Roemer 0% (0%)
• Rick Santorum 0% (0%)
• Undecided 15% (7%)

Among Tea Party Supporters (46%)

• Michele Bachmann 24% (2%)
• Mitt Romney 21% (30%)
• Newt Gingrich 9% (11%)
• Sarah Palin 9% (2%)
• Ron Paul 5% (9%)
• Herman Cain 5% (2%)
• Tim Pawlenty 5% (4%)
• Rick Perry 4%
• Rick Santorum 2% (0%)
• Rudy Giuliani 1% (2%)
• Gary Johnson 0% (2%)
• Jon Huntsman 0% (0%)
• Buddy Roemer 0% (0%)
• Undecided 15% (9%)

Among Non-Tea Party Republican Primary Voters (54%)

• Mitt Romney 36% (33%)
• Rudy Giuliani 16% (14%)
• Sarah Palin 8% (2%)
• Newt Gingrich 5% (5%)
• Tim Pawlenty 5% (1%)
• Ron Paul 4% (7%)
• Herman Cain 3% (1%)
• Michele Bachmann 2% (1%)
• Rick Santorum 2% (0%)
• Gary Johnson 1% (1%)
• Jon Huntsman 0% (0%)
• Buddy Roemer 0% (0%)
• Rick Perry 0%
• Undecided 14% (5%)

Survey of 600 likely Republican primary voters (421 Republicans and 179 independents) was conducted July 9-13, 2011. The margin of error is ± 4 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 70% Republican; 30% Independent.  Results from the poll conducted April 16-21, 2011 are in parentheses.