Poll Watch: PPP (D) 2012 Republican Nomination Survey

PPP (D) 2012 GOP Nomination Survey

If the candidates for President next year were Michele Bachmann, Herman Cain, Newt Gingrich, Jon Huntsman, Sarah Palin, Ron Paul, Tim Pawlenty, Rick Perry, and Mitt Romney, who would you vote for?

• Mitt Romney 20% {22%} [16%] (24%) {22%} [20%]
• Michele Bachmann 16% {8%} [9%] (8%) {5%}
• Sarah Palin 12% {15%} [16%] (17%) {15%} [19%]
• Rick Perry 11%
• Herman Cain 10% {17%} [12%]
• Ron Paul 9% {7%} [9%] (12%) {12%} [12%]
• Newt Gingrich 6% {9%} [9%] (20%) {20%} [18%]
• Tim Pawlenty 5% {9%} [13%] (8%) {6%} [6%]
• Jon Huntsman 2% {1%} [4%]

If Sarah Palin didn’t end up running for President, and the candidates were Michele Bachmann, Herman Cain, Newt Gingrich, Jon Huntsman, Ron Paul, Tim Pawlenty, Rick Perry, and Mitt Romney, who would you vote for?

• Michele Bachmann 21% {13%} [13%] (11%) {8%}
• Mitt Romney 20% {27%} [20%] (28%) {25%} [24%]
• Rick Perry 12%
• Herman Cain 11% {20%} [12%]
• Ron Paul 9% {6%} [11%] (12%) {13%} [12%]
• Newt Gingrich 7% {12%} [13%] (26%) {23%} [24%]
• Tim Pawlenty 5% {10%} [13%] (9%) {10%} [6%]
• Jon Huntsman 3% {3%} [4%]

If the Republican candidates for President were just Michele Bachmann and Mitt Romney, who would you vote for?

• Michele Bachmann 44%
• Mitt Romney 41%

Among Very Conservative (37%)

• Michele Bachmann 56%
• Mitt Romney 32%

Among Somewhat Conservative (38%)

• Michele Bachmann 42%
• Mitt Romney 42%

Among Moderates (20%)

• Mitt Romney 54%
• Michele Bachmann 26%

Would you be willing or unwilling to vote for a Presidential candidate who supported a law at the state level mandating that people have health insurance?

• Willing 17%
• Unwilling 66%

Do you want Sarah Palin to run for President or not?

• Want her to 29%
• Don't want her to 53%
• Not sure 18%

Do you think Sarah Palin is good or bad for the image of the Republican Party?

• Good 57%
• Bad 28%
• Not sure 16%

Among Very Conservative (37%)

• Good 73%
• Bad 15%
• Not sure 12%

Among Somewhat Conservative (38%)

• Good 53%
• Bad 29%
• Not sure 19%

Among Moderates (20%)

• Good 35%
• Bad 44%
• Not sure 21%

Do you have a more favorable opinion of John Boehner or Eric Cantor?

• John Boehner 41%
• Eric Cantor 18%
• Not sure 40%

Do you have a more favorable opinion of Jim DeMint or Mitch McConnell?

• Jim DeMint 25%
• Mitch McConnell 21%
• Not sure 54%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Sarah Palin 57% {62%} [61%] (61%) {61%} [61%] (65%) {65%} [68%] (66%) {76%} [70%] (67%) {69%} [66%] (69%) / 32% {27%} [30%] (31%) {31%} [26%] (25%) {26%} [22%] (19%) {17%} [14%] (18%) {21%} [21%] (17%) {+25%}
• Michele Bachmann 48% / 26% {+22%}
• Herman Cain 40% {40%} / 19% {26%} {+21%}
• Mitt Romney 50% {55%} [54%] (52%) {50%} [51%] (55%) {52%} [56%] (57%) {57%} [59%] (57%) {54%} [54%] (58%) / 31% {27%} [30%] (29%) {29%} [29%] (25%) {28%} [24%] (21%) {21%} [14%] (14%) {19%} [24%] (17%) {+19%}
• Tim Pawlenty 32% {44%} [26%] / 25% {25%} [19%] {+7%}

Survey of 730 Republican primary voters was conducted July 15-17, 2011.  The margin of error is +/-3.6 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 80% Republican; 17% Independent/Other; 3% Democrat. Political ideology: 38% {41%} [40%] (38%) {44%} [40%] (41%) Somewhat conservative; 37% {35%} [38%] (39%) {31%} [38%] (39%) Very conservative;  20% {18%} [16%] (17%) {17%} [19%] (15%) Moderate; 4% {3%} [5%] (5%) {5%} [3%] (5%) Somewhat liberal; 2% {3%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [1%] (1%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted June 9-12, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 23-25, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 5-8, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 7-10, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 10-13, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 11-13, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 14-16, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 19-21, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 10-13, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 6-9, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 9-12, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 4-7, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 7-9, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 9-11, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 12-14, 2010 are in parentheses.