Sunday, September 23, 2012

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Florida 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Florida 2012 Presidential Poll
  • Barack Obama 50% {48%} [48%] (50%) {50%} [45%] (46%) {47%} [46%] (46%)
  • Mitt Romney 46% {47%} [47%] (46%) {45%} [44%] (45%) {43%} [44%] (44%)
Among Independents
  • Barack Obama 51% {51%} [40%] (50%) {53%} [39%] (45%) {44%} [41%] (52%)
  • Mitt Romney 40% {39%} [47%] (41%) {34%} [46%] (42%) {42%} [39%] (28%)
Among Moderates
  • Barack Obama 64% {55%} [60%] (63%) {58%} [46%] (59%) {57%} [67%] (62%)
  • Mitt Romney 31% {39%} [34%] (30%) {35%} [37%] (27%) {31%} [21%] (28%)
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 51% {48%} [50%] (53%) {53%} [49%] (48%) {48%} [47%] (45%)
  • Barack Obama 44% {48%} [45%] (43%) {43%} [40%] (42%) {44%} [42%] (46%)
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 55% {49%} [51%] (57%) {55%} [48%] (50%) {49%} [49%] (46%)
  • Mitt Romney 41% {47%} [44%] (39%) {39%} [40%] (43%) {38%} [41%] (42%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Mitt Romney 44% {49%} [46%] (39%) {41%} [37%] (40%) {41%} [39%] (43%) / 51% {47%} [49%] (53%) {51%} [47%] (46%) {45%} [39%] (38%) {-7%}
Among Moderates
  • Mitt Romney 29% {41%} [34%] (24%) {34%} [40%] (27%) {42%} [33%] (31%) / 63% {54%} [58%] (62%) {54%} [43%] (55%) {44%} [44%] (43%) {-34%}
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 49% {49%} [49%] (45%) {49%} [42%] (44%) {46%} [42%] (44%) / 46% {47%} [48%] (46%) {46%} [47%] (42%) {42%} [37%] (43%) {+3%}
Among Women
  • Mitt Romney 39% {49%} [43%] (32%) {34%} [32%] (37%) {37%} [36%] (42%) / 55% {46%} [50%] (60%) {56%} [47%] (49%) {46%} [40%] (32%) {-16%}
Do you trust Barack Obama or Mitt Romney more on the issue of the economy?
  • Barack Obama 50%
  • Mitt Romney 46%
Do you trust Barack Obama or Mitt Romney more on the issue of foreign policy?
  • Barack Obama 50%
  • Mitt Romney 45%
Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?
  • Approve 51% {47%} [47%] (49%) {51%} [45%] (46%) {48%} [48%] (45%)
  • Disapprove 47% {50%} [50%] (46%) {45%} [50%] (51%) {49%} [47%] (49%)
Among Moderates
  • Approve 64% {54%} [57%] (60%) {64%} [53%] (64%) {59%} [73%] (62%)
  • Disapprove 33% {43%} [40%] (32%) {30%} [39%] (32%) {37%} [24%] (30%)
Among Men
  • Approve 46% {46%} [43%] (42%) {43%} [43%] (44%) {44%} [44%] (45%)
  • Disapprove 53% {51%} [55%] (54%) {54%} [52%] (53%) {53%} [51%] (52%)
Among Women
  • Approve 55% {48%} [50%] (57%) {58%} [46%] (47%) {52%} [52%] (45%)
  • Disapprove 41% {50%} [46%] (38%) {38%} [48%] (50%) {45%} [42%] (46%)
Are you familiar with comments Mitt Romney has made about the ‘47%’, or not?
  • Familiar 89%
  • Not familiar 11%
Mitt Romney recently said, “There are 47 percent of the people who will vote for the president no matter what. All right? There are 47 percent who are with him, who are dependent upon government, who believe that they are victims, who believe the government has a responsibility to care for them, who believe that they are entitled to health care, to food, to housing, to you-name-it, that that's an entitlement. And the government should give it to them. And they will vote for this president no matter what.... These are people who pay no income tax." Do you think Romney’s comments were appropriate or inappropriate?
  • Appropriate 44%
  • Inappropriate 50%
Do these comments make you more or less likely to vote for Mitt Romney, or do they not
make a difference?

  • Appropriate 30%
  • Inappropriate 35%
  • No difference 31%
Do you think Mitt Romney should release his tax returns for the last 12 years, or not?
  • He should 52% {49%} [53%]
  • He should not 39% {41%} [36%]
Are you very excited, somewhat excited, or not at all excited about voting in the 2012 elections?
  • Very excited 66%
  • Somewhat excited 19%
  • Not at all excited 15%
Among Democrats
  • Very excited 72%
  • Somewhat excited 17%
  • Not at all excited 11%
Among Republicans
  • Very excited 68%
  • Somewhat excited 15%
  • Not at all excited 16%
Among Independents
  • Very excited 49%
  • Somewhat excited 28%
  • Not at all excited 22%
Survey of 861 likely Florida voters was conducted September 20-23, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points. Party ID: 44% {41%} [42%] (41%) {41%} [42%] (40%) {42%} [41%] (42%) Democrat; 36% {37%} [40%] (40%) {41%} [38%] (37%) {36%} [37%] (40%) Republican; 20% {21%} [19%] (19%) {18%} [20%] (23%) {21%} [22%] (18%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 34% {36%} [33%] (33%) {32%} [36%] (32%) {30%} [30%] Moderate; 25% {25%} [20%] (25%) {22%} [23%] (27%) {23%} [26%] Somewhat conservative; 16% {13%} [20%] (16%) {16%} [14%] (16%) {20%} [21%] Very conservative; 15% {16%} [17%] (16%) {19%} [19%] (14%) {17%} [16%] Somewhat liberal; 10% {9%} [10%] (10%) {10%} [9%] (10%) {10%} [7%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted August 31 - September 2, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 26-29, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 3, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 12-15, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 28 - December 1, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 22-25, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 16-19, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 24-27, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 17-20, 2010 are in parentheses.

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