Poll Watch: PPP (D) Nevada 2012 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Nevada 2012 Senate Poll

• Dean Heller (R) 48% (44%) {47%} [44%] (47%) {44%} [46%] (45%) {46%} [47%] (51%)
• Shelley Berkley (D) 46% (44%) {44%} [48%] (45%) {43%} [43%] (45%) {43%} [43%] (38%)
• David Lory VanderBeek (IAP) 4% (7%) {4%}

Among Democrats

• Shelley Berkley (D) 85% (78%) {76%} [85%] (81%) {73%} [70%] (82%) {75%} [76%] (64%)
• Dean Heller (R) 11% (9%) {16%} [11%] (11%) {18%} [16%] (14%) {11%} [13%] (20%)
• David Lory VanderBeek (IAP) 3% (6%) {3%} 

Among Republicans

• Dean Heller (R) 89% (84%) {85%} [84%] (86%) {71%} [76%] (83%) {86%} [86%] (85%)
• Shelley Berkley (D) 9% (11%) {7%} [10%] (11%) {16%} [13%] (8%) {6%} [8%] (12%)
• David Lory VanderBeek (IAP) 1% (2%) {3%} 

Among Independents

• Dean Heller (R) 51% (46%) {47%} [40%] (50%) {45%} [52%] (39%) {44%} [56%] (56%)
• Shelley Berkley (D) 34% (33%) {38%} [41%] (37%) {38%} [39%] (37%) {41%} [29%] (28%)
• David Lory VanderBeek (IAP) 14% (15%) {10%} 

Among Men

• Dean Heller (R) 50% (48%) {44%} [49%] (53%) {48%} [45%] (52%) {48%} [52%] (53%)
• Shelley Berkley (D) 44% (43%) {49%} [44%] (41%) {40%} [43%] (38%) {40%} [39%] (36%)
• David Lory VanderBeek (IAP) 6% (6%) {3%} 

Among Women

• Shelley Berkley (D) 48% (45%) {39%} [51%] (48%) {46%} [42%] (52%) {45%} [46%] (40%)
• Dean Heller (R) 47% (41%) {49%} [41%] (43%) {40%} [47%] (38%) {43%} [43%] (49%)
• David Lory VanderBeek (IAP) 3% (7%) {5%}

Have you already voted, either at an early voting site or with an absentee ballot?

• Yes 74% (34%)
• No 26% (66%)

Already Voted

• Shelley Berkley (D) 52% (55%)
• Dean Heller (R) 44% (41%)
• David Lory VanderBeek (IAP) 3% (3%)

Did Not Vote Yet

• Dean Heller (R) 60% (46%)
• Shelley Berkley (D) 30% (38%)
• David Lory VanderBeek (IAP) 7% (8%)

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Dean Heller’s job performance?

• Approve 47% (46%) {44%} [42%] (42%) {36%} [43%] (39%) {38%}
• Disapprove 42% (47%) {42%} [42%] (42%) {39%} [36%] (35%) {35%}

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Shelley Berkley?

• Favorable 39% (41%) {40%} [41%] (42%) {38%} [33%] (38%) {33%} [34%] (34%)
• Unfavorable 55% (53%) {51%} [46%] (45%) {37%} [40%] (35%) {33%} [31%] (29%)

Survey of 750 likely Nevada voters was conducted November 3-4, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points.  Party ID: 43% (42%) {44%} [42%] (38%) {40%} [43%] (43%) {43%} [45%] (45%) Democrat; 38% (36%) {35%} [38%] (34%) {38%} [39%] (38%) {38%} [35%] (39%) Republican; 20% (23%) {21%} [20%] (28%) {21%} [18%] (19%) {19%} [20%] (16%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 30% (34%) {33%} (35%) {34%} [30%] (29%) {29%} [28%] Moderate; 24% (23%) {24%} (21%) {23%} [26%] (25%) {25%} [25%] Somewhat conservative; 18% (14%) {18%} (16%) {17%} [17%] (18%) {18%} [19%] Somewhat liberal; 14% (16%) {16%} (15%) {14%} [16%] (17%) {17%} [18%] Very conservative; 13% (13%) {9%} (13%) {12%} [10%] (12%) {11%} [10%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted October 22-24, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 8-10, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 18-20, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 23-26, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 7-10, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 29 - April 1, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 20-23, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 28-31, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 21-24, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 3-5, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Nevada 2012 Senatorial Survey

SurveyUSA Nevada 2012 Senate Poll

• Dean Heller (R) 46% [46%] (44%)
  
• Shelley Berkley (D) 40% [40%] (39%)
• David Lory VanderBeek (AIP) 6%
• None of these 4%
• Undecided 4% [6%] (8%)

Among Men

• Dean Heller (R) 51% [50%] (50%)
  
• Shelley Berkley (D) 36% [39%] (36%)
  
• David Lory VanderBeek (AIP) 6%
• None of these 3% 
• Undecided 3% [4%] (7%)

Among Women

• Shelley Berkley (D) 44% [42%] (43%)
• Dean Heller (R) 40% [42%] (37%)
  
• David Lory VanderBeek (AIP) 6%
• None of these 5% 
• Undecided 4% [8%] (9%)

Among Independents

• Dean Heller (R) 48% [53%] (44%)
  
• Shelley Berkley (D) 28% [28%] (35%)
  
• David Lory VanderBeek (AIP) 12%
• None of these 4% 
• Undecided 7% [8%] (9%)

Among Moderates

• Shelley Berkley (D) 45% [41%] (49%)
• Dean Heller (R) 39% [44%] (35%)
• David Lory VanderBeek (AIP) 7%
• None of these 4% 
• Undecided 5% [8%] (9%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Dean Heller 37% [37%] (32%) / 38% [37%] (35%) {-1%}
• Shelley Berkley 30% [33%] (29%) / 49% [45%] (43%) {-19%}

Who will do more for the middle class?

• Dean Heller 43% [46%]
• Shelley Berkley 39% [37%]

Who has a better plan for Medicare?

• Dean Heller 38% [42%]
• Shelley Berkley 38% [37%]

Who is stronger on immigration?

• Dean Heller 43% [46%]
• Shelley Berkley 29% [27%]

Who has run a more truthful campaign?

• Dean Heller 40% [42%]
• Shelley Berkley 30% [30%]

Who is more ethical?

• Dean Heller 43% [45%]
• Shelley Berkley 29% [27%]

Survey of 1,212 likely and actual voters was conducted October 23-29, 2012 for the Las Vegas Review-Journal and 8NewsNow. The margin of error is +/- 2.9  percentage points.  Party ID: 43% [40%] (39%) Democrat; 33% [31%] (36%) Republican; 23% [27%] (23%) Independent. Results from the poll conducted October 11-15, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 16-21, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Nevada 2012 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Nevada 2012 Senate Poll

• Dean Heller (R) 44% {47%} [44%] (47%) {44%} [46%] (45%) {46%} [47%] (51%)
• Shelley Berkley (D) 44% {44%} [48%] (45%) {43%} [43%] (45%) {43%} [43%] (38%)
• David Lory VanderBeek (IAP) 7% {4%}

Among Democrats

• Shelley Berkley (D) 78% {76%} [85%] (81%) {73%} [70%] (82%) {75%} [76%] (64%)
• Dean Heller (R) 9% {16%} [11%] (11%) {18%} [16%] (14%) {11%} [13%] (20%)
• David Lory VanderBeek (IAP) 6% {3%} 

Among Republicans

• Dean Heller (R) 84% {85%} [84%] (86%) {71%} [76%] (83%) {86%} [86%] (85%)
• Shelley Berkley (D) 11% {7%} [10%] (11%) {16%} [13%] (8%) {6%} [8%] (12%)
• David Lory VanderBeek (IAP) 2% {3%} 

Among Independents

• Dean Heller (R) 46% {47%} [40%] (50%) {45%} [52%] (39%) {44%} [56%] (56%)
• Shelley Berkley (D) 33% {38%} [41%] (37%) {38%} [39%] (37%) {41%} [29%] (28%)
• David Lory VanderBeek (IAP) 15% {10%} 

Among Men

• Dean Heller (R) 48% {44%} [49%] (53%) {48%} [45%] (52%) {48%} [52%] (53%)
• Shelley Berkley (D) 43% {49%} [44%] (41%) {40%} [43%] (38%) {40%} [39%] (36%)
• David Lory VanderBeek (IAP) 6% {3%} 

Among Women

• Shelley Berkley (D) 45% {39%} [51%] (48%) {46%} [42%] (52%) {45%} [46%] (40%)
• Dean Heller (R) 41% {49%} [41%] (43%) {40%} [47%] (38%) {43%} [43%] (49%)
• David Lory VanderBeek (IAP) 7% {5%}

Have you already voted, either at an early voting site or with an absentee ballot?

• Yes 34%
• No 66%

Already Voted

• Shelley Berkley (D) 55%
• Dean Heller (R) 41%
• David Lory VanderBeek (IAP) 3%

Did Not Vote Yet

• Dean Heller (R) 46%
• Shelley Berkley (D) 38%
• David Lory VanderBeek (IAP) 8%

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Dean Heller’s job performance?

• Approve 46% {44%} [42%] (42%) {36%} [43%] (39%) {38%}
• Disapprove 47% {42%} [42%] (42%) {39%} [36%] (35%) {35%}

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Shelley Berkley?

• Favorable 41% {40%} [41%] (42%) {38%} [33%] (38%) {33%} [34%] (34%)
• Unfavorable 53% {51%} [46%] (45%) {37%} [40%] (35%) {33%} [31%] (29%)

Survey of 636 likely Nevada voters was conducted October 22-24, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 3.9 percentage points.  Party ID: 42% {44%} [42%] (38%) {40%} [43%] (43%) {43%} [45%] (45%) Democrat; 36% {35%} [38%] (34%) {38%} [39%] (38%) {38%} [35%] (39%) Republican; 23% {21%} [20%] (28%) {21%} [18%] (19%) {19%} [20%] (16%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 34% {33%} (35%) {34%} [30%] (29%) {29%} [28%] Moderate; 23% {24%} (21%) {23%} [26%] (25%) {25%} [25%] Somewhat conservative; 16% {16%} (15%) {14%} [16%] (17%) {17%} [18%] Very conservative; 14% {18%} (16%) {17%} [17%] (18%) {18%} [19%] Somewhat liberal; 13% {9%} (13%) {12%} [10%] (12%) {11%} [10%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted October 8-10, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 18-20, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 23-26, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 7-10, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 29 - April 1, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 20-23, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 28-31, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 21-24, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 3-5, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Suffolk University/KSNV Nevada 2012 Senatorial Survey

Suffolk University/KSNV Nevada 2012 Senate Poll

• Dean Heller (R) 40%
• Shelley Berkley (D) 37%
• David Lory VanderBeek (I) 7%
• Undecided 14%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Dean Heller 37% / 35% {+2%}
• David Lory VanderBeek 5% / 5% {0%}
• Shelley Berkley 35% / 47% {-12%}

Survey of 500 likely Nevada voters was conducted October 6-9, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points.  Party ID: 41% Democrat; 33% Republican; 23% Independent/Other.  Click here to view crosstabs. 

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Nevada 2012 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Nevada 2012 Senate Poll

• Dean Heller (R) 47% [44%] (47%) {44%} [46%] (45%) {46%} [47%] (51%)
• Shelley Berkley (D) 44% [48%] (45%) {43%} [43%] (45%) {43%} [43%] (38%)
• David Lory VanderBeek (IAP) 4%

Among Democrats

• Shelley Berkley (D) 76% [85%] (81%) {73%} [70%] (82%) {75%} [76%] (64%)
• Dean Heller (R) 16% [11%] (11%) {18%} [16%] (14%) {11%} [13%] (20%)
• David Lory VanderBeek (IAP) 3% 

Among Republicans

• Dean Heller (R) 85% [84%] (86%) {71%} [76%] (83%) {86%} [86%] (85%)
• Shelley Berkley (D) 7% [10%] (11%) {16%} [13%] (8%) {6%} [8%] (12%)
• David Lory VanderBeek (IAP) 3% 

Among Independents

• Dean Heller (R) 47% [40%] (50%) {45%} [52%] (39%) {44%} [56%] (56%)
• Shelley Berkley (D) 38% [41%] (37%) {38%} [39%] (37%) {41%} [29%] (28%)
• David Lory VanderBeek (IAP) 10% 

Among Men

• Shelley Berkley (D) 49%  [44%] (41%) {40%} [43%] (38%) {40%} [39%] (36%)
• Dean Heller (R) 44% [49%] (53%) {48%} [45%] (52%) {48%} [52%] (53%)
• David Lory VanderBeek (IAP) 3% 

Among Women

• Dean Heller (R) 49% [41%] (43%) {40%} [47%] (38%) {43%} [43%] (49%)
• Shelley Berkley (D) 39% [51%] (48%) {46%} [42%] (52%) {45%} [46%] (40%)
• David Lory VanderBeek (IAP) 5%

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Dean Heller’s job performance?

• Approve 44% [42%] (42%) {36%} [43%] (39%) {38%}
• Disapprove 42% [42%] (42%) {39%} [36%] (35%) {35%}

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Shelley Berkley?

• Favorable 40% [41%] (42%) {38%} [33%] (38%) {33%} [34%] (34%)
• Unfavorable 51% [46%] (45%) {37%} [40%] (35%) {33%} [31%] (29%)

Survey of 594 likely Nevada voters was conducted October 8-10, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 4.0 percentage points.  Party ID: 44% [42%] (38%) {40%} [43%] (43%) {43%} [45%] (45%) Democrat; 35% [38%] (34%) {38%} [39%] (38%) {38%} [35%] (39%) Republican; 21% [20%] (28%) {21%} [18%] (19%) {19%} [20%] (16%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 33% (35%) {34%} [30%] (29%) {29%} [28%] Moderate; 24% (21%) {23%} [26%] (25%) {25%} [25%] Somewhat conservative; 18% (16%) {17%} [17%] (18%) {18%} [19%] Somewhat liberal; 16% (15%) {14%} [16%] (17%) {17%} [18%] Very conservative; 9% (13%) {12%} [10%] (12%) {11%} [10%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted September 18-20, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 23-26, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 7-10, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 29 - April 1, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 20-23, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 28-31, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 21-24, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 3-5, 2011 are in parentheses.